Sherratt, Katharine; Carnegie, Anna C; Kucharski, Adam; Cori, Anne; Pearson, Carl AB; Jarvis, Christopher I; Overton, Christopher; Weston, Dale; Hill, Edward M; Knock, Edward; +17 more... Fearon, Elizabeth; Nightingale, Emily; Hellewell, Joel; Edmunds, W John; Villabona Arenas, Julián; Prem, Kiesha; Pi, Li; Baguelin, Marc; Kendall, Michelle; Ferguson, Neil; Davies, Nicholas; Eggo, Rosalind M; van Elsland, Sabine; Russell, Timothy; Funk, Sebastian; Liu, Yang; Abbott, Sam; (2024) Improving modelling for epidemic responses: reflections from members of the UK infectious disease modelling community on their experiences during the COVID-19 pandemic. Wellcome open research, 9. 12-. ISSN 2398-502X DOI: https://doi.org/10.12688/wellcomeopenres.19601.1

Atkins, Katherine E; Hodgson, David; Jit, Mark; Davies, Nicholas G; (2022) Evaluating the impact of Respiratory Syncytial Virus immunisation strategies on antibiotic use and drug resistant bacterial infections in England. Wellcome Open Research, 7. p. 286. ISSN 2398-502X DOI: https://doi.org/10.12688/wellcomeopenres.18183.1

Barnard, Rosanna C; Davies, Nicholas G; Centre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases COVID-1; Jit, Mark; Edmunds, W John; (2022) Modelling the medium-term dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 transmission in England in the Omicron era. Nature Communications, 13 (1). 4879-. ISSN 2041-1723 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-022-32404-y

Chapman, Lloyd AC; Barnard, Rosanna C; Russell, Timothy W; Abbott, Sam; van Zandvoort, Kevin; Davies, Nicholas G; Kucharski, Adam J; (2022) Unexposed populations and potential COVID-19 hospitalisations and deaths in European countries as per data up to 21 November 2021. Euro surveillance, 27 (1). ISSN 1025-496X DOI: https://doi.org/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2022.27.1.2101038

Koltai, Mihaly; Warsame, Abdihamid; Bashiir, Farah; Freemantle, Terri; Reeve, Chris; Williams, Chris; Jit, Mark; Flasche, Stefan; Davies, Nicholas G; Aweis, Ahmed; +3 more... Ahmed, Mohamed; Dalmar, Abdirisak; Checchi, Francesco; (2022) Date of introduction and epidemiologic patterns of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) in Mogadishu, Somalia: estimates from transmission modelling of satellite-based excess mortality data in 2020. Wellcome Open Research, 6. p. 255. ISSN 2398-502X DOI: https://doi.org/10.12688/wellcomeopenres.17247.1

Rosello, Alicia; Barnard, Rosanna C; Smith, David RM; Evans, Stephanie; Grimm, Fiona; Davies, Nicholas G; Centre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases COVID-1; Deeny, Sarah R; Knight, Gwenan M; Edmunds, W John; (2022) Impact of non-pharmaceutical interventions on SARS-CoV-2 outbreaks in English care homes: a modelling study. BMC infectious diseases, 22 (1). 324-. ISSN 1471-2334 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1186/s12879-022-07268-8

Davies, Nicholas G; Abbott, Sam; Barnard, Rosanna C; Jarvis, Christopher I; Kucharski, Adam J; Munday, James D; Pearson, Carl AB; Russell, Timothy W; Tully, Damien C; Washburne, Alex D; +15 more... Wenseleers, Tom; Gimma, Amy; Waites, William; Wong, Kerry LM; van Zandvoort, Kevin; Silverman, Justin D; CMMID COVID-19 Working Group; COVID-19 Genomics UK (COG-UK) Consortium; Diaz-Ordaz, Karla; Keogh, Ruth; Eggo, Rosalind M; Funk, Sebastian; Jit, Mark; Atkins, Katherine E; Edmunds, W John; (2021) Estimated transmissibility and impact of SARS-CoV-2 lineage B.1.1.7 in England. Science (New York, N.Y.), 372 (6538). 149-+. ISSN 0036-8075 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1126/science.abg3055

