Armitage, Edwin P; Keeley, Alex J; de Crombrugghe, Gabrielle; Senghore, Elina; Camara, Fatoumatta E; Jammeh, Musukoi; Bittaye, Amat; Ceesay, Haddy; Ceesay, Isatou; Samateh, Bunja; +6 more... Manneh, Muhammed; Sesay, Abdul Karim; Kampmann, Beate; Kucharski, Adam; de Silva, Thushan I; Marks, Michael; (2023) Streptococcus pyogenes carriage acquisition, persistence and transmission dynamics within households in The Gambia (SpyCATS): protocol for a longitudinal household cohort study. Wellcome Open Research, 8. p. 41. ISSN 2398-502X DOI: https://doi.org/10.12688/wellcomeopenres.18716.1

Jones-Gray, Elenor; Robinson, Elizabeth J; Kucharski, Adam J; Fox, Annette; Sullivan, Sheena G; (2023) Does repeated influenza vaccination attenuate effectiveness? A systematic review and meta-analysis. The Lancet Respiratory medicine, 11 (1). pp. 27-44. ISSN 2213-2600 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/S2213-2600(22)00266-1

Lotto Batista, Martín; Rees, Eleanor M; Gómez, Andrea; López, Soledad; Castell, Stefanie; Kucharski, Adam J; Ghozzi, Stéphane; Müller, Gabriela V; Lowe, Rachel; (2023) Towards a leptospirosis early warning system in northeastern Argentina. Journal of the Royal Society Interface, 20 (202). 20230069-. ISSN 1742-5689 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1098/rsif.2023.0069

Nilles, Eric J; de St Aubin, Michael; Dumas, Devan; Duke, William; Etienne, Marie Caroline; Abdalla, Gabriela; Jarolim, Petr; Oasan, Timothy; Garnier, Salome; Iihoshi, Naomi; +20 more... Lopez, Beatriz; de la Cruz, Lucia; Puello, Yosanly Cornelio; Baldwin, Margaret; Roberts, Kathryn W; Peña, Farah; Durski, Kara; Sanchez, Isaac Miguel; Gunter, Sarah M; Kneubehl, Alexander R; Murray, Kristy O; Lino, Allison; Strobel, Sarah; Baez, Amado Alejandro; Lau, Colleen L; Kucharski, Adam; Gutiérrez, Emily Zielinski; Skewes-Ramm, Ronald; Vasquez, Marietta; Paulino, Cecilia Then; (2023) Monitoring Temporal Changes in SARS-CoV-2 Spike Antibody Levels and Variant-Specific Risk for Infection, Dominican Republic, March 2021-August 2022. Emerging infectious diseases, 29 (4). pp. 723-733. ISSN 1080-6040 DOI: https://doi.org/10.3201/eid2904.221628

Pung, Rachael; Clapham, Hannah E; Russell, Timothy W; CMMID COVID-19 Working Group; Lee, Vernon J; Kucharski, Adam J; (2023) Relative role of border restrictions, case finding and contact tracing in controlling SARS-CoV-2 in the presence of undetected transmission: a mathematical modelling study. BMC medicine, 21 (1). 97-. ISSN 1741-7015 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1186/s12916-023-02802-0

Rees, EM; (2023) Understanding complex drivers of infectious disease transmission dynamics. PhD thesis, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine. DOI: https://doi.org/10.17037/PUBS.04670851

Robert, Alexis; Tsui Lok Hei, Joseph; Watson, Conall H; Gsell, Pierre-Stéphane; Hall, Yper; Rambaut, Andrew; Longini, Ira M; Sakoba, Keïta; Kucharski, Adam J; Touré, Alhassane; +15 more... Danmadji Nadlaou, Sévérine; Saidou Barry, Mamadou; Fofana, Thierno Oumar; Lansana Kaba, Ibrahima; Sylla, Lansana; Diaby, Mohamed Lamine; Soumah, Ousmane; Diallo, Abdourahime; Niare, Amadou; Diallo, Abdourahamane; Eggo, Rosalind M; Caroll, Miles W; Henao-Restrepo, Ana Maria; Edmunds, W John; Hué, Stéphane; (2023) Quantifying the value of viral genomics when inferring who infected whom in the 2014-16 Ebola virus outbreak in Guinea. Virus evolution, 9 (1). vead007-. ISSN 2057-1577 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1093/ve/vead007

van Tonder, Andries J; McCullagh, Frances; McKeand, Hanan; Thaw, Sue; Bellis, Katie; Raisen, Claire; Lay, Liz; Aggarwal, Dinesh; Holmes, Mark; Parkhill, Julian; +3 more... Harrison, Ewan M; Kucharski, Adam; Conlan, Andrew; (2023) Colonization and transmission of Staphylococcus aureus in schools: a citizen science project. Microbial genomics, 9 (4). ISSN 2057-5858 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1099/mgen.0.000993

Bacigalupo, Sonny A; Chang, Yu-Mei; Dixon, Linda K; Gubbins, Simon; Kucharski, Adam J; Drewe, Julian A; (2022) The importance of fine-scale predictors of wild boar habitat use in an isolated population. Ecology and Evolution, 12 (6). e9031-. ISSN 2045-7758 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1002/ece3.9031

Bacigalupo, Sonny A; Dixon, Linda K; Gubbins, Simon; Kucharski, Adam J; Drewe, Julian A; (2022) Wild boar visits to commercial pig farms in southwest England: implications for disease transmission. European journal of wildlife research, 68 (6). p. 69. ISSN 1612-4642 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10344-022-01618-2

Chapman, Lloyd AC; Barnard, Rosanna C; Russell, Timothy W; Abbott, Sam; van Zandvoort, Kevin; Davies, Nicholas G; Kucharski, Adam J; (2022) Unexposed populations and potential COVID-19 hospitalisations and deaths in European countries as per data up to 21 November 2021. Euro surveillance, 27 (1). ISSN 1025-496X DOI: https://doi.org/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2022.27.1.2101038

Colton, Hayley; Hodgson, David; Hornsby, Hailey; Brown, Rebecca; Mckenzie, Joanne; Bradley, Kirsty L; James, Cameron; Lindsey, Benjamin B; Birch, Sarah; Marsh, Louise; +14 more... Wood, Steven; Bayley, Martin; Dickson, Gary; James, David C; Nicklin, Martin J; Sayers, Jon R; Zafred, Domen; Rowland-Jones, Sarah L; Kudesia, Goura; Kucharski, Adam; CMMID COVID-19 Working Group; Darton, Thomas C; de Silva, Thushan I; Collini, Paul J; (2022) Risk factors for SARS-CoV-2 seroprevalence following the first pandemic wave in UK healthcare workers in a large NHS Foundation Trust. Wellcome Open Research, 6. 220-. ISSN 2398-502X DOI: https://doi.org/10.12688/wellcomeopenres.17143.3

Endo 遠藤彰, Akira; CMMID COVID-19 Working Group; Uchida 内田満夫, Mitsuo; Liu 刘扬, Yang; Atkins, Katherine E; Kucharski, Adam J; Funk, Sebastian; (2022) Simulating respiratory disease transmission within and between classrooms to assess pandemic management strategies at schools. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 119 (37). e2203019119-. ISSN 0027-8424 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2203019119

Finch, Emilie; Lowe, Rachel; Fischinger, Stephanie; de St Aubin, Michael; Siddiqui, Sameed M; Dayal, Diana; Loesche, Michael A; Rhee, Justin; Beger, Samuel; Hu, Yiyuan; +9 more... Gluck, Matthew J; Mormann, Benjamin; Hasdianda, Mohammad A; Musk, Elon R; Alter, Galit; Menon, Anil S; Nilles, Eric J; Kucharski, Adam J; CMMID COVID-19 working group and the SpaceX COVID-19 Cohort Coll; (2022) SARS-CoV-2 antibodies protect against reinfection for at least 6 months in a multicentre seroepidemiological workplace cohort. PLoS Biology, 20 (2). e3001531-. ISSN 1544-9173 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pbio.3001531

