Chapman, Lloyd AC; Barnard, Rosanna C; Russell, Timothy W; Abbott, Sam; van Zandvoort, Kevin; Davies, Nicholas G; Kucharski, Adam J; (2022) Unexposed populations and potential COVID-19 hospitalisations and deaths in European countries as per data up to 21 November 2021. Euro surveillance, 27 (1). ISSN 1025-496X DOI: https://doi.org/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2022.27.1.2101038

Clifford, Samuel; Quilty, Billy J; Russell, Timothy W; Liu, Yang; Chan, Yung-Wai D; Pearson, Carl AB; Eggo, Rosalind M; Endo, Akira; CMMID COVID-19 Working Group; Flasche, Stefan; +2 more... Edmunds, W John; Centre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases (CMMID); CMMID COVID-19 Working Group, Centre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases (CMMID); (2021) Strategies to reduce the risk of SARS-CoV-2 importation from international travellers: modelling estimations for the United Kingdom, July 2020. Euro surveillance : bulletin Europeen sur les maladies transmissibles = European communicable disease bulletin, 26 (39). ISSN 1025-496X DOI: https://doi.org/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2021.26.39.2001440

Davies, Nicholas G; Abbott, Sam; Barnard, Rosanna C; Jarvis, Christopher I; Kucharski, Adam J; Munday, James D; Pearson, Carl AB; Russell, Timothy W; Tully, Damien C; Washburne, Alex D; +15 more... Wenseleers, Tom; Gimma, Amy; Waites, William; Wong, Kerry LM; van Zandvoort, Kevin; Silverman, Justin D; CMMID COVID-19 Working Group; COVID-19 Genomics UK (COG-UK) Consortium; Diaz-Ordaz, Karla; Keogh, Ruth; Eggo, Rosalind M; Funk, Sebastian; Jit, Mark; Atkins, Katherine E; Edmunds, W John; (2021) Estimated transmissibility and impact of SARS-CoV-2 lineage B.1.1.7 in England. Science (New York, N.Y.), 372 (6538). 149-+. ISSN 0036-8075 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1126/science.abg3055

Davies, Nicholas G; Abbott, Sam; Barnard, Rosanna C; Jarvis, Christopher I; Kucharski, Adam J; Munday, James D; Pearson, Carl AB; Russell, Timothy W; Tully, Damien C; Washburne, Alex D; +13 more... Wenseleers, Tom; Gimma, Amy; Waites, William; Wong, Kerry LM; van Zandvoort, Kevin; Silverman, Justin D; Diaz-Ordaz, Karla; Keogh, Ruth; Eggo, Rosalind M; Funk, Sebastian; Jit, Mark; Atkins, Katherine E; Edmunds, W John; (2020) Estimated transmissibility and impact of SARS-CoV-2 lineage B.1.1.7 in England. MedRxiv. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.12.24.20248822 Item availability may be restricted.

Davies, Nicholas G; Barnard, Rosanna C; Jarvis, Christopher I; Russell, Timothy W; Semple, Malcolm G; Jit, Mark; Edmunds, W John; Centre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases COVID-1; ISARIC4C investigators; (2020) Association of tiered restrictions and a second lockdown with COVID-19 deaths and hospital admissions in England: a modelling study. The Lancet. Infectious diseases, 21 (4). pp. 482-492. ISSN 1473-3099 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/S1473-3099(20)30984-1

Derelle, Romain; von Wachsmann, Johanna; Mäklin, Tommi; Hellewell, Joel; Russell, Timothy; Lalvani, Ajit; Chindelevitch, Leonid; Croucher, Nicholas J; Harris, Simon R; Lees, John A; (2024) Seamless, rapid, and accurate analyses of outbreak genomic data using split k-mer analysis. Genome research, 34 (10). pp. 1661-1673. ISSN 1088-9051 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1101/gr.279449.124

