Clark, Andrew; Jit, Mark; Warren-Gash, Charlotte; Guthrie, Bruce; Wang, Harry HX; Mercer, Stewart W; Sanderson, Colin; McKee, Martin; Troeger, Christopher; Ong, Kanyin I; +6 more... Checchi, Francesco; Perel, Pablo; Joseph, Sarah; Gibbs, Hamish P; Banerjee, Amitava; Eggo, Rosalind M; (2020) How many are at increased risk of severe COVID-19 disease? Rapid global, regional and national estimates for 2020. medRxiv. 2020.04.18.20064774-. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.18.20064774

Clark, Andrew; Jit, Mark; Warren-Gash, Charlotte; Guthrie, Bruce; Wang, Harry HX; Mercer, Stewart W; Sanderson, Colin; McKee, Martin; Troeger, Christopher; Ong, Kanyin L; +7 more... Checchi, Francesco; Perel, Pablo; Joseph, Sarah; Gibbs, Hamish P; Banerjee, Amitava; Eggo, Rosalind M; Centre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases COV; (2020) Global, regional, and national estimates of the population at increased risk of severe COVID-19 due to underlying health conditions in 2020: a modelling study. The Lancet. Global Health, 8 (8). e1003-e1017. ISSN 2214-109X DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/S2214-109X(20)30264-3

Davies, Nicholas G; Kucharski, Adam J; Eggo, Rosalind M; Gimma, Amy; Edmunds, W John; (2020) The effect of non-pharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19 cases, deaths and demand for hospital services in the UK: a modelling study. MedRxiv. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.01.20049908 Item availability may be restricted.

Davies, Nicholas G; Kucharski, Adam J; Eggo, Rosalind M; Gimma, Amy; Edmunds, W John; Centre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases COV; (2020) Effects of non-pharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19 cases, deaths, and demand for hospital services in the UK: a modelling study. The Lancet. Public health, 5 (7). e375-e385. ISSN 2468-2667 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/S2468-2667(20)30133-X

Eggo, Rosalind M; Hellewell, Joel; Funk, Sebastian; (2020) Feasibility of controlling COVID-19 - Authors' reply. The Lancet. Global health, 8 (6). e775-. ISSN 2214-109X DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/S2214-109X(20)30128-5

Hellewell, Joel; Abbott, Sam; Gimma, Amy; Bosse, Nikos I; Jarvis, Christopher I; Russell, Timothy W; Munday, James D; Kucharski, Adam J; Edmunds, W John; Centre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases COV; +2 more... Funk, Sebastian; Eggo, Rosalind M; (2020) Feasibility of controlling COVID-19 outbreaks by isolation of cases and contacts. The Lancet. Global health, 8 (4). e488-e496. ISSN 2214-109X DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/S2214-109X(20)30074-7

Hellewell, Joel; Funk, Sebastian; Eggo, Rosalind M; (2020) On the fallibility of simulation models in informing pandemic responses - Authors' reply. LANCET GLOBAL HEALTH, 8 (6). e778-e779. ISSN 2214-109X DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/S2214-109X(20)30217-5

Jombart, Thibaut; van Zandvoort, Kevin; Russell, Timothy W; Jarvis, Christopher I; Gimma, Amy; Abbott, Sam; Clifford, Sam; Funk, Sebastian; Gibbs, Hamish; Liu, Yang; +6 more... Pearson, Carl AB; Bosse, Nikos I; Centre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases COV; Eggo, Rosalind M; Kucharski, Adam J; Edmunds, W John; (2020) Inferring the number of COVID-19 cases from recently reported deaths. medRxiv. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.03.10.20033761

Kucharski, Adam J; Eggo, Rosalind M; (2020) Invisible spread of SARS-CoV-2 - Authors' reply. The Lancet. Infectious diseases. ISSN 1473-3099 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/S1473-3099(20)30275-9 Full text not available from this repository.

Kucharski, Adam J; Russell, Timothy W; Diamond, Charlie; Liu, Yang; Edmunds, John; Funk, Sebastian; Eggo, Rosalind M; Centre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases COVID-1; (2020) Early dynamics of transmission and control of COVID-19: a mathematical modelling study. The Lancet. Infectious diseases, 20 (5). pp. 553-558. ISSN 1473-3099 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/S1473-3099(20)30144-4

Liu, Yang; Eggo, Rosalind M; Kucharski, Adam J; (2020) Secondary attack rate and superspreading events for SARS-CoV-2. LANCET, 395 (10227). e47. ISSN 0140-6736 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(20)30462-1 Full text not available from this repository.

Prem, Kiesha; Liu, Yang; Russell, Timothy W; Kucharski, Adam J; Eggo, Rosalind M; Davies, Nicholas; Centre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases COV; Jit, Mark; Klepac, Petra; (2020) The effect of control strategies to reduce social mixing on outcomes of the COVID-19 epidemic in Wuhan, China: a modelling study. The Lancet. Public health, 5 (5). e261-e270. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/S2468-2667(20)30073-6

Quilty, Billy J; Clifford, Sam; Flasche, Stefan; Eggo, Rosalind M; CMMID nCoV working group; (2020) Effectiveness of airport screening at detecting travellers infected with novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV). Eurosurveillance, 25 (5). pp. 4-9. ISSN 1560-7917 DOI: https://doi.org/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2020.25.5.2000080

Russell, Timothy W; Hellewell, Joel; Jarvis, Christopher I; van Zandvoort, Kevin; Abbott, Sam; Ratnayake, Ruwan; Cmmid Covid-Working Group; Flasche, Stefan; Eggo, Rosalind M; Edmunds, W John; +1 more... Kucharski, Adam J; (2020) Estimating the infection and case fatality ratio for coronavirus disease (COVID-19) using age-adjusted data from the outbreak on the Diamond Princess cruise ship, February 2020. Euro Surveill, 25 (12). ISSN 1560-7917 DOI: https://doi.org/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2020.25.12.2000256

Bellan, Steven E; Eggo, Rosalind M; Gsell, Pierre-Stéphane; Kucharski, Adam J; Dean, Natalie E; Donohue, Richard; Zook, Matt; Edmunds, W John; Odhiambo, Frank; Longini, Ira M; +3 more... Brisson, Marc; Mahon, Barbara E; Henao-Restrepo, Ana Maria; (2019) An online decision tree for vaccine efficacy trial design during infectious disease epidemics: The InterVax-Tool. Vaccine, 37 (31). pp. 4376-4381. ISSN 0264-410X DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.vaccine.2019.06.019

Funk, Sebastian; Camacho, Anton; Kucharski, Adam J; Lowe, Rachel; Eggo, Rosalind M; Edmunds, W John; (2019) Assessing the performance of real-time epidemic forecasts: A case study of Ebola in the Western Area region of Sierra Leone, 2014-15. PLoS computational biology, 15 (2). e1006785-. ISSN 1553-734X DOI: https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1006785

Polonsky, Jonathan A; Baidjoe, Amrish; Kamvar, Zhian N; Cori, Anne; Durski, Kara; Edmunds, W John; Eggo, Rosalind M; Funk, Sebastian; Kaiser, Laurent; Keating, Patrick; +9 more... de Waroux, Olivier le Polain; Marks, Michael; Moraga, Paula; Morgan, Oliver; Nouvellet, Pierre; Ratnayake, Ruwan; Roberts, Chrissy H; Whitworth, Jimmy; Jombart, Thibaut; (2019) Outbreak analytics: a developing data science for informing the response to emerging pathogens. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, 374 (1776). 20180276-. ISSN 0962-8436 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1098/rstb.2018.0276

Robert, Alexis; Camacho, Anton; Edmunds, W John; Baguelin, Marc; Muyembe Tamfum, Jean-Jacques; Rosello, Alicia; Kéïta, Sakoba; Eggo, Rosalind M; (2019) Control of Ebola virus disease outbreaks: Comparison of health care worker-targeted and community vaccination strategies. Epidemics, 27. pp. 106-114. ISSN 1755-4365 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.epidem.2019.03.001

