Estimating the infection and case fatality ratio for coronavirus disease (COVID-19) using age-adjusted data from the outbreak on the Diamond Princess cruise ship, February 2020.

Timothy W Russell ORCID logo ; Joel Hellewell ORCID logo ; Christopher I Jarvis ORCID logo ; Kevin van Zandvoort ORCID logo ; Sam Abbott ORCID logo ; Ruwan Ratnayake ORCID logo ; CMMID COVID-19 working group ; Stefan Flasche ORCID logo ; Rosalind M Eggo ORCID logo ; W John Edmunds ORCID logo ; +1 more... Adam J Kucharski ORCID logo ; (2020) Estimating the infection and case fatality ratio for coronavirus disease (COVID-19) using age-adjusted data from the outbreak on the Diamond Princess cruise ship, February 2020. Euro Surveill, 25 (12). ISSN 1560-7917 DOI: 10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2020.25.12.2000256
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Adjusting for delay from confirmation to death, we estimated case and infection fatality ratios (CFR, IFR) for coronavirus disease (COVID-19) on the Diamond Princess ship as 2.6% (95% confidence interval (CI): 0.89-6.7) and 1.3% (95% CI: 0.38-3.6), respectively. Comparing deaths on board with expected deaths based on naive CFR estimates from China, we estimated CFR and IFR in China to be 1.2% (95% CI: 0.3-2.7) and 0.6% (95% CI: 0.2-1.3), respectively.
Item Type Article
Elements ID 146464
Date Deposited 07 Apr 2020 12:05

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