Chapman, Lloyd AC; Barnard, Rosanna C; Russell, Timothy W; Abbott, Sam; van Zandvoort, Kevin; Davies, Nicholas G; Kucharski, Adam J; (2022) Unexposed populations and potential COVID-19 hospitalisations and deaths in European countries as per data up to 21 November 2021. Euro surveillance, 27 (1). ISSN 1025-496X DOI: https://doi.org/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2022.27.1.2101038
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Abstract
We estimate the potential remaining COVID-19 hospitalisation and death burdens in 19 European countries by estimating the proportion of each country's population that has acquired immunity to severe disease through infection or vaccination. Our results suggest many European countries could still face high burdens of hospitalisations and deaths, particularly those with lower vaccination coverage, less historical transmission and/or older populations. Continued non-pharmaceutical interventions and efforts to achieve high vaccination coverage are required in these countries to limit severe COVID-19 outcomes.
Item Type | Article |
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Faculty and Department |
Faculty of Epidemiology and Population Health > Dept of Infectious Disease Epidemiology (-2023) Faculty of Epidemiology and Population Health > Dept of Infectious Disease Epidemiology & Dynamics (2023-) |
Research Centre |
Covid-19 Research Centre for Epidemic Preparedness and Response Centre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases |
PubMed ID | 34991776 |
Elements ID | 169622 |
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