Gibbs, Hamish; Waterlow, Naomi R; Cheshire, James; Danon, Leon; Liu, Yang; Grundy, Chris; Kucharski, Adam J; Eggo, Rosalind M; (2022) Population disruption: observational study of changes in the population distribution of the UK during the COVID-19 pandemic. Wellcome Open Research, 7. p. 243. ISSN 2398-502X DOI: https://doi.org/10.12688/wellcomeopenres.18358.1

Kucharski, Adam J; Cohen, Cheryl; (2022) Effective surveillance of variants. Science, 375 (6587). pp. 1349-1350. ISSN 0036-8075 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1126/science.abo4257

Nilles, Eric J; Paulino, Cecilia Then; de St Aubin, Michael; Restrepo, Angela Cadavid; Mayfield, Helen; Dumas, Devan; Finch, Emilie; Garnier, Salome; Etienne, Marie Caroline; Iselin, Louisa; +22 more... Duke, William; Jarolim, Petr; Oasan, Timothy; Yu, Jingyou; Wan, Huahua; Peña, Farah; Iihoshi, Naomi; Abdalla, Gabriela; Lopez, Beatriz; Cruz, Lucia de la; Henríquez, Bernarda; Espinosa-Bode, Andres; Puello, Yosanly Cornelio; Durski, Kara; Baldwin, Margaret; Baez, Amado Alejandro; Merchant, Roland C; Barouch, Dan H; Skewes-Ramm, Ronald; Gutiérrez, Emily Zielinski; Kucharski, Adam; Lau, Colleen L; (2022) SARS-CoV-2 seroprevalence, cumulative infections, and immunity to symptomatic infection - A multistage national household survey and modelling study, Dominican Republic, June-October 2021. Lancet regional health Americas, 16. 100390-. ISSN 2667-193X DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.lana.2022.100390

Pung, Rachael; Firth, Josh A; Spurgin, Lewis G; Singapore CruiseSafe working group; CMMID COVID-19 working group; Lee, Vernon J; Kucharski, Adam J; (2022) Using high-resolution contact networks to evaluate SARS-CoV-2 transmission and control in large-scale multi-day events. Nature Communications, 13 (1). 1956-. ISSN 2041-1723 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-022-29522-y

Rees, Eleanor M; Lau, Colleen L; Kama, Mike; Reid, Simon; Lowe, Rachel; Kucharski, Adam J; (2022) Estimating the duration of antibody positivity and likely time of Leptospira infection using data from a cross-sectional serological study in Fiji. PLoS neglected tropical diseases, 16 (6). e0010506-. ISSN 1935-2727 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pntd.0010506

Robert, Alexis; Kucharski, Adam J; Funk, Sebastian; (2022) The impact of local vaccine coverage and recent incidence on measles transmission in France between 2009 and 2018. BMC Medicine, 20 (1). 77-. ISSN 1741-7015 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1186/s12916-022-02277-5

Rokicki, Tomasz; Jadczak, Radosław; Kucharski, Adam; Bórawski, Piotr; Bełdycka-Bórawska, Aneta; Szeberényi, András; Perkowska, Aleksandra; (2022) Changes in Energy Consumption and Energy Intensity in EU Countries as a Result of the COVID-19 Pandemic by Sector and Area Economy. Energies, 15 (17). p. 6243. ISSN 1996-1073 DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/en15176243

Biggs, Joseph R; Sy, Ava Kristy; Brady, Oliver J; Kucharski, Adam J; Funk, Sebastian; Tu, Yun-Hung; Reyes, Mary Anne Joy; Quinones, Mary Ann; Jones-Warner, William; Ashall, James; +8 more... Avelino, Ferchito L; Sucaldito, Nemia L; Tandoc, Amado O; Cutiongco-de la Paz, Eva; Capeding, Maria Rosario Z; Padilla, Carmencita D; Hibberd, Martin L; Hafalla, Julius Clemence R; (2021) Serological Evidence of Widespread Zika Transmission across the Philippines. Viruses, 13 (8). p. 1441. DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/v13081441

Biggs, Joseph R; Sy, Ava Kristy; Sherratt, Katharine; Brady, Oliver J; Kucharski, Adam J; Funk, Sebastian; Reyes, Mary Anne Joy; Quinones, Mary Ann; Jones-Warner, William; Avelino, Ferchito L; +7 more... Sucaldito, Nemia L; Tandoc, Amado O; la Paz, Eva Cutiongco-de; Capeding, Maria Rosario Z; Padilla, Carmencita D; Hafalla, Julius Clemence R; Hibberd, Martin L; (2021) Estimating the annual dengue force of infection from the age of reporting primary infections across urban centres in endemic countries. BMC medicine, 19 (1). 217-. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1186/s12916-021-02101-6

Brady, Oliver J; Kucharski, Adam J; Funk, Sebastian; Jafari, Yalda; Loock, Marnix Van; Herrera-Taracena, Guillermo; Menten, Joris; Edmunds, W John; Sim, Shuzhen; Ng, Lee-Ching; +2 more... Hué, Stéphane; Hibberd, Martin L; (2021) Case-area targeted interventions (CATI) for reactive dengue control: Modelling effectiveness of vector control and prophylactic drugs in Singapore. PLoS neglected tropical diseases, 15 (8). e0009562-. ISSN 1935-2727 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pntd.0009562

Davies, Nicholas G; Abbott, Sam; Barnard, Rosanna C; Jarvis, Christopher I; Kucharski, Adam J; Munday, James D; Pearson, Carl AB; Russell, Timothy W; Tully, Damien C; Washburne, Alex D; +15 more... Wenseleers, Tom; Gimma, Amy; Waites, William; Wong, Kerry LM; van Zandvoort, Kevin; Silverman, Justin D; CMMID COVID-19 Working Group; COVID-19 Genomics UK (COG-UK) Consortium; Diaz-Ordaz, Karla; Keogh, Ruth; Eggo, Rosalind M; Funk, Sebastian; Jit, Mark; Atkins, Katherine E; Edmunds, W John; (2021) Estimated transmissibility and impact of SARS-CoV-2 lineage B.1.1.7 in England. Science (New York, N.Y.), 372 (6538). 149-+. ISSN 0036-8075 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1126/science.abg3055

Eggo, Rosalind M; Dawa, Jeanette; Kucharski, Adam J; Cucunuba, Zulma M; (2021) The importance of local context in COVID-19 models. Nature Computational Science, 1 (1). pp. 6-8. ISSN 2662-8457 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s43588-020-00014-7

Endo, A; (2021) Roles of heterogeneity in infectious disease epidemiology: implications on dynamics, inference and control of influenza and COVID-19. PhD (research paper style) thesis, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine. DOI: https://doi.org/10.17037/PUBS.04661974

Endo, Akira; Centre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases COV; Leclerc, Quentin J; Knight, Gwenan M; Medley, Graham F; Atkins, Katherine E; Funk, Sebastian; Kucharski, Adam J; (2021) Implication of backward contact tracing in the presence of overdispersed transmission in COVID-19 outbreaks. Wellcome Open Research, 5. 239-. DOI: https://doi.org/10.12688/wellcomeopenres.16344.3

Endo, Akira; Uchida, Mitsuo; Hayashi, Naoki; Liu, Yang; Atkins, Katherine E; Kucharski, Adam J; Funk, Sebastian; (2021) Within and between classroom transmission patterns of seasonal influenza among primary school students in Matsumoto city, Japan. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A, 118 (46). e2112605118-e2112605118. ISSN 0027-8424 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2112605118

Gibbs, Hamish; Nightingale, Emily; Liu, Yang; Cheshire, James; Danon, Leon; Smeeth, Liam; Pearson, Carl AB; Grundy, Chris; LSHTM CMMID COVID-19 working group; Kucharski, Adam J; +1 more... Eggo, Rosalind M; LSHTM CMMID COVID-19 working group; (2021) Detecting behavioural changes in human movement to inform the spatial scale of interventions against COVID-19. PLoS computational biology, 17 (7). e1009162-. ISSN 1553-734X DOI: https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1009162

Hellewell, Joel; Russell, Timothy W; SAFER Investigators and Field Study Team; Crick COVID-19 Consortium; CMMID COVID-19 working group; Beale, Rupert; Kelly, Gavin; Houlihan, Catherine; Nastouli, Eleni; Kucharski, Adam J; (2021) Estimating the effectiveness of routine asymptomatic PCR testing at different frequencies for the detection of SARS-CoV-2 infections. BMC medicine, 19 (1). 106-. ISSN 1741-7015 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1186/s12916-021-01982-x

Henderson, Alasdair D; Kama, Mike; Aubry, Maite; Hue, Stephane; Teissier, Anita; Naivalu, Taina; Bechu, Vinaisi D; Kailawadoko, Jimaima; Rabukawaqa, Isireli; Sahukhan, Aalisha; +9 more... Hibberd, Martin L; Nilles, Eric J; Funk, Sebastian; Whitworth, Jimmy; Watson, Conall H; Lau, Colleen L; Edmunds, W John; Cao-Lormeau, Van-Mai; Kucharski, Adam J; (2021) Interactions between timing and transmissibility explain diverse flavivirus dynamics in Fiji. Nature communications, 12 (1). 1671-. ISSN 2041-1723 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-021-21788-y

Hodgson, David; Flasche, Stefan; Jit, Mark; Kucharski, Adam J; CMMID COVID-19 Working Group; Centre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Disease (CMMID) ; (2021) The potential for vaccination-induced herd immunity against the SARS-CoV-2 B.1.1.7 variant. Eurosurveillance, 26 (20). ISSN 1025-496X DOI: https://doi.org/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2021.26.20.2100428

Kucharski, Adam J; Hodcroft, Emma B; Kraemer, Moritz UG; (2021) Sharing, synthesis and sustainability of data analysis for epidemic preparedness in Europe. The Lancet Regional Health Europe, 9. 100215-. ISSN 2666-7762 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.lanepe.2021.100215

Leng, Trystan; White, Connor; Hilton, Joe; Kucharski, Adam; Pellis, Lorenzo; Stage, Helena; Davies, Nicholas G; Keeling, Matt J; Flasche, Stefan; Centre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Disease 2019 nCo; (2021) The effectiveness of social bubbles as part of a Covid-19 lockdown exit strategy, a modelling study. Wellcome Open Research, 5. p. 213. DOI: https://doi.org/10.12688/wellcomeopenres.16164.2

Nilles, Eric J; Siddiqui, Sameed M; Fischinger, Stephanie; Bartsch, Yannic C; de St. Aubin, Michael; Zhou, Guohai; Gluck, Matthew J; Berger, Samuel; Rhee, Justin; Petersen, Eric; +22 more... Mormann, Benjamin; Loesche, Michael; Hu, Yiyuan; Chen, Zhilin; Yu, Jingyou; Gebre, Makda; Atyeo, Caroline; Gorman, Matthew J; Zhu, Alex Lee; Burke, John; Slein, Matthew; Hasdianda, Mohammad A; Jambaulikar, Guruprasad; Boyer, Edward W; Sabeti, Pardis C; Barouch, Dan H; Julg, Boris; Kucharski, Adam J; Musk, Elon R; Lauffenburger, Douglas A; Alter, Galit; Menon, Anil S; (2021) Epidemiological and Immunological Features of Obesity and SARS-CoV-2. Viruses, 13 (11). p. 2235. DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/v13112235

Pung, Rachael; Mak, Tze Minn; CMMID COVID-19 working group; Kucharski, Adam J; Lee, Vernon J; (2021) Serial intervals in SARS-CoV-2 B.1.617.2 variant cases. Lancet, 398 (10303). pp. 837-838. ISSN 0140-6736 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(21)01697-4

Pung, Rachael; Mak, Tze Minn; Kucharski, Adam J; Lee, Vernon J; (2021) Serial intervals observed in SARS-CoV-2 B.1.617.2 variant cases. medRxiv preprint. ISSN 1468-5833 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1101/2021.06.04.21258205

Quilty, Billy J; Clifford, Samuel; Hellewell, Joel; Russell, Timothy W; Kucharski, Adam J; Flasche, Stefan; Edmunds, W John; Centre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases COV; (2021) Quarantine and testing strategies in contact tracing for SARS-CoV-2: a modelling study. The Lancet Public Health, 6 (3). e175-e183. ISSN 2468-2667 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/S2468-2667(20)30308-X

Rees, Eleanor M; Minter, Amanda; Edmunds, W John; Lau, Colleen L; Kucharski, Adam J; Lowe, Rachel; (2021) Transmission modelling of environmentally persistent zoonotic diseases: a systematic review. The Lancet. Planetary health, 5 (7). e466-e478. ISSN 2542-5196 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/S2542-5196(21)00137-6

Rees, Eleanor M; Waterlow, Naomi R; Lowe, Rachel; Kucharski, Adam J; (2021) Estimating the duration of seropositivity of human seasonal coronaviruses using seroprevalence studies. Wellcome Open Research, 6. p. 138. ISSN 2398-502X DOI: https://doi.org/10.12688/wellcomeopenres.16701.3

Robert, A; (2021) Modelling the Risks of Measles Outbreaks Near Elimination. PhD (research paper style) thesis, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine. DOI: https://doi.org/10.17037/PUBS.04664163

Robert, Alexis; Funk, Sebastian; Kucharski, Adam J; (2021) o2geosocial: Reconstructing who-infected-whom from routinely collected surveillance data. F1000Research, 10. p. 31. DOI: https://doi.org/10.12688/f1000research.28073.2

Robert, Alexis; Funk, Sebastian; Kucharski, Adam J; (2021) o2geosocial: Reconstructing who-infected-whom from routinely collected surveillance data. F1000Research, 10. p. 31. DOI: https://doi.org/10.12688/f1000research.28073.1

Russell, Timothy W; Wu, Joseph T; Clifford, Sam; Edmunds, W John; Kucharski, Adam J; Jit, Mark; Centre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases COV; Centre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases COV; (2021) Effect of internationally imported cases on internal spread of COVID-19: a mathematical modelling study. LANCET PUBLIC HEALTH, 6 (1). e12-e20. ISSN 2468-2667 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/S2468-2667(20)30263-2

Abbott, Sam; Hellewell, Joel; Thompson, Robin N; Sherratt, Katharine; Gibbs, Hamish P; Bosse, Nikos I; Munday, James D; Meakin, Sophie; Doughty, Emma L; Chun, June Young; +11 more... Chan, Yung-Wai Desmond; Finger, Flavio; Campbell, Paul; Endo, Akira; Pearson, Carl AB; Gimma, Amy; Russell, Tim; Flasche, Stefan; Kucharski, Adam J; Eggo, Rosalind M; Funk, Sebastian; (2020) Estimating the time-varying reproduction number of SARS-CoV-2 using national and subnational case counts. Wellcome Open Research, 5. p. 112. DOI: https://doi.org/10.12688/wellcomeopenres.16006.2

Aubry, Maite; Kama, Mike; Henderson, Alasdair D; Teissier, Anita; Vanhomwegen, Jessica; Mariteragi-Helle, Teheipuaura; Paoaafaite, Tuterarii; Manuguerra, Jean-Claude; Christi, Ketan; Watson, Conall H; +3 more... Lau, Colleen L; Kucharski, Adam J; Cao-Lormeau, Van-Mai; (2020) Low chikungunya virus seroprevalence two years after emergence in Fiji. International Journal of Infectious Diseases, 90. pp. 223-225. ISSN 1201-9712 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijid.2019.10.040

Bacigalupo, Sonny A; Dixon, Linda K; Gubbins, Simon; Kucharski, Adam J; Drewe, Julian A; (2020) Towards a unified generic framework to define and observe contacts between livestock and wildlife: a systematic review. PeerJ, 8. e10221-. DOI: https://doi.org/10.7717/peerj.10221

