Items where Research Centre is "Centre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases"

Items where Research Centre is "Centre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases"

Research Centres (26996)

Centre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases (1222)

Number of items: 262.

March 2022

Effectiveness of infection prevention and control interventions, excluding personal protective equipment, to prevent nosocomial transmission of SARS-CoV-2: a systematic review and call for action. (2021) Jafari, Yalda; Yin, Mo; Lim, Cherry; Pople, Diane; Evans, Stephanie; Stimson, James; Pham, Thi Mui; LSHTM CMMID COVID-19 working group; Read, Jonathan M; Robotham, Julie V; Cooper, Ben S; Knight, Gwenan M

January 2022

Co-learning during the co-creation of a dengue early warning system for the health sector in Barbados. (2021) Stewart-Ibarra, Anna M; Rollock, Leslie; Best, Sabu; Brown, Tia; Diaz, Avriel R; Dunbar, Willy; Lippi, Catherine A; Mahon, Roché; Ryan, Sadie J; Trotman, Adrian; Van Meerbeeck, Cedric J; Lowe, Rachel

Optimising health and economic impacts of COVID-19 vaccine prioritisation strategies in the WHO European Region: a mathematical modelling study. (2021) Liu, Yang; Sandmann, Frank G; Barnard, Rosanna C; Pearson, Carl AB; Pastore, Roberta; Pebody, Richard; Flasche, Stefan; Jit, Mark

December 2021

Estimating the duration of seropositivity of human seasonal coronaviruses using seroprevalence studies. (2021) Rees, Eleanor M; Waterlow, Naomi R; Lowe, Rachel; Kucharski, Adam J

Changing socio-economic and ethnic disparities in influenza/A/H1N1 infection early in the 2009 UK epidemic: a descriptive analysis. (2021) Munday, James D; Pebody, Richard; Atkins, Katherine E; van Hoek, Albert Jan

Correction: Practical considerations for measuring the effective reproductive number, Rt. (2021) Gostic, Katelyn M; McGough, Lauren; Baskerville, Edward B; Abbott, Sam; Joshi, Keya; Tedijanto, Christine; Kahn, Rebecca; Niehus, Rene; Hay, James A; De Salazar, Pablo M; Hellewell, Joel; Meakin, Sophie; Munday, James D; Bosse, Nikos I; Sherrat, Katharine; Thompson, Robin N; White, Laura F; Huisman, Jana S; Scire, Jérémie; Bonhoeffer, Sebastian; Stadler, Tanja; Wallinga, Jacco; Funk, Sebastian; Lipsitch, Marc; Cobey, Sarah

The impact of climate suitability, urbanisation, and connectivity on the expansion of dengue in 21st century Brazil. (2021) Lee, Sophie A; Economou, Theodoros; de Castro Catão, Rafael; Barcellos, Christovam; Lowe, Rachel

Tracking the emergence of disparities in the subnational spread of COVID-19 in Brazil using an online application for real-time data visualisation: A longitudinal analysis. (2021) Mee, Paul; Alexander, Neal; Mayaud, Philippe; González, Felipe de Jesus Colón; Abbott, Sam; Santos, Andreza Aruska de Souza; Acosta, André Luís; Parag, Kris V; Pereira, Rafael HM; Prete, Carlos A; Sabino, Ester C; Faria, Nuno R; LSHTM Centre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Disease CO; Brady, Oliver J

The importance of saturating density dependence for population-level predictions of SARS-CoV-2 resurgence compared with density-independent or linearly density-dependent models, England, 23 March to 31 July 2020. (2021) Nightingale, Emily S; Brady, Oliver J; CMMID Covid-19 working group; Yakob, Laith

Stark choices: exploring health sector costs of policy responses to COVID-19 in low-income and middle-income countries. (2021) Torres-Rueda, Sergio; Sweeney, Sedona; Bozzani, Fiammetta; Naylor, Nichola R; Baker, Tim; Pearson, Carl; Eggo, Rosalind; Procter, Simon R; Davies, Nicholas; Quaife, Matthew; Kitson, Nichola; Keogh-Brown, Marcus R; Jensen, Henning Tarp; Saadi, Nuru; Khan, Mishal; Huda, Maryam; Kairu, Angela; Zaidi, Raza; Barasa, Edwine; Jit, Mark; Vassall, Anna

How immunity from and interaction with seasonal coronaviruses can shape SARS-CoV-2 epidemiology. (2021) Waterlow, Naomi R; van Leeuwen, Edwin; Davies, Nicholas G; CMMID COVID-19 Working Group; Flasche, Stefan; Eggo, Rosalind M

Precautionary breaks: Planned, limited duration circuit breaks to control the prevalence of SARS-CoV2 and the burden of COVID-19 disease. (2021) Keeling, Matt J; Guyver-Fletcher, Glen; Dyson, Louise; Tildesley, Michael J; Hill, Edward M; Medley, Graham F

The Impact of Cocirculating Pathogens on Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2)/Coronavirus Disease 2019 Surveillance: How Concurrent Epidemics May Introduce Bias and Decrease the Observed SARS-CoV-2 Percentage Positivity. (2021) Kovacevic, Aleksandra; Eggo, Rosalind M; Baguelin, Marc; Domenech de Cellès, Matthieu; Opatowski, Lulla

Lifetime burden of disease due to incident tuberculosis: a global reappraisal including post-tuberculosis sequelae. (2021) Menzies, Nicolas A; Quaife, Matthew; Allwood, Brian W; Byrne, Anthony L; Coussens, Anna K; Harries, Anthony D; Marx, Florian M; Meghji, Jamilah; Pedrazzoli, Debora; Salomon, Joshua A; Sweeney, Sedona; van Kampen, Sanne C; Wallis, Robert S; Houben, Rein MGJ; Cohen, Ted

Models of COVID-19 vaccine prioritisation: a systematic literature search and narrative review. (2021) Saadi, Nuru; Chi, Y-Ling; Ghosh, Srobana; Eggo, Rosalind M; McCarthy, Ciara V; Quaife, Matthew; Dawa, Jeanette; Jit, Mark; Vassall, Anna

The effect of new Mycobacterium tuberculosis infection on the sensitivity of prognostic TB signatures. (2021) Sumner, T; Fiore-Gartland, A; Hatherill, M; Houben, RMGJ; Scriba, TJ; White, RG

Using choice experiments to improve equity in access to socially marketed HIV prevention products. (2021) Terris-Prestholt, Fern; Mulatu, Abay; Quaife, Matthew; Gafos, Mitzy; Medley, Graham F; MacPhail, Catherine; Hanson, Kara

Estimating the contribution of HIV-infected adults to household pneumococcal transmission in South Africa, 2016-2018: A hidden Markov modelling study. (2021) Thindwa, Deus; Wolter, Nicole; Pinsent, Amy; Carrim, Maimuna; Ojal, John; Tempia, Stefano; Moyes, Jocelyn; McMorrow, Meredith; Kleynhans, Jackie; Gottberg, Anne von; French, Neil; PHIRST group; Cohen, Cheryl; Flasche, Stefan

Effect of evidence updates on key determinants of measles vaccination impact: a DynaMICE modelling study in ten high-burden countries. (2021) Fu, Han; Abbas, Kaja; Klepac, Petra; van Zandvoort, Kevin; Tanvir, Hira; Portnoy, Allison; Jit, Mark

SARS-CoV-2 infection risk during delivery of childhood vaccination campaigns: a modelling study. (2021) Procter, Simon R; Abbas, Kaja; Flasche, Stefan; Griffiths, Ulla; Hagedorn, Brittany; O'Reilly, Kathleen M; CMMID COVID-19 Working Group; Jit, Mark

World Health Organization Expert Working Group: Recommendations for assessing morbidity associated with enteric pathogens. (2021) Hasso-Agopsowicz, Mateusz; Lopman, Benjamin A; Lanata, Claudio F; Rogawski McQuade, Elizabeth T; Kang, Gagandeep; Prudden, Holly J; Khalil, Ibrahim; Platts-Mills, James A; Kotloff, Karen; Jit, Mark; Riddle, Mark S; Pavlinac, Patricia B; Luz, Paula M; Pitzer, Virginia E; Breiman, Robert F; Giersing, Birgitte K

Sociological variety and the transmission efficiency of Mycobacterium tuberculosis: a secondary analysis of qualitative and quantitative data from 15 communities in Zambia. (2021) Murray, Emma J; Dodd, Peter J; Marais, Ben; Ayles, Helen; Shanaube, Kwame; Schaap, Albertus; White, Richard G; Bond, Virginia

November 2021

Within and between classroom transmission patterns of seasonal influenza among primary school students in Matsumoto city, Japan. (2021) Endo, Akira; Uchida, Mitsuo; Hayashi, Naoki; Liu, Yang; Atkins, Katherine E; Kucharski, Adam J; Funk, Sebastian

OpenSAFELY: impact of national guidance on switching anticoagulant therapy during COVID-19 pandemic. (2021) OpenSAFELY Collaborative; Curtis, Helen J; MacKenna, Brian; Walker, Alex J; Croker, Richard; Mehrkar, Amir; Morton, Caroline; Bacon, Seb; Hickman, George; Inglesby, Peter; Bates, Chris; Evans, David; Ward, Tom; Cockburn, Jonathan; Davy, Simon; Bhaskaran, Krishnan; Schultze, Anna; Rentsch, Christopher T; Williamson, Elizabeth; Hulme, William; Tomlinson, Laurie; Mathur, Rohini; Drysdale, Henry; Eggo, Rosalind M; Wong, Angel Yun; Forbes, Harriet; Parry, John; Hester, Frank; Harper, Sam; Douglas, Ian; Smeeth, Liam; Goldacre, Ben

Vaccine Confidence and Hesitancy at the Start of COVID-19 Vaccine Deployment in the UK: An Embedded Mixed-Methods Study. (2021) Roberts, Chrissy H; Brindle, Hannah; Rogers, Nina T; Eggo, Rosalind M; Enria, Luisa; Lees, Shelley

How can the public health impact of vaccination be estimated? (2021) Echeverria-Londono, Susy; Li, Xiang; Toor, Jaspreet; de Villiers, Margaret J; Nayagam, Shevanthi; Hallett, Timothy B; Abbas, Kaja; Jit, