Gibbs, Hamish; Liu, Yang; Abbott, Sam; Baffoe-Nyarko, Isaac; Laryea, Dennis O; Akyereko, Ernest; Kuma-Aboagye, Patrick; Asante, Ivy Asantewaa; Mitjà, Oriol; LSHTM CMMID COVID-19 Working Group; +4 more... Ampofo, William; Asiedu-Bekoe, Franklin; Marks, Michael; Eggo, Rosalind M; (2022) Association between mobility, non-pharmaceutical interventions, and COVID-19 transmission in Ghana: A modelling study using mobile phone data. PLOS global public health, 2 (9). e0000502-. ISSN 2767-3375 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pgph.0000502
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Abstract
Governments around the world have implemented non-pharmaceutical interventions to limit the transmission of COVID-19. Here we assess if increasing NPI stringency was associated with a reduction in COVID-19 cases in Ghana. While lockdowns and physical distancing have proven effective for reducing COVID-19 transmission, there is still limited understanding of how NPI measures are reflected in indicators of human mobility. Further, there is a lack of understanding about how findings from high-income settings correspond to low and middle-income contexts. In this study, we assess the relationship between indicators of human mobility, NPIs, and estimates of Rt, a real-time measure of the intensity of COVID-19 transmission. We construct a multilevel generalised linear mixed model, combining local disease surveillance data from subnational districts of Ghana with the timing of NPIs and indicators of human mobility from Google and Vodafone Ghana. We observe a relationship between reductions in human mobility and decreases in Rt during the early stages of the COVID-19 epidemic in Ghana. We find that the strength of this relationship varies through time, decreasing after the most stringent period of interventions in the early epidemic. Our findings demonstrate how the association of NPI and mobility indicators with COVID-19 transmission may vary through time. Further, we demonstrate the utility of combining local disease surveillance data with large scale human mobility data to augment existing surveillance capacity to monitor the impact of NPI policies.
Item Type | Article |
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Faculty and Department |
Faculty of Epidemiology and Population Health > Dept of Infectious Disease Epidemiology & Dynamics (2023-) Faculty of Infectious and Tropical Diseases > Dept of Clinical Research |
Research Centre | Centre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases |
PubMed ID | 36962513 |
Elements ID | 200600 |
Official URL | http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pgph.0000502 |
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Filename: Gibbs-etal-2022-Association-between-mobility-non-pharmaceutical-interventions-and-covid-19-transmission-in-ghana.pdf
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