Biggs, Joseph R; Sy, Ava Kristy; Brady, Oliver J; Kucharski, Adam J; Funk, Sebastian; Reyes, Mary Anne Joy; Quinones, Mary Ann; Jones-Warner, William; Tu, Yun-Hung; Avelino, Ferchito L; +15 more... Sucaldito, Nemia L; Mai, Huynh Kim; Lien, Le Thuy; Do Thai, Hung; Nguyen, Hien Anh Thi; Anh, Dang Duc; Iwasaki, Chihiro; Kitamura, Noriko; Yoshida, Lay-Myint; Tandoc, Amado O; la Paz, Eva Cutiongco-de; Capeding, Maria Rosario Z; Padilla, Carmencita D; Hafalla, Julius Clemence R; Hibberd, Martin L; (2020) A serological framework to investigate acute primary and post-primary dengue cases reporting across the Philippines. BMC medicine, 18 (1). 364-. ISSN 1741-7015 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1186/s12916-020-01833-1

Davies, Nicholas G; Abbott, Sam; Barnard, Rosanna C; Jarvis, Christopher I; Kucharski, Adam J; Munday, James D; Pearson, Carl AB; Russell, Timothy W; Tully, Damien C; Washburne, Alex D; +13 more... Wenseleers, Tom; Gimma, Amy; Waites, William; Wong, Kerry LM; van Zandvoort, Kevin; Silverman, Justin D; Diaz-Ordaz, Karla; Keogh, Ruth; Eggo, Rosalind M; Funk, Sebastian; Jit, Mark; Atkins, Katherine E; Edmunds, W John; (2020) Estimated transmissibility and impact of SARS-CoV-2 lineage B.1.1.7 in England. MedRxiv. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.12.24.20248822 Item availability may be restricted.

Davies, Nicholas G; Kucharski, Adam J; Eggo, Rosalind M; Gimma, Amy; Edmunds, W John; (2020) The effect of non-pharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19 cases, deaths and demand for hospital services in the UK: a modelling study. MedRxiv. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.01.20049908 Item availability may be restricted.

Davies, Nicholas G; Kucharski, Adam J; Eggo, Rosalind M; Gimma, Amy; Edmunds, W John; Centre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases COV; (2020) Effects of non-pharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19 cases, deaths, and demand for hospital services in the UK: a modelling study. The Lancet. Public health, 5 (7). e375-e385. ISSN 2468-2667 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/S2468-2667(20)30133-X

Endo, A; Funk, S; Kucharski, AJ; (2020) Bias correction methods for test-negative designs in the presence of misclassification. EPIDEMIOLOGY AND INFECTION, 148. e216-. ISSN 0950-2688 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1017/S0950268820002058

Endo, Akira; Centre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases COV; Abbott, Sam; Kucharski, Adam J; Funk, Sebastian; (2020) Estimating the overdispersion in COVID-19 transmission using outbreak sizes outside China. Wellcome Open Research, 5. 67-. DOI: https://doi.org/10.12688/wellcomeopenres.15842.3

Endo, Akira; Centre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases COV; Leclerc, Quentin J; Knight, Gwenan M; Medley, Graham F; Atkins, Katherine E; Funk, Sebastian; Kucharski, Adam J; (2020) Implication of backward contact tracing in the presence of overdispersed transmission in COVID-19 outbreaks. Wellcome open research, 5. 239-. ISSN 2398-502X DOI: https://doi.org/10.12688/wellcomeopenres.16344.1

Endo, Akira; Centre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases COV; Leclerc, Quentin J; Knight, Gwenan M; Medley, Graham F; Atkins, Katherine E; Funk, Sebastian; Kucharski, Adam J; (2020) Implication of backward contact tracing in the presence of overdispersed transmission in COVID-19 outbreaks. Wellcome Open Res, 5. 239-. ISSN 2398-502X DOI: https://doi.org/10.12688/wellcomeopenres.16344.2

Firth, Josh A; Hellewell, Joel; Klepac, Petra; Kissler, Stephen; CMMID COVID-19 Working Group; Kucharski, Adam J; Spurgin, Lewis G; (2020) Using a real-world network to model localized COVID-19 control strategies. NATURE MEDICINE, 26 (10). pp. 1616-1622. ISSN 1078-8956 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41591-020-1036-8

Gibbs, Hamish; Nightingale, Emily; Liu, Yang; Cheshire, James; Danon, Leon; Smeeth, Liam; Pearson, Carl AB; Grundy, Chris; Kucharski, Adam J; Eggo, Rosalind M; (2020) Detecting behavioural changes in human movement to inform the spatial scale of interventions against COVID-19. MedRxiv. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.10.26.20219550

Gostic, Katelyn; Gomez, Ana Cr; Mummah, Riley O; Kucharski, Adam J; Lloyd-Smith, James O; (2020) Estimated effectiveness of symptom and risk screening to prevent the spread of COVID-19. eLife, 9. e55570-. ISSN 2050-084X DOI: https://doi.org/10.7554/eLife.55570

Hay, James A; Minter, Amanda; Ainslie, Kylie EC; Lessler, Justin; Yang, Bingyi; Cummings, Derek AT; Kucharski, Adam J; Riley, Steven; (2020) An open source tool to infer epidemiological and immunological dynamics from serological data: serosolver. PLoS computational biology, 16 (5). e1007840-. ISSN 1553-734X DOI: https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1007840

Hellewell, Joel; Abbott, Sam; Gimma, Amy; Bosse, Nikos I; Jarvis, Christopher I; Russell, Timothy W; Munday, James D; Kucharski, Adam J; Edmunds, W John; Centre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases COV; +2 more... Funk, Sebastian; Eggo, Rosalind M; (2020) Feasibility of controlling COVID-19 outbreaks by isolation of cases and contacts. The Lancet. Global health, 8 (4). e488-e496. ISSN 2214-109X DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/S2214-109X(20)30074-7

Hellewell, Joel; Abbott, Sam; Gimma, Amy; Bosse, Nikos I; Jarvis, Christopher I; Russell, Timothy W; Munday, James D; Kucharski, Adam J; Edmunds, W John; Funk, Sebastian; +1 more... Eggo, Rosalind M; (2020) Feasibility of controlling 2019-nCoV outbreaks by isolation of cases and contacts. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.02.08.20021162

Hellewell, Joel; Russell, Timothy W; Beale, Rupert; Kelly, Gavin; Houlihan, Catherine; Nastouli, Eleni; Kucharski, Adam J; (2020) Estimating the effectiveness of routine asymptomatic PCR testing at different frequencies for the detection of SARS-CoV-2 infections. MedRxiv - BMJ Yale. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.11.24.20229948

Henderson, AD; (2020) Mathematical Modelling of Arbovirus Outbreak Dynamics in Fiji and the Wider Pacific. PhD (research paper style) thesis, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine. DOI: https://doi.org/10.17037/PUBS.04660713

Henderson, Alasdair D; Aubry, Maite; Kama, Mike; Vanhomwegen, Jessica; Teissier, Anita; Mariteragi-Helle, Teheipuaura; Paoaafaite, Tuterarii; Teissier, Yoann; Manuguerra, Jean-Claude; Edmunds, John; +5 more... Whitworth, Jimmy; Watson, Conall H; Lau, Colleen L; Cao-Lormeau, Van-Mai; Kucharski, Adam J; (2020) Zika seroprevalence declines and neutralizing antibodies wane in adults following outbreaks in French Polynesia and Fiji. ELIFE, 9. ISSN 2050-084X DOI: https://doi.org/10.7554/eLife.48460

Jombart, Thibaut; van Zandvoort, Kevin; Russell, Timothy W; Jarvis, Christopher I; Gimma, Amy; Abbott, Sam; Clifford, Sam; Funk, Sebastian; Gibbs, Hamish; Liu, Yang; +6 more... Pearson, Carl AB; Bosse, Nikos I; Centre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases COV; Eggo, Rosalind M; Kucharski, Adam J; Edmunds, W John; Centre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases COV; (2020) Inferring the number of COVID-19 cases from recently reported deaths. Wellcome Open Res, 5. 78-. ISSN 2398-502X DOI: https://doi.org/10.12688/wellcomeopenres.15786.1

Jombart, Thibaut; van Zandvoort, Kevin; Russell, Timothy W; Jarvis, Christopher I; Gimma, Amy; Abbott, Sam; Clifford, Sam; Funk, Sebastian; Gibbs, Hamish; Liu, Yang; +6 more... Pearson, Carl AB; Bosse, Nikos I; Centre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases COV; Eggo, Rosalind M; Kucharski, Adam J; Edmunds, W John; (2020) Inferring the number of COVID-19 cases from recently reported deaths. medRxiv. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.03.10.20033761

Jombart, Thibaut; van Zandvoort, Kevin; Russell, Timothy W; Jarvis, Christopher I; Gimma, Amy; Abbott, Sam; Clifford, Sam; Funk, Sebastian; Gibbs, Hamish; Liu, Yang; +6 more... Pearson, Carl AB; Bosse, Nikos I; Centre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases COV; Eggo, Rosalind M; Kucharski, Adam J; Edmunds, W John; (2020) Inferring the number of COVID-19 cases from recently reported deaths. Wellcome open research, 5. 78-. DOI: https://doi.org/10.12688/wellcomeopenres.15786.1

Kucharski, Adam J; Eggo, Rosalind M; (2020) Invisible spread of SARS-CoV-2 - Authors' reply. The Lancet. Infectious diseases, 20 (9). 1012-. ISSN 1473-3099 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/S1473-3099(20)30275-9 Full text not available from this repository.