Robert, Alexis; Edmunds, W John; Watson, Conall H; Henao-Restrepo, Ana Maria; Gsell, Pierre-Stéphane; Williamson, Elizabeth; Longini, Ira M; Sakoba, Keïta; Kucharski, Adam J; Touré, Alhassane; +13 more... Nadlaou, Sévérine Danmadji; Diallo, Boubacar; Barry, Mamamdou Saidou; Fofana, Thierno Oumar; Camara, Louceny; Kaba, Ibrahima Lansana; Sylla, Lansana; Diaby, Mohamed Lamine; Soumah, Ousmane; Diallo, Abdourahime; Niare, Amadou; Diallo, Abdourahmane; Eggo, Rosalind M; (2019) Determinants of Transmission Risk During the Late Stage of the West African Ebola Epidemic. American Journal of Epidemiology, 188 (7). pp. 1319-1327. ISSN 0002-9262 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1093/aje/kwz090

van Zandvoort, Kevin; Checchi, Francesco; Diggle, Emma; Eggo, Rosalind M; Gadroen, Kartini; Mulholland, Kim; McGowan, Catherine R; le Polain de Waroux, Olivier; Rao, V Bhargavi; Satzke, Catherine; +1 more... Flasche, Stefan; (2019) Pneumococcal conjugate vaccine use during humanitarian crises. Vaccine, 37 (45). pp. 6787-6792. ISSN 0264-410X DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.vaccine.2019.09.038

Camacho, Anton; Bouhenia, Malika; Alyusfi, Reema; Alkohlani, Abdulhakeem; Naji, Munna Abdulla Mohammed; de Radiguès, Xavier; Abubakar, Abdinasir M; Almoalmi, Abdulkareem; Seguin, Caroline; Sagrado, Maria Jose; +16 more... Poncin, Marc; McRae, Melissa; Musoke, Mohammed; Rakesh, Ankur; Porten, Klaudia; Haskew, Christopher; Atkins, Katherine E; Eggo, Rosalind M; Azman, Andrew S; Broekhuijsen, Marije; Saatcioglu, Mehmet Akif; Pezzoli, Lorenzo; Quilici, Marie-Laure; Al-Mesbahy, Abdul Rahman; Zagaria, Nevio; Luquero, Francisco J; (2018) Cholera epidemic in Yemen, 2016-18: an analysis of surveillance data. The Lancet Global health, 6 (6). e680-e690. ISSN 2214-109X DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/S2214-109X(18)30230-4

Eggo, Rosalind M; Kucharski, Adam J; (2018) Expected Duration of Adverse Pregnancy Outcomes after Zika Epidemic. Emerging infectious diseases, 24 (1). pp. 127-130. ISSN 1080-6040 DOI: https://doi.org/10.3201/eid2401.170482

Jendrossek, Mario; Edmunds, W John; Rohan, Hana; Clifford, Samuel; Mooney, Thomas A; Eggo, Rosalind M; (2018) Health care worker vaccination against Ebola: Vaccine acceptance and employment duration in Sierra Leone. Vaccine, 37 (8). pp. 1101-1108. ISSN 0264-410X DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.vaccine.2018.12.060

O'Reilly, Kathleen M; Lowe, Rachel; Edmunds, W John; Mayaud, Philippe; Kucharski, Adam; Eggo, Rosalind M; Funk, Sebastian; Bhatia, Deepit; Khan, Kamran; Kraemer, Moritz UG; +8 more... Wilder-Smith, Annelies; Rodrigues, Laura C; Brasil, Patricia; Massad, Eduardo; Jaenisch, Thomas; Cauchemez, Simon; Brady, Oliver J; Yakob, Laith; (2018) Projecting the end of the Zika virus epidemic in Latin America: a modelling analysis. BMC medicine, 16 (1). 180-. ISSN 1741-7015 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1186/s12916-018-1158-8

Opatowski, Lulla; Baguelin, Marc; Eggo, Rosalind M; (2018) Influenza Interaction with Cocirculating Pathogens, and Its Impact on Surveillance, Pathogenesis and Epidemic Profile: A Key Role for Mathematical Modeling. PLoS Pathogens, 14 (2). ISSN 1553-7366 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1101/203265