Davies, Nicholas G; Flasche, Stefan; Jit, Mark; Atkins, Katherine E; (2021) Modeling the effect of vaccination on selection for antibiotic resistance in Streptococcus pneumonia e. Science translational medicine, 13 (606). eaaz8690-eaaz8690. ISSN 1946-6234 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1126/scitranslmed.aaz8690

Davies, Nicholas G; Jarvis, Christopher I; CMMID COVID-19 Working Group; Edmunds, W John; Jewell, Nicholas P; Diaz-Ordaz, Karla; Keogh, Ruth H; (2021) Increased hazard of death in community-tested cases of SARS-CoV-2 Variant of Concern 202012/01. medRxiv. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1101/2021.02.01.21250959

Davies, Nicholas G; Jarvis, Christopher I; CMMID COVID-19 Working Group; Edmunds, W John; Jewell, Nicholas P; Diaz-Ordaz, Karla; Keogh, Ruth H; (2021) Increased mortality in community-tested cases of SARS-CoV-2 lineage B.1.1.7. Nature, 593 (7858). pp. 270-274. ISSN 0028-0836 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-021-03426-1

Leng, Trystan; White, Connor; Hilton, Joe; Kucharski, Adam; Pellis, Lorenzo; Stage, Helena; Davies, Nicholas G; Centre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Disease 2019 nCo; Keeling, Matt J; Flasche, Stefan; (2021) The effectiveness of social bubbles as part of a Covid-19 lockdown exit strategy, a modelling study. Wellcome Open Research, 5. 213-. ISSN 2398-502X DOI: https://doi.org/10.12688/wellcomeopenres.16164.2

Leng, Trystan; White, Connor; Hilton, Joe; Kucharski, Adam; Pellis, Lorenzo; Stage, Helena; Davies, Nicholas G; Keeling, Matt J; Flasche, Stefan; Centre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Disease 2019 nCo; (2021) The effectiveness of social bubbles as part of a Covid-19 lockdown exit strategy, a modelling study. Wellcome Open Research, 5. p. 213. DOI: https://doi.org/10.12688/wellcomeopenres.16164.2

Pearson, Carl AB; Bozzani, Fiammetta; Procter, Simon R; Davies, Nicholas G; Huda, Maryam; Jensen, Henning Tarp; Keogh-Brown, Marcus; Khalid, Muhammad; Sweeney, Sedona; Torres-Rueda, Sergio; +5 more... CHiL COVID-19 Working Group; CMMID COVID-19 Working Group; Eggo, Rosalind M; Vassall, Anna; Jit, Mark; CHiL COVID-19 Working Group, CMMID COVID-19 Working Group; (2021) COVID-19 vaccination in Sindh Province, Pakistan: A modelling study of health impact and cost-effectiveness. PLoS medicine, 18 (10). e1003815-. ISSN 1549-1277 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pmed.1003815

Prem, Kiesha; Zandvoort, Kevin van; Klepac, Petra; Eggo, Rosalind M; Davies, Nicholas G; Centre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases COV; Cook, Alex R; Jit, Mark; Centre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases COV; (2021) Projecting contact matrices in 177 geographical regions: An update and comparison with empirical data for the COVID-19 era. PLoS computational biology, 17 (7). e1009098-. ISSN 1553-734X DOI: https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1009098

Sandmann, Frank G; Davies, Nicholas G; Vassall, Anna; Edmunds, W John; Jit, Mark; Centre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases COV; (2021) The potential health and economic value of SARS-CoV-2 vaccination alongside physical distancing in the UK: a transmission model-based future scenario analysis and economic evaluation. The Lancet. Infectious diseases. ISSN 1473-3099 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/S1473-3099(21)00079-7