Kucharski, Adam J; Funk, Sebastian; Eggo, Rosalind M; (2020) The COVID-19 response illustrates that traditional academic reward structures and metrics do not reflect crucial contributions to modern science. PLOS BIOLOGY, 18 (10). e3000913-. ISSN 1544-9173 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pbio.3000913

Kucharski, Adam J; Klepac, Petra; Conlan, Andrew JK; Kissler, Stephen M; Tang, Maria L; Fry, Hannah; Gog, Julia R; Edmunds, W John; CMMID COVID-19 working group; (2020) Effectiveness of isolation, testing, contact tracing, and physical distancing on reducing transmission of SARS-CoV-2 in different settings: a mathematical modelling study. LANCET INFECTIOUS DISEASES, 20 (10). pp. 1151-1160. ISSN 1473-3099 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/S1473-3099(20)30457-6

Kucharski, Adam J; Russell, Timothy W; Diamond, Charlie; Liu, Yang; Edmunds, John; Funk, Sebastian; Eggo, Rosalind M; (2020) Early dynamics of transmission and control of COVID-19: a mathematical modelling study. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.01.31.20019901

Kucharski, Adam J; Russell, Timothy W; Diamond, Charlie; Liu, Yang; Edmunds, John; Funk, Sebastian; Eggo, Rosalind M; Centre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases COVID-1; (2020) Early dynamics of transmission and control of COVID-19: a mathematical modelling study. The Lancet. Infectious diseases, 20 (5). pp. 553-558. ISSN 1473-3099 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/S1473-3099(20)30144-4

Leng, Trystan; White, Connor; Hilton, Joe; Kucharski, Adam; Pellis, Lorenzo; Stage, Helena; Davies, Nicholas G; Centre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Disease 2019 nCo; Keeling, Matt J; Flasche, Stefan; Centre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Disease 2019 nCo; (2020) The effectiveness of social bubbles as part of a Covid-19 lockdown exit strategy, a modelling study. Wellcome Open Res, 5. 213-. ISSN 2398-502X DOI: https://doi.org/10.12688/wellcomeopenres.16164.2

Liu, Yang; Eggo, Rosalind M; Kucharski, Adam J; (2020) Secondary attack rate and superspreading events for SARS-CoV-2. LANCET, 395 (10227). e47-. ISSN 0140-6736 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(20)30462-1 Full text not available from this repository.

Minter, Amanda; Hoschler, Katja; Jagne, Ya Jankey; Sallah, Hadijatou; Armitage, Edwin; Lindsey, Benjamin; Hay, James A; Riley, Steven; de Silva, Thushan I; Kucharski, Adam J; (2020) Estimation of Seasonal Influenza Attack Rates and Antibody Dynamics in Children Using Cross-Sectional Serological Data. The Journal of infectious diseases, 225 (10). pp. 1750-1754. ISSN 0022-1899 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1093/infdis/jiaa338

Prem, Kiesha; Liu, Yang; Russell, Timothy W; Kucharski, Adam J; Eggo, Rosalind M; Davies, Nicholas; Centre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases COV; Jit, Mark; Klepac, Petra; (2020) The effect of control strategies to reduce social mixing on outcomes of the COVID-19 epidemic in Wuhan, China: a modelling study. The Lancet. Public health, 5 (5). e261-e270. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/S2468-2667(20)30073-6

Robert, Alexis; Kucharski, Adam J; Gastañaduy, Paul A; Paul, Prabasaj; Funk, Sebastian; (2020) Probabilistic reconstruction of measles transmission clusters from routinely collected surveillance data. Journal of the Royal Society, Interface, 17 (168). 20200084-. ISSN 1742-5689 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1098/rsif.2020.0084

Russell, Timothy W; Golding, Nick; Hellewell, Joel; Abbott, Sam; Wright, Lawrence; Pearson, Carl AB; Zandvoort, Kevin van; Jarvis, Christopher I; Gibbs, Hamish; Liu, Yang; +3 more... Eggo, Rosalind M; Edmunds, W John; Kucharski, Adam J; (2020) Reconstructing the early global dynamics of under-ascertained COVID-19 cases and infections. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.07.07.20148460

Russell, Timothy W; Golding, Nick; Hellewell, Joel; Abbott, Sam; Wright, Lawrence; Pearson, Carl AB; van Zandvoort, Kevin; Jarvis, Christopher I; Gibbs, Hamish; Liu, Yang; +4 more... Eggo, Rosalind M; Edmunds, W John; Kucharski, Adam J; CMMID COVID-19 working group; (2020) Reconstructing the early global dynamics of under-ascertained COVID-19 cases and infections. BMC medicine, 18 (1). 332-. ISSN 1741-7015 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1186/s12916-020-01790-9

Russell, Timothy W; Hellewell, Joel; Jarvis, Christopher I; van Zandvoort, Kevin; Abbott, Sam; Ratnayake, Ruwan; CMMID COVID-19 working group; Flasche, Stefan; Eggo, Rosalind M; Edmunds, W John; +1 more... Kucharski, Adam J; (2020) Estimating the infection and case fatality ratio for coronavirus disease (COVID-19) using age-adjusted data from the outbreak on the Diamond Princess cruise ship, February 2020. Euro Surveill, 25 (12). ISSN 1560-7917 DOI: https://doi.org/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2020.25.12.2000256

van Zandvoort, Kevin; Jarvis, Christopher I; Pearson, Carl AB; Davies, Nicholas G; CMMID COVID-19 working group; Ratnayake, Ruwan; Russell, Timothy W; Kucharski, Adam J; Jit, Mark; Flasche, Stefan; +2 more... Eggo, Rosalind M; Checchi, Francesco; (2020) Response strategies for COVID-19 epidemics in African settings: a mathematical modelling study. BMC Medicine, 18 (1). 324-. ISSN 1741-7015 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1186/s12916-020-01789-2

Aubry, Maite; Kama, Mike; Vanhomwegen, Jessica; Teissier, Anita; Mariteragi-Helle, Teheipuaura; Hue, Stephane; Hibberd, Martin L; Manuguerra, Jean-Claude; Christi, Ketan; Watson, Conall H; +6 more... Nilles, Eric J; Lau, Colleen L; Aaskov, John; Musso, Didier; Kucharski, Adam J; Cao-Lormeau, Van-Mai; (2019) Ross River Virus Antibody Prevalence, Fiji Islands, 2013-2015. EMERGING INFECTIOUS DISEASES, 25 (4). pp. 827-830. ISSN 1080-6040 DOI: https://doi.org/10.3201/eid2504.180694

Bellan, Steven E; Eggo, Rosalind M; Gsell, Pierre-Stéphane; Kucharski, Adam J; Dean, Natalie E; Donohue, Richard; Zook, Matt; Edmunds, W John; Odhiambo, Frank; Longini, Ira M; +3 more... Brisson, Marc; Mahon, Barbara E; Henao-Restrepo, Ana Maria; (2019) An online decision tree for vaccine efficacy trial design during infectious disease epidemics: The InterVax-Tool. Vaccine, 37 (31). pp. 4376-4381. ISSN 0264-410X DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.vaccine.2019.06.019