Opatowski, Lulla; Baguelin, Marc; Eggo, Rosalind M; (2018) Influenza interaction with cocirculating pathogens and its impact on surveillance, pathogenesis, and epidemic profile: A key role for mathematical modelling. PLoS pathogens, 14 (2). e1006770-. ISSN 1553-7366 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.ppat.1006770

Funk, Sebastian; Ciglenecki, Iza; Tiffany, Amanda; Gignoux, Etienne; Camacho, Anton; Eggo, Rosalind M; Kucharski, Adam J; Edmunds, W John; Bolongei, Josephus; Azuma, Phillip; +9 more... Clement, Peter; Alpha, Tamba S; Sterk, Esther; Telfer, Barbara; Engel, Gregory; Parker, Lucy Anne; Suzuki, Motoi; Heijenberg, Nico; Reeder, Bruce; (2017) The impact of control strategies and behavioural changes on the elimination of Ebola from Lofa County, Liberia. Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London Series B, Biological sciences, 372 (1721). p. 20160302. ISSN 0962-8436 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1098/rstb.2016.0302

Johnson, Helen C; Lafferty, Erin I; Eggo, Rosalind M; Louie, Karly; Soldan, Kate; Waller, Jo; Edmunds, W John; (2017) Effect of HPV vaccination and cervical cancer screening in England by ethnicity: a modelling study. The lancet Public health, 3 (1). e44-e51. ISSN 2468-2667 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/S2468-2667(17)30238-4

Camacho, A; Eggo, RM; Goeyvaerts, N; Vandebosch, A; Mogg, R; Funk, S; Kucharski, AJ; Watson, CH; Vangeneugden, T; Edmunds, WJ; (2016) Real-time dynamic modelling for the design of a cluster-randomized phase 3 Ebola vaccine trial in Sierra Leone. Vaccine, 35 (4). pp. 544-551. ISSN 0264-410X DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.vaccine.2016.12.019

Eggo, Rosalind M; Scott, James G; Galvani, Alison P; Meyers, Lauren Ancel; (2016) Respiratory virus transmission dynamics determine timing of asthma exacerbation peaks: Evidence from a population-level model. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 113 (8). pp. 2194-2199. ISSN 0027-8424 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1518677113

Funk, Sebastian; Camacho, Anton; Kucharski, Adam J; Eggo, Rosalind M; Edmunds, W John; (2016) Real-time forecasting of infectious disease dynamics with a stochastic semi-mechanistic model. Epidemics, 22. pp. 56-61. ISSN 1755-4365 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.epidem.2016.11.003

Funk, Sebastian; Kucharski, Adam J; Camacho, Anton; Eggo, Rosalind M; Yakob, Laith; Murray, Lawrence M; Edmunds, W John; (2016) Comparative Analysis of Dengue and Zika Outbreaks Reveals Differences by Setting and Virus. PLoS neglected tropical diseases, 10 (12). e0005173-. ISSN 1935-2727 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pntd.0005173

Kucharski, Adam J; Eggo, Rosalind M; Watson, Conall H; Camacho, Anton; Funk, Sebastian; Edmunds, W John; (2016) Effectiveness of Ring Vaccination as Control Strategy for Ebola Virus Disease. Emerging infectious diseases, 22 (1). pp. 105-108. ISSN 1080-6040 DOI: https://doi.org/10.3201/eid2201.151410

Kucharski, Adam J; Funk, Sebastian; Eggo, Rosalind M; Mallet, Henri-Pierre; Edmunds, W John; Nilles, Eric J; (2016) Transmission Dynamics of Zika Virus in Island Populations: A Modelling Analysis of the 2013-14 French Polynesia Outbreak. PLoS neglected tropical diseases, 10 (5). e0004726-. ISSN 1935-2727 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pntd.0004726