Torres-Rueda, Sergio; Sweeney, Sedona; Bozzani, Fiammetta; Naylor, Nichola R; Baker, Tim; Pearson, Carl; Eggo, Rosalind; Procter, Simon R; Davies, Nicholas; Quaife, Matthew; +11 more... Kitson, Nichola; Keogh-Brown, Marcus R; Jensen, Henning Tarp; Saadi, Nuru; Khan, Mishal; Huda, Maryam; Kairu, Angela; Zaidi, Raza; Barasa, Edwine; Jit, Mark; Vassall, Anna; (2021) Stark choices: exploring health sector costs of policy responses to COVID-19 in low-income and middle-income countries. BMJ Global Health, 6 (12). e005759-e005759. ISSN 2059-7908 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1136/bmjgh-2021-005759

Waterlow, Naomi R; van Leeuwen, Edwin; Davies, Nicholas G; CMMID COVID-19 Working Group; Flasche, Stefan; Eggo, Rosalind M; CMMID COVID-19 Working Group; (2021) How immunity from and interaction with seasonal coronaviruses can shape SARS-CoV-2 epidemiology. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 118 (49). e2108395118-. ISSN 0027-8424 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2108395118

Williamson, Elizabeth J; Tazare, John; Bhaskaran, Krishnan; McDonald, Helen I; Walker, Alex J; Tomlinson, Laurie; Wing, Kevin; Bacon, Sebastian; Bates, Chris; Curtis, Helen J; +34 more... Forbes, Harriet; Minassian, Caroline; Morton, Caroline E; Nightingale, Emily; Mehrkar, Amir; Evans, Dave; Nicholson, Brian D; Leon, Dave; Inglesby, Peter; MacKenna, Brian; Davies, Nicholas G; DeVito, Nicholas J; Drysdale, Henry; Cockburn, Jonathan; Hulme, Will; Morley, Jess; Douglas, Ian; Rentsch, Christopher T; Mathur, Rohini; Wong, Angel; Schultze, Anna; Croker, Richard; Parry, John; Hester, Frank; Harper, Sam; Grieve, Richard; Harrison, David A; Steyerberg, Ewout W; Eggo, Rosalind M; Diaz-Ordaz, Karla; Keogh, Ruth; Evans, Stephen JW; Smeeth, Liam; Goldacre, Ben; (2021) Predicting COVID-19 related death using the OpenSAFELY platform. medRxiv preprint. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1101/2021.02.25.21252433

Chae, Chungman; Davies, Nicholas G; Jit, Mark; Atkins, Katherine E; (2020) Effect of Pediatric Influenza Vaccination on Antibiotic Resistance, England and Wales. Emerging infectious diseases, 26 (1). pp. 138-142. ISSN 1080-6040 DOI: https://doi.org/10.3201/eid2601.191110

Davies, Nicholas G; Barnard, Rosanna C; Jarvis, Christopher I; Russell, Timothy W; Semple, Malcolm G; Jit, Mark; Edmunds, W John; Centre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases COVID-1; ISARIC4C investigators; (2020) Association of tiered restrictions and a second lockdown with COVID-19 deaths and hospital admissions in England: a modelling study. The Lancet. Infectious diseases, 21 (4). pp. 482-492. ISSN 1473-3099 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/S1473-3099(20)30984-1

Davies, Nicholas G; Kucharski, Adam J; Eggo, Rosalind M; Gimma, Amy; Edmunds, W John; (2020) The effect of non-pharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19 cases, deaths and demand for hospital services in the UK: a modelling study. MedRxiv. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.01.20049908 Item availability may be restricted.

Davies, Nicholas G; Kucharski, Adam J; Eggo, Rosalind M; Gimma, Amy; Edmunds, W John; Centre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases COV; (2020) Effects of non-pharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19 cases, deaths, and demand for hospital services in the UK: a modelling study. The Lancet. Public health, 5 (7). e375-e385. ISSN 2468-2667 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/S2468-2667(20)30133-X

Davies, Nicholas; Sweeney, Sedona; Torres-Rueda, Sergio; Bozzani, Fiammetta; Kitson, Nichola; Barasa, Edwine; Procter, Simon R; Quaife, Matthew; Eggo, Rosalind M; Vassall, Anna; +1 more... Jit, Mark; (2020) The impact of Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) on health systems and household resources in Africa and South Asia. MedRxiv. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.05.06.20092734