Endo, Akira; Uchida, Mitsuo; Kucharski, Adam J; Funk, Sebastian; (2019) Fine-scale family structure shapes influenza transmission risk in households: Insights from primary schools in Matsumoto city, 2014/15. PLoS computational biology, 15 (12). e1007589-. ISSN 1553-734X DOI: https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1007589

Finger, Flavio; Funk, Sebastian; White, Kate; Siddiqui, M Ruby; Edmunds, W John; Kucharski, Adam J; (2019) Real-time analysis of the diphtheria outbreak in forcibly displaced Myanmar nationals in Bangladesh. BMC medicine, 17 (1). 58-. ISSN 1741-7015 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1186/s12916-019-1288-7

Funk, Sebastian; Camacho, Anton; Kucharski, Adam J; Lowe, Rachel; Eggo, Rosalind M; Edmunds, W John; (2019) Assessing the performance of real-time epidemic forecasts: A case study of Ebola in the Western Area region of Sierra Leone, 2014-15. PLoS computational biology, 15 (2). e1006785-. ISSN 1553-734X DOI: https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1006785

Kama, Mike; Aubry, Maite; Naivalu, Taina; Vanhomwegen, Jessica; Mariteragi-Helle, Teheipuaura; Teissier, Anita; Paoaafaite, Tuterarii; Hué, Stéphane; Hibberd, Martin L; Manuguerra, Jean-Claude; +8 more... Christi, Ketan; Watson, Conall H; Nilles, Eric J; Aaskov, John; Lau, Colleen L; Musso, Didier; Kucharski, Adam J; Cao-Lormeau, Van-Mai; (2019) Sustained Low-Level Transmission of Zika and Chikungunya Viruses after Emergence in the Fiji Islands. EMERGING INFECTIOUS DISEASES, 25 (8). pp. 1535-1538. ISSN 1080-6040 DOI: https://doi.org/10.3201/eid2508.180524

O'Reilly, Kathleen M; Hendrickx, Emilie; Kharisma, Dinar D; Wilastonegoro, Nandyan N; Carrington, Lauren B; Elyazar, Iqbal RF; Kucharski, Adam J; Lowe, Rachel; Flasche, Stefan; Pigott, David M; +6 more... Reiner, Robert C; Edmunds, W John; Hay, Simon I; Yakob, Laith; Shepard, Donald S; Brady, Oliver J; (2019) Estimating the burden of dengue and the impact of release of wMel Wolbachia-infected mosquitoes in Indonesia: a modelling study. BMC medicine, 17 (1). 172-. ISSN 1741-7015 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1186/s12916-019-1396-4

Robert, Alexis; Edmunds, W John; Watson, Conall H; Henao-Restrepo, Ana Maria; Gsell, Pierre-Stéphane; Williamson, Elizabeth; Longini, Ira M; Sakoba, Keïta; Kucharski, Adam J; Touré, Alhassane; +13 more... Nadlaou, Sévérine Danmadji; Diallo, Boubacar; Barry, Mamamdou Saidou; Fofana, Thierno Oumar; Camara, Louceny; Kaba, Ibrahima Lansana; Sylla, Lansana; Diaby, Mohamed Lamine; Soumah, Ousmane; Diallo, Abdourahime; Niare, Amadou; Diallo, Abdourahmane; Eggo, Rosalind M; (2019) Determinants of Transmission Risk During the Late Stage of the West African Ebola Epidemic. American Journal of Epidemiology, 188 (7). pp. 1319-1327. ISSN 0002-9262 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1093/aje/kwz090

Robert, Alexis; Funk, Sebastian; Kucharski, Adam J; (2019) The measles crisis in Europe-the need for a joined-up approach. The Lancet, 393 (10185). 2033-. ISSN 0140-6736 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(19)31039-6

Eggo, Rosalind M; Kucharski, Adam J; (2018) Expected Duration of Adverse Pregnancy Outcomes after Zika Epidemic. Emerging infectious diseases, 24 (1). pp. 127-130. ISSN 1080-6040 DOI: https://doi.org/10.3201/eid2401.170482

Finger, F; Kucharski, A; Funk, S; Siddiqui, R; White, K; Edmunds, J; (2018) Real-time analysis of the diphtheria outbreak amongst forcibly displaced Myanmar nationals in Bangladesh. F1000Research, F1000Research. DOI: https://doi.org/10.7490/f1000research.1115484.1

Kucharski, Adam J; (2018) Ten simple rules for writing a popular science book. PLoS computational biology, 14 (2). e1005808-. ISSN 1553-734X DOI: https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1005808

Kucharski, Adam J; Kama, Mike; Watson, Conall H; Aubry, Maite; Funk, Sebastian; Henderson, Alasdair D; Brady, Oliver J; Vanhomwegen, Jessica; Manuguerra, Jean-Claude; Lau, Colleen L; +6 more... Edmunds, W John; Aaskov, John; Nilles, Eric James; Cao-Lormeau, Van-Mai; Hué, Stéphane; Hibberd, Martin L; (2018) Using paired serology and surveillance data to quantify dengue transmission and control during a large outbreak in Fiji. eLife, 7. ISSN 2050-084X DOI: https://doi.org/10.7554/eLife.34848

Kucharski, Adam J; Lessler, Justin; Cummings, Derek AT; Riley, Steven; (2018) Timescales of influenza A/H3N2 antibody dynamics. PLoS biology, 16 (8). e2004974-. ISSN 1544-9173 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pbio.2004974

Kucharski, Adam J; Wenham, Clare; Brownlee, Polly; Racon, Lucie; Widmer, Natasha; Eames, Ken TD; Conlan, Andrew JK; (2018) Structure and consistency of self-reported social contact networks in British secondary schools. PloS one, 13 (7). e0200090-. ISSN 1932-6203 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0200090

O'Reilly, Kathleen M; Lowe, Rachel; Edmunds, W John; Mayaud, Philippe; Kucharski, Adam; Eggo, Rosalind M; Funk, Sebastian; Bhatia, Deepit; Khan, Kamran; Kraemer, Moritz UG; +8 more... Wilder-Smith, Annelies; Rodrigues, Laura C; Brasil, Patricia; Massad, Eduardo; Jaenisch, Thomas; Cauchemez, Simon; Brady, Oliver J; Yakob, Laith; (2018) Projecting the end of the Zika virus epidemic in Latin America: a modelling analysis. BMC medicine, 16 (1). 180-. ISSN 1741-7015 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1186/s12916-018-1158-8

Watson, CH; (2018) Seroepidemiological investigations of Salmonella enterica serovar Typhi infection and the potential role of vaccination in the control of typhoid fever in Fiji. PhD (research paper style) thesis, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine. DOI: https://doi.org/10.17037/PUBS.04649219

le Polain de Waroux, O; Cohuet, S; Ndazima, D; Kucharski, AJ; Juan-Giner, A; Flasche, S; Tumwesigye, E; Arinaitwe, R; Mwanga-Amumpaire, J; Boum, Y; +4 more... Nackers, F; Checchi, F; Grais, RF; Edmunds, WJ; (2018) Characteristics of human encounters and social mixing patterns relevant to infectious diseases spread by close contact: a survey in Southwest Uganda. BMC infectious diseases, 18 (1). 172-. ISSN 1471-2334 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1186/s12879-018-3073-1

le Polain de Waroux, Olivier; Flasche, Stefan; Kucharski, Adam J; Langendorf, Celine; Ndazima, Donny; Mwanga-Amumpaire, Juliet; Grais, Rebecca F; Cohuet, Sandra; Edmunds, W John; (2018) Identifying human encounters that shape the transmission of Streptococcus pneumoniae and other acute respiratory infections. Epidemics, 25. pp. 72-79. ISSN 1755-4365 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.epidem.2018.05.008