Emery, Jon C; Russell, Timothy W; Liu, Yang; Hellewell, Joel; Pearson, Carl Ab; CMMID COVID-19 Working Group; Knight, Gwenan M; Eggo, Rosalind M; Kucharski, Adam J; Funk, Sebastian; +2 more... Flasche, Stefan; Houben, Rein Mgj; (2020) The contribution of asymptomatic SARS-CoV-2 infections to transmission on the Diamond Princess cruise ship. eLife, 9. e58699-. DOI: https://doi.org/10.7554/eLife.58699

Hellewell, Joel; Abbott, Sam; Gimma, Amy; Bosse, Nikos I; Jarvis, Christopher I; Russell, Timothy W; Munday, James D; Kucharski, Adam J; Edmunds, W John; Centre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases COV; +2 more... Funk, Sebastian; Eggo, Rosalind M; (2020) Feasibility of controlling COVID-19 outbreaks by isolation of cases and contacts. The Lancet. Global health, 8 (4). e488-e496. ISSN 2214-109X DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/S2214-109X(20)30074-7

Hellewell, Joel; Russell, Timothy W; Beale, Rupert; Kelly, Gavin; Houlihan, Catherine; Nastouli, Eleni; Kucharski, Adam J; (2020) Estimating the effectiveness of routine asymptomatic PCR testing at different frequencies for the detection of SARS-CoV-2 infections. MedRxiv - BMJ Yale. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.11.24.20229948

Hellewell, Joel; Russell, Timothy W; SAFER Investigators and Field Study Team; Crick COVID-19 Consortium; CMMID COVID-19 working group; Beale, Rupert; Kelly, Gavin; Houlihan, Catherine; Nastouli, Eleni; Kucharski, Adam J; (2021) Estimating the effectiveness of routine asymptomatic PCR testing at different frequencies for the detection of SARS-CoV-2 infections. BMC medicine, 19 (1). 106-. ISSN 1741-7015 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1186/s12916-021-01982-x

Jombart, Thibaut; van Zandvoort, Kevin; Russell, Timothy W; Jarvis, Christopher I; Gimma, Amy; Abbott, Sam; Clifford, Sam; Funk, Sebastian; Gibbs, Hamish; Liu, Yang; +6 more... Pearson, Carl AB; Bosse, Nikos I; Centre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases COV; Eggo, Rosalind M; Kucharski, Adam J; Edmunds, W John; Centre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases COV; (2020) Inferring the number of COVID-19 cases from recently reported deaths. Wellcome Open Res, 5. 78-. ISSN 2398-502X DOI: https://doi.org/10.12688/wellcomeopenres.15786.1

Jombart, Thibaut; van Zandvoort, Kevin; Russell, Timothy W; Jarvis, Christopher I; Gimma, Amy; Abbott, Sam; Clifford, Sam; Funk, Sebastian; Gibbs, Hamish; Liu, Yang; +6 more... Pearson, Carl AB; Bosse, Nikos I; Centre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases COV; Eggo, Rosalind M; Kucharski, Adam J; Edmunds, W John; (2020) Inferring the number of COVID-19 cases from recently reported deaths. medRxiv. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.03.10.20033761

Jombart, Thibaut; van Zandvoort, Kevin; Russell, Timothy W; Jarvis, Christopher I; Gimma, Amy; Abbott, Sam; Clifford, Sam; Funk, Sebastian; Gibbs, Hamish; Liu, Yang; +6 more... Pearson, Carl AB; Bosse, Nikos I; Centre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases COV; Eggo, Rosalind M; Kucharski, Adam J; Edmunds, W John; (2020) Inferring the number of COVID-19 cases from recently reported deaths. Wellcome open research, 5. 78-. DOI: https://doi.org/10.12688/wellcomeopenres.15786.1

Kucharski, Adam J; Russell, Timothy W; Diamond, Charlie; Liu, Yang; Edmunds, John; Funk, Sebastian; Eggo, Rosalind M; Centre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases COVID-1; (2020) Early dynamics of transmission and control of COVID-19: a mathematical modelling study. The Lancet. Infectious diseases, 20 (5). pp. 553-558. ISSN 1473-3099 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/S1473-3099(20)30144-4