Funk, S; Abbott, S; Atkins, BD; Baguelin, M; Baillie, JK; Birrell, P; Blake, J; Bosse, NI; Burton, J; Carruthers, J; +37 more... Davies, NG; De Angelis, D; Dyson, L; Edmunds, WJ; Eggo, RM; Ferguson, NM; Gaythorpe, K; Gorsich, E; Guyver-Fletcher, G; Hellewell, J; Hill, EM; Holmes, A; House, TA; Jewell, C; Jit, M; Jombart, T; Joshi, I; Keeling, MJ; Kendall, E; Knock, ES; Kucharski, AJ; Lythgoe, KA; Meakin, SR; Munday, JD; Openshaw, PJM; Overton, CE; Pagani, F; Pearson, J; Perez-Guzman, PN; Pellis, L; Scarabel, F; Semple, MG; Sherratt, K; Tang, M; Tildesley, MJ; Van Leeuwen, E; Whittles, LK; (2020) Short-term forecasts to inform the response to the Covid-19 epidemic in the UK. medRxiv preprint - BMJ Yale. ISSN 1468-5833 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.11.11.20220962

Leng, Trystan; White, Connor; Hilton, Joe; Kucharski, Adam; Pellis, Lorenzo; Stage, Helena; Davies, Nicholas G; Centre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Disease 2019 nCo; Keeling, Matt J; Flasche, Stefan; Centre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Disease 2019 nCo; (2020) The effectiveness of social bubbles as part of a Covid-19 lockdown exit strategy, a modelling study. Wellcome Open Res, 5. 213-. ISSN 2398-502X DOI: https://doi.org/10.12688/wellcomeopenres.16164.2

Prem, Kiesha; Liu, Yang; Russell, Timothy W; Kucharski, Adam J; Eggo, Rosalind M; Davies, Nicholas; Centre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases COV; Jit, Mark; Klepac, Petra; (2020) The effect of control strategies to reduce social mixing on outcomes of the COVID-19 epidemic in Wuhan, China: a modelling study. The Lancet. Public health, 5 (5). e261-e270. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/S2468-2667(20)30073-6

Sandmann, Frank G; Davies, Nicholas G; Vassall, Anna; Edmunds, W John; Jit, Mark; Centre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases COV; (2020) The potential health and economic value of SARS-CoV-2 vaccination alongside physical distancing in the UK: a transmission model-based future scenario analysis and economic evaluation. medRxiv preprint, 21 (7). pp. 962-974. ISSN 1468-5833 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/S1473-3099(21)00079-7 Item availability may be restricted.

Viner, Russell M; Mytton, Oliver T; Bonell, Chris; Melendez-Torres, GJ; Ward, Joseph; Hudson, Lee; Waddington, Claire; Thomas, James; Russell, Simon; van der Klis, Fiona; +6 more... Koirala, Archana; Ladhani, Shamez; Panovska-Griffiths, Jasmina; Davies, Nicholas G; Booy, Robert; Eggo, Rosalind M; (2020) Susceptibility to SARS-CoV-2 Infection Among Children and Adolescents Compared With Adults: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis. JAMA PEDIATRICS, 175 (2). pp. 143-156. ISSN 2168-6203 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1001/jamapediatrics.2020.4573

Williamson, Elizabeth J; Tazare, John; Bhaskaran, Krishnan; Walker, Alex J; McDonald, Helen I; Tomlinson, Laurie A; Bacon, Sebastian; Bates, Chris; Curtis, Helen J; Forbes, Harriet; +32 more... Minassian, Caroline; Morton, Caroline E; Nightingale, Emily; Mehrkar, Amir; Evans, Dave; Nicholson, Brian D; Leon, David; Inglesby, Peter; MacKenna, Brian; Cockburn, Jonathan; Davies, Nicholas G; Hulme, Will J; Morley, Jessica; Douglas, Ian J; Rentsch, Christopher T; Mathur, Rohini; Wong, Angel; Schultze, Anna; Croker, Richard; Parry, John; Hester, Frank; Harper, Sam; Perera, Rafael; Grieve, Richard; Harrison, David; Steyerberg, Ewout; Eggo, Rosalind M; Diaz-Ordaz, Karla; Keogh, Ruth; Evans, Stephen JW; Smeeth, Liam; Goldacre, Ben; (2020) Study protocol: Comparison of different risk prediction modelling approaches for COVID-19 related death using the OpenSAFELY platform. Wellcome Open Research, 5. p. 243. DOI: https://doi.org/10.12688/wellcomeopenres.16353.1