Funk, Sebastian; Camacho, Anton; Kucharski, Adam J; Lowe, Rachel; Eggo, Rosalind M; Edmunds, W John; (2017) Assessing the performance of real-time epidemic forecasts: A case study of Ebola in the Western Area Region of Sierra Leone, 2014–15. bioRxiv. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1101/177451 (Unpublished)

Funk, Sebastian; Ciglenecki, Iza; Tiffany, Amanda; Gignoux, Etienne; Camacho, Anton; Eggo, Rosalind M; Kucharski, Adam J; Edmunds, W John; Bolongei, Josephus; Azuma, Phillip; +9 more... Clement, Peter; Alpha, Tamba S; Sterk, Esther; Telfer, Barbara; Engel, Gregory; Parker, Lucy Anne; Suzuki, Motoi; Heijenberg, Nico; Reeder, Bruce; (2017) The impact of control strategies and behavioural changes on the elimination of Ebola from Lofa County, Liberia. Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London Series B, Biological sciences, 372 (1721). p. 20160302. ISSN 0962-8436 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1098/rstb.2016.0302

Gsell, Pierre-Stéphane; Camacho, Anton; Kucharski, Adam J; Watson, Conall H; Bagayoko, Aminata; Nadlaou, Séverine Danmadji; Dean, Natalie E; Diallo, Abdourahamane; Diallo, Abdourahmane; Honora, Djidonou A; +15 more... Doumbia, Moussa; Enwere, Godwin; Higgs, Elizabeth S; Mauget, Thomas; Mory, Diakite; Riveros, Ximena; Oumar, Fofana Thierno; Fallah, Mosoka; Toure, Alhassane; Vicari, Andrea S; Longini, Ira M; Edmunds, WJ; Henao-Restrepo, Ana Maria; Kieny, Marie Paule; Kéïta, Sakoba; (2017) Ring vaccination with rVSV-ZEBOV under expanded access in response to an outbreak of Ebola virus disease in Guinea, 2016: an operational and vaccine safety report. The Lancet infectious diseases, 17 (12). pp. 1276-1284. ISSN 1473-3099 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/S1473-3099(17)30541-8

Kucharski, Adam J; Baguelin, Marc; (2017) The role of human immunity and social behavior in shaping influenza evolution. PLoS pathogens, 13 (8). e1006432-. ISSN 1553-7366 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.ppat.1006432

Netto, Eduardo Martins; Moreira-Soto, Andres; Pedroso, Celia; Höser, Christoph; Funk, Sebastian; Kucharski, Adam J; Rockstroh, Alexandra; Kümmerer, Beate M; Sampaio, Gilmara Souza; Luz, Estela; +13 more... Vaz, Sara Nunes; Dias, Juarez Pereira; Bastos, Fernanda Anjos; Cabral, Renata; Kistemann, Thomas; Ulbert, Sebastian; de Lamballerie, Xavier; Jaenisch, Thomas; Brady, Oliver J; Drosten, Christian; Sarno, Manoel; Brites, Carlos; Drexler, Jan Felix; (2017) High Zika Virus Seroprevalence in Salvador, Northeastern Brazil Limits the Potential for Further Outbreaks. mBio, 8 (6). ISSN 2150-7511 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1128/mBio.01390-17

Watson, Conall H; Coriakula, Jeremaia; Ngoc, Dung Tran Thi; Flasche, Stefan; Kucharski, Adam J; Lau, Colleen L; Thieu, Nga Tran Vu; le Polain de Waroux, Olivier; Rawalai, Kitione; Van, Tan Trinh; +5 more... Taufa, Mere; Baker, Stephen; Nilles, Eric J; Kama, Mike; Edmunds, W John; (2017) Social mixing in Fiji: Who-eats-with-whom contact patterns and the implications of age and ethnic heterogeneity for disease dynamics in the Pacific Islands. PloS one, 12 (12). e0186911-. ISSN 1932-6203 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0186911

Camacho, A; Eggo, RM; Goeyvaerts, N; Vandebosch, A; Mogg, R; Funk, S; Kucharski, AJ; Watson, CH; Vangeneugden, T; Edmunds, WJ; (2016) Real-time dynamic modelling for the design of a cluster-randomized phase 3 Ebola vaccine trial in Sierra Leone. Vaccine, 35 (4). pp. 544-551. ISSN 0264-410X DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.vaccine.2016.12.019

Funk, Sebastian; Camacho, Anton; Kucharski, Adam J; Eggo, Rosalind M; Edmunds, W John; (2016) Real-time forecasting of infectious disease dynamics with a stochastic semi-mechanistic model. Epidemics, 22. pp. 56-61. ISSN 1755-4365 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.epidem.2016.11.003

Funk, Sebastian; Kucharski, Adam J; Camacho, Anton; Eggo, Rosalind M; Yakob, Laith; Murray, Lawrence M; Edmunds, W John; (2016) Comparative Analysis of Dengue and Zika Outbreaks Reveals Differences by Setting and Virus. PLoS neglected tropical diseases, 10 (12). e0005173-. ISSN 1935-2727 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pntd.0005173

Kifle, Yimer Wasihun; Goeyvaerts, Nele; Van Kerckhove, Kim; Willem, Lander; Kucharski, Adam; Faes, Christel; Leirs, Herwig; Hens, Niel; Beutels, Philippe; (2016) Correction: Animal Ownership and Touching Enrich the Context of Social Contacts Relevant to the Spread of Human Infectious Diseases. PloS one, 11 (2). e0148718-. ISSN 1932-6203 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0148718

Kucharski, Adam; (2016) Post-truth: Study epidemiology of fake news. Nature, 540 (7634). 525-. ISSN 0028-0836 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/540525a Full text not available from this repository.

Kucharski, Adam J; Eggo, Rosalind M; Watson, Conall H; Camacho, Anton; Funk, Sebastian; Edmunds, W John; (2016) Effectiveness of Ring Vaccination as Control Strategy for Ebola Virus Disease. Emerging infectious diseases, 22 (1). pp. 105-108. ISSN 1080-6040 DOI: https://doi.org/10.3201/eid2201.151410

Kucharski, Adam J; Funk, Sebastian; Eggo, Rosalind M; Mallet, Henri-Pierre; Edmunds, W John; Nilles, Eric J; (2016) Transmission Dynamics of Zika Virus in Island Populations: A Modelling Analysis of the 2013-14 French Polynesia Outbreak. PLoS neglected tropical diseases, 10 (5). e0004726-. ISSN 1935-2727 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pntd.0004726

Kucharski, Adam; Riley, Steven; (2016) Reducing uncertainty about flavivirus infections. The Lancet infectious diseases, 17 (1). pp. 13-15. ISSN 1473-3099 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/S1473-3099(16)30524-2 Full text not available from this repository.

Pronyk, Paul; Rogers, Braeden; Lee, Sylvia; Bhatnagar, Aarunima; Wolman, Yaron; Monasch, Roeland; Hipgrave, David; Salama, Peter; Kucharski, Adam; Chopra, Mickey; +1 more... UNICEF Sierra Leone Ebola Response Team; (2016) The Effect of Community-Based Prevention and Care on Ebola Transmission in Sierra Leone. American journal of public health, 106 (4). pp. 727-732. ISSN 0090-0036 DOI: https://doi.org/10.2105/AJPH.2015.303020 Full text not available from this repository.

Yakob, Laith; Kucharski, Adam; Hue, Stephane; Edmunds, W John; (2016) Low risk of a sexually-transmitted Zika virus outbreak. The Lancet infectious diseases, 16 (10). pp. 1100-1102. ISSN 1473-3099 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/S1473-3099(16)30324-3 Full text not available from this repository.