Prem, Kiesha; Liu, Yang; Russell, Timothy W; Kucharski, Adam J; Eggo, Rosalind M; Davies, Nicholas; Centre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases COV; Jit, Mark; Klepac, Petra; (2020) The effect of control strategies to reduce social mixing on outcomes of the COVID-19 epidemic in Wuhan, China: a modelling study. The Lancet. Public health, 5 (5). e261-e270. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/S2468-2667(20)30073-6

Quilty, Billy J; Clifford, Samuel; Hellewell, Joel; Russell, Timothy W; Kucharski, Adam J; Flasche, Stefan; Edmunds, W John; Centre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases COV; (2021) Quarantine and testing strategies in contact tracing for SARS-CoV-2: a modelling study. The Lancet Public Health, 6 (3). e175-e183. ISSN 2468-2667 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/S2468-2667(20)30308-X

Quilty, Billy J; Diamond, Charlie; Liu, Yang; Gibbs, Hamish; Russell, Timothy W; Jarvis, Christopher I; Prem, Kiesha; Pearson, Carl AB; Clifford, Samuel; Flasche, Stefan; +4 more... CMMID COVID-19 working group; Klepac, Petra; Eggo, Rosalind M; Jit, Mark; (2020) The effect of travel restrictions on the geographical spread of COVID-19 between large cities in China: a modelling study. BMC medicine, 18 (1). 259-. ISSN 1741-7015 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1186/s12916-020-01712-9

Russell, Timothy W; Golding, Nick; Hellewell, Joel; Abbott, Sam; Wright, Lawrence; Pearson, Carl AB; Zandvoort, Kevin van; Jarvis, Christopher I; Gibbs, Hamish; Liu, Yang; +3 more... Eggo, Rosalind M; Edmunds, W John; Kucharski, Adam J; (2020) Reconstructing the early global dynamics of under-ascertained COVID-19 cases and infections. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.07.07.20148460

Russell, Timothy W; Golding, Nick; Hellewell, Joel; Abbott, Sam; Wright, Lawrence; Pearson, Carl AB; van Zandvoort, Kevin; Jarvis, Christopher I; Gibbs, Hamish; Liu, Yang; +4 more... Eggo, Rosalind M; Edmunds, W John; Kucharski, Adam J; CMMID COVID-19 working group; (2020) Reconstructing the early global dynamics of under-ascertained COVID-19 cases and infections. BMC medicine, 18 (1). 332-. ISSN 1741-7015 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1186/s12916-020-01790-9

Russell, Timothy W; Hellewell, Joel; Jarvis, Christopher I; Van Zandvoort, Kevin; Abbott, Sam; Ratnayake, Ruwan; Flasche, Stefan; Eggo, Rosalind M; Edmunds, W John; Kucharski, Adam J; (2020) Estimating the infection and case fatality ratio for COVID-19 using age-adjusted data from the outbreak on the Diamond Princess cruise ship. BMJ global health. ISSN 2059-7908 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.03.05.20031773

Russell, Timothy W; Hellewell, Joel; Jarvis, Christopher I; van Zandvoort, Kevin; Abbott, Sam; Ratnayake, Ruwan; CMMID COVID-19 working group; Flasche, Stefan; Eggo, Rosalind M; Edmunds, W John; +1 more... Kucharski, Adam J; (2020) Estimating the infection and case fatality ratio for coronavirus disease (COVID-19) using age-adjusted data from the outbreak on the Diamond Princess cruise ship, February 2020. Euro Surveill, 25 (12). ISSN 1560-7917 DOI: https://doi.org/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2020.25.12.2000256