van Zandvoort, Kevin; Jarvis, Christopher I; Pearson, Carl AB; Davies, Nicholas G; CMMID COVID-19 working group; Ratnayake, Ruwan; Russell, Timothy W; Kucharski, Adam J; Jit, Mark; Flasche, Stefan; +2 more... Eggo, Rosalind M; Checchi, Francesco; (2020) Response strategies for COVID-19 epidemics in African settings: a mathematical modelling study. BMC Medicine, 18 (1). 324-. ISSN 1741-7015 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1186/s12916-020-01789-2

Ågren, J Arvid; Davies, Nicholas G; Foster, Kevin R; (2020) Reply to: Broad definitions of enforcement are unhelpful for understanding evolutionary mechanisms of cooperation. NATURE ECOLOGY & EVOLUTION, 4 (3). 323-. ISSN 2397-334X DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41559-020-1112-y

Davies, Nicholas G; Flasche, Stefan; Jit, Mark; Atkins, Katherine E; (2019) Within-host dynamics shape antibiotic resistance in commensal bacteria. Nature ecology & evolution, 3 (3). pp. 440-449. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41559-018-0786-x

Knight, Gwenan M; Davies, Nicholas G; Colijn, Caroline; Coll, Francesc; Donker, Tjibbe; Gifford, Danna R; Glover, Rebecca E; Jit, Mark; Klemm, Elizabeth; Lehtinen, Sonja; +9 more... Lindsay, Jodi A; Lipsitch, Marc; Llewelyn, Martin J; Mateus, Ana LP; Robotham, Julie V; Sharland, Mike; Stekel, Dov; Yakob, Laith; Atkins, Katherine E; (2019) Mathematical modelling for antibiotic resistance control policy: do we know enough? BMC infectious diseases, 19 (1). 1011-. ISSN 1471-2334 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1186/s12879-019-4630-y

Ross, Laura; Davies, Nicholas G; Gardner, Andy; (2019) How to make a haploid male. Evolution Letters, 3 (2). pp. 173-184. ISSN 2056-3744 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1002/evl3.107

Ågren, J Arvid; Davies, Nicholas G; Foster, Kevin R; (2019) Enforcement is central to the evolution of cooperation. NATURE ECOLOGY & EVOLUTION, 3 (7). pp. 1018-1029. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41559-019-0907-1

Davies, Nicholas G; (2018) Family matters. Nature ecology & evolution, 2 (6). pp. 927-928. ISSN 2397-334X DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41559-018-0541-3 Full text not available from this repository.

Davies, Nicholas G; Gardner, Andy; (2018) Monogamy promotes altruistic sterility in insect societies. Royal Society open science, 5 (5). 172190-. ISSN 2054-5703 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1098/rsos.172190

Atkins, Katherine E; Lafferty, Erin I; Deeny, Sarah R; Davies, Nicholas G; Robotham, Julie V; Jit, Mark; (2017) Use of mathematical modelling to assess the impact of vaccines on antibiotic resistance. The Lancet infectious diseases, 18 (6). e204-e213. ISSN 1473-3099 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/S1473-3099(17)30478-4 Full text not available from this repository.

Davies, Nicholas G; Ross, Laura; Gardner, Andy; (2016) The ecology of sex explains patterns of helping in arthropod societies. ECOLOGY LETTERS, 19 (8). pp. 862-872. ISSN 1461-023X DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/ele.12621