Reid, Margaret; Gunn, Julia; Shah, Snehal; Donovan, Michael; Eggo, Rosalind; Babin, Steven; Stajner, Ivanka; Rogers, Eric; Ensor, Katherine B; Raun, Loren; +8 more... Levy, Jonathan I; Painter, Ian; Phipatanakul, Wanda; Yip, Fuyuen; Nath, Anjali; Streichert, Laura C; Tong, Catherine; Burkom, Howard; (2016) Cross-Disciplinary Consultancy to Enhance Predictions of Asthma Exacerbation Risk in Boston. Online journal of public health informatics, 8 (3). e199-. ISSN 1947-2579 DOI: https://doi.org/10.5210/ojphi.v8i3.6902

Sissoko, Daouda; Duraffour, Sophie; Kerber, Romy; Kolie, Jacques Seraphin; Beavogui, Abdoul Habib; Camara, Alseny-Modet; Colin, Géraldine; Rieger, Toni; Oestereich, Lisa; Pályi, Bernadett; +31 more... Wurr, Stephanie; Guedj, Jeremie; Nguyen, Thi Huyen Tram; Eggo, Rosalind M; Watson, Conall H; Edmunds, W John; Bore, Joseph Akoi; Koundouno, Fara Raymond; Cabeza-Cabrerizo, Mar; Carter, Lisa L; Kafetzopoulou, Liana Eleni; Kuisma, Eeva; Michel, Janine; Patrono, Livia Victoria; Rickett, Natasha Y; Singethan, Katrin; Rudolf, Martin; Lander, Angelika; Pallasch, Elisa; Bockholt, Sabrina; Rodríguez, Estefanía; Di Caro, Antonino; Wölfel, Roman; Gabriel, Martin; Gurry, Céline; Formenty, Pierre; Keïta, Sakoba; Malvy, Denis; Carroll, Miles W; Anglaret, Xavier; Günther, Stephan; (2016) Persistence and clearance of Ebola virus RNA from seminal fluid of Ebola virus disease survivors: a longitudinal analysis and modelling study. The Lancet Global health, 5 (1). e80-e88. ISSN 2214-109X DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/S2214-109X(16)30243-1

Camacho, Anton; Eggo, Rosalind M; Funk, Sebastian; Watson, Conall H; Kucharski, Adam J; Edmunds, W John; (2015) Estimating the probability of demonstrating vaccine efficacy in the declining Ebola epidemic: a Bayesian modelling approach. BMJ open, 5 (12). e009346-. ISSN 2044-6055 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1136/bmjopen-2015-009346

Eggo, Rosalind M; Watson, Conall H; Camacho, Anton; Kucharski, Adam J; Funk, Sebastian; Edmunds, W John; (2015) Duration of Ebola virus RNA persistence in semen of survivors: population-level estimates and projections. Euro surveillance, 20 (48). 30083-. ISSN 1025-496X DOI: https://doi.org/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2015.20.48.30083

Hoen, Anne G; Hladish, Thomas J; Eggo, Rosalind M; Lenczner, Michael; Brownstein, John S; Meyers, Lauren Ancel; (2015) Epidemic Wave Dynamics Attributable to Urban Community Structure: A Theoretical Characterization of Disease Transmission in a Large Network. Journal of medical Internet research, 17 (7). e169-. ISSN 1439-4456 DOI: https://doi.org/10.2196/jmir.3720

Eggo, Rosalind M; Cauchemez, Simon; Ferguson, Neil M; (2011) Spatial dynamics of the 1918 influenza pandemic in England, Wales and the United States. Journal of the Royal Society, Interface / the Royal Society, 8 (55). pp. 233-243. ISSN 1742-5689 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1098/rsif.2010.0216

Jombart, T; Eggo, RM; Dodd, PJ; Balloux, F; (2010) Reconstructing disease outbreaks from genetic data: a graph approach. Heredity, 106 (2). pp. 383-390. ISSN 0018-067X DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/hdy.2010.78 Full text not available from this repository.

Jombart, Thibaut; Eggo, Rosalind M; Dodd, Pete; Balloux, Francois; (2009) Spatiotemporal dynamics in the early stages of the 2009 A/H1N1 influenza pandemic. PLoS currents, 1 (AUG). RRN1026-. ISSN 2157-3999 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1371/currents.rrn1026