Russell, Timothy W; Russell, Matthew J; Úbeda, Francisco; Jansen, Vincent AA; (2019) Stable cycling in quasi-linkage equilibrium: Fluctuating dynamics under gene conversion and selection. JOURNAL OF THEORETICAL BIOLOGY, 477. pp. 84-95. ISSN 0022-5193 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jtbi.2019.06.010

Russell, Timothy W; Townsley, Hermaleigh; Hellewell, Joel; Gahir, Joshua; Shawe-Taylor, Marianne; Greenwood, David; Hodgson, David; Hobbs, Agnieszka; Dowgier, Giulia; Penn, Rebecca; +34 more... Sanderson, Theo; Stevenson-Leggett, Phoebe; Bazire, James; Harvey, Ruth; Fowler, Ashley S; Miah, Murad; Smith, Callie; Miranda, Mauro; Bawumia, Philip; Mears, Harriet V; Adams, Lorin; Hatipoglu, Emine; O'Reilly, Nicola; Warchal, Scott; Ambrose, Karen; Strange, Amy; Kelly, Gavin; Kjar, Svend; Papineni, Padmasayee; Corrah, Tumena; Gilson, Richard; Libri, Vincenzo; Kassiotis, George; Gamblin, Steve; Lewis, Nicola S; Williams, Bryan; Swanton, Charles; Gandhi, Sonia; Beale, Rupert; Wu, Mary Y; Bauer, David LV; Carr, Edward J; Wall, Emma C; Kucharski, Adam J; (2024) Real-time estimation of immunological responses against emerging SARS-CoV-2 variants in the UK: a mathematical modelling study. The Lancet. Infectious diseases, 25 (1). pp. 80-93. ISSN 1473-3099 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/S1473-3099(24)00484-5

Russell, Timothy W; Wu, Joseph T; Clifford, Sam; Edmunds, W John; Kucharski, Adam J; Jit, Mark; Centre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases COV; Centre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases COV; (2021) Effect of internationally imported cases on internal spread of COVID-19: a mathematical modelling study. LANCET PUBLIC HEALTH, 6 (1). e12-e20. ISSN 2468-2667 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/S2468-2667(20)30263-2

Sherratt, Katharine; Carnegie, Anna C; Kucharski, Adam; Cori, Anne; Pearson, Carl AB; Jarvis, Christopher I; Overton, Christopher; Weston, Dale; Hill, Edward M; Knock, Edward; +17 more... Fearon, Elizabeth; Nightingale, Emily; Hellewell, Joel; Edmunds, W John; Villabona Arenas, Julián; Prem, Kiesha; Pi, Li; Baguelin, Marc; Kendall, Michelle; Ferguson, Neil; Davies, Nicholas; Eggo, Rosalind M; van Elsland, Sabine; Russell, Timothy; Funk, Sebastian; Liu, Yang; Abbott, Sam; (2024) Improving modelling for epidemic responses: reflections from members of the UK infectious disease modelling community on their experiences during the COVID-19 pandemic. Wellcome open research, 9. 12-. ISSN 2398-502X DOI: https://doi.org/10.12688/wellcomeopenres.19601.1

Waites, W; Cavaliere, M; Danos, V; Datta, R; Eggo, RM; Hallett, TB; Manheim, D; Panovska-Griffiths, J; Russell, TW; Zarnitsyna, VI; (2022) Compositional modelling of immune response and virus transmission dynamics. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, 380 (2233). 20210307-. ISSN 1364-503X DOI: https://doi.org/10.1098/rsta.2021.0307

van Zandvoort, Kevin; Jarvis, Christopher I; Pearson, Carl AB; Davies, Nicholas G; CMMID COVID-19 working group; Ratnayake, Ruwan; Russell, Timothy W; Kucharski, Adam J; Jit, Mark; Flasche, Stefan; +2 more... Eggo, Rosalind M; Checchi, Francesco; (2020) Response strategies for COVID-19 epidemics in African settings: a mathematical modelling study. BMC Medicine, 18 (1). 324-. ISSN 1741-7015 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1186/s12916-020-01789-2