Camacho, A; Kucharski, A; Aki-Sawyerr, Y; White, MA; Flasche, S; Baguelin, M; Pollington, T; Carney, JR; Glover, R; Smout, E; +3 more... Tiffany, A; Edmunds, WJ; Funk, S; (2015) Temporal changes in ebola transmission in sierra leone and implications for control requirements: A real-time modelling study. PLoS Currents, 7 (OUTBRE). 55052-. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1371/currents.outbreaks.406ae55e83ec0b5193e3085

Camacho, Anton; Eggo, Rosalind M; Funk, Sebastian; Watson, Conall H; Kucharski, Adam J; Edmunds, W John; (2015) Estimating the probability of demonstrating vaccine efficacy in the declining Ebola epidemic: a Bayesian modelling approach. BMJ open, 5 (12). e009346-. ISSN 2044-6055 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1136/bmjopen-2015-009346

Camacho, Anton; Kucharski, Adam; Aki-Sawyerr, Yvonne; White, Mark A; Flasche, Stefan; Baguelin, Marc; Pollington, Timothy; Carney, Julia R; Glover, Rebecca; Smout, Elizabeth; +3 more... Tiffany, Amanda; Edmunds, W John; Funk, Sebastian; (2015) Temporal Changes in Ebola Transmission in Sierra Leone and Implications for Control Requirements: a Real-time Modelling Study. PLoS currents, 7. ecurrents.outbreaks.406ae55e83ec0b5193e30856b9235e-. ISSN 2157-3999 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1371/currents.outbreaks.406ae55e83ec0b5193e30856b9235ed2

Eggo, Rosalind M; Watson, Conall H; Camacho, Anton; Kucharski, Adam J; Funk, Sebastian; Edmunds, W John; (2015) Duration of Ebola virus RNA persistence in semen of survivors: population-level estimates and projections. Euro surveillance, 20 (48). 30083-. ISSN 1025-496X DOI: https://doi.org/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2015.20.48.30083

Kucharski, AJ; Althaus, CL; (2015) The role of superspreading in Middle East respiratory syndrome coronavirus (MERS-CoV) transmission. Euro surveillance, 20 (25). pp. 14-18. ISSN 1025-496X DOI: https://doi.org/10.2807/1560-7917.es2015.20.25.21167

Kucharski, Adam J; Andreasen, Viggo; Gog, Julia R; (2015) Capturing the dynamics of pathogens with many strains. Journal of mathematical biology, 72 (1-2). pp. 1-24. ISSN 0303-6812 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00285-015-0873-4

Kucharski, Adam J; Camacho, Anton; Checchi, Francesco; Waldman, Ron; Grais, Rebecca F; Cabrol, Jean-Clement; Briand, Sylvie; Baguelin, Marc; Flasche, Stefan; Funk, Sebastian; +1 more... Edmunds, W John; (2015) Evaluation of the benefits and risks of introducing Ebola community care centers, Sierra Leone. Emerging infectious diseases, 21 (3). pp. 393-399. ISSN 1080-6040 DOI: https://doi.org/10.3201/eid2103.141892

Kucharski, Adam J; Camacho, Anton; Flasche, Stefan; Glover, Rebecca E; Edmunds, W John; Funk, Sebastian; (2015) Measuring the impact of Ebola control measures in Sierra Leone. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 112 (46). pp. 14366-14371. ISSN 0027-8424 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1508814112

Kucharski, Adam J; Conlan, Andrew JK; Eames, Ken TD; (2015) School's Out: Seasonal Variation in the Movement Patterns of School Children. PloS one, 10 (6). e0128070-. ISSN 1932-6203 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0128070

Kucharski, Adam J; Edmunds, W John; (2015) Characterizing the transmission potential of zoonotic infections from minor outbreaks. PLoS computational biology, 11 (4). e1004154-. ISSN 1553-734X DOI: https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1004154

Kucharski, Adam J; Lessler, Justin; Read, Jonathan M; Zhu, Huachen; Jiang, Chao Qiang; Guan, Yi; Cummings, Derek AT; Riley, Steven; (2015) Estimating the life course of influenza A(H3N2) antibody responses from cross-sectional data. PLoS biology, 13 (3). e1002082-. ISSN 1544-9173 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pbio.1002082

Kucharski, Adam J; Mills, Harriet L; Donnelly, Christl A; Riley, Steven; (2015) Transmission Potential of Influenza A(H7N9) Virus, China, 2013-2014. Emerging infectious diseases, 21 (5). pp. 852-855. ISSN 1080-6040 DOI: https://doi.org/10.3201/eid2105.141137

Rosello, Alicia; Mossoko, Mathias; Flasche, Stefan; Van Hoek, Albert Jan; Mbala, Placide; Camacho, Anton; Funk, Sebastian; Kucharski, Adam; Ilunga, Benoit Kebela; Edmunds, W John; +3 more... Piot, Peter; Baguelin, Marc; Tamfum, Jean-Jacques Muyembe; (2015) Ebola virus disease in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, 1976-2014. eLife, 4 (NOVEMB). ISSN 2050-084X DOI: https://doi.org/10.7554/eLife.09015

Camacho, A; Kucharski, AJ; Funk, S; Breman, J; Piot, P; Edmunds, WJ; (2014) Potential for large outbreaks of Ebola virus disease. Epidemics, 9. pp. 70-78. ISSN 1755-4365 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.epidem.2014.09.003

Kucharski, AJ; (2014) IMMUNITY'S ILLU SION Sophisticated mathematical tools suggest that the immune system has a blind spot when it comes to subtle mutations of the influenza virus. Scientific American, 311 (6). pp. 81-85. ISSN 0036-8733 https://researchonline.lshtm.ac.uk/id/eprint/2030977 Full text not available from this repository.

Kucharski, AJ; Edmunds, WJ; (2014) Cross-immunity and age patterns of influenza A(H5N1) infection. Epidemiology and infection, 143 (6). pp. 1119-1124. ISSN 0950-2688 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1017/S0950268814001976

Kucharski, Adam J; Edmunds, W John; (2014) Case fatality rate for Ebola virus disease in west Africa. Lancet, 384 (9950). 1260-. ISSN 0140-6736 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(14)61706-2

Kucharski, Adam J; Kwok, Kin O; Wei, Vivian WI; Cowling, Benjamin J; Read, Jonathan M; Lessler, Justin; Cummings, Derek A; Riley, Steven; (2014) The contribution of social behaviour to the transmission of influenza A in a human population. PLoS pathogens, 10 (6). e1004206-. ISSN 1553-7366 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.ppat.1004206

Kucharski, Adam; Mills, Harriet; Pinsent, Amy; Fraser, Christophe; Van Kerkhove, Maria; Donnelly, Christl A; Riley, Steven; (2014) Distinguishing Between Reservoir Exposure and Human-to-Human Transmission for Emerging Pathogens Using Case Onset Data. PLoS currents, 6. ecurrents.outbreaks.e1473d9bfc99d080ca242139a06c45-. ISSN 2157-3999 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1371/currents.outbreaks.e1473d9bfc99d080ca242139a06c455f

Kucharski, Aj; Piot, P; (2014) Containing Ebola virus infection in West Africa. Euro Surveill, 19 (36). 20899-. DOI: https://doi.org/10.2807/1560-7917.es2014.19.36.20899

Wikramaratna, Paul S; Kucharski, Adam; Gupta, Sunetra; Andreasen, Viggo; McLean, Angela R; Gog, Julia R; (2014) Five challenges in modelling interacting strain dynamics. Epidemics, 10. pp. 31-34. ISSN 1755-4365 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.epidem.2014.07.005

Eames, KTD; Gage, J; Conlan, AJK; Kucharski, A; Gog, JR; (2013) Opening the researcher's world to school students. Mathematics in School, 42 (4). pp. 7-10. ISSN 0305-7259 https://researchonline.lshtm.ac.uk/id/eprint/1367748

Kucharski, Adam J; Gog, Julia R; (2012) The role of social contacts and original antigenic sin in shaping the age pattern of immunity to seasonal influenza. PLoS computational biology, 8 (10). e1002741-. ISSN 1553-734X DOI: https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1002741

Kucharski, Adam J; Gog, Julia R; (2012) Age profile of immunity to influenza: effect of original antigenic sin. Theoretical population biology, 81 (2). pp. 102-112. ISSN 0040-5809 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tpb.2011.12.006 Full text not available from this repository.

Kucharski, Adam; Gog, Julia R; (2012) Influenza emergence in the face of evolutionary constraints. Proceedings Biological sciences / The Royal Society, 279 (1729). pp. 645-652. ISSN 0962-8452 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1098/rspb.2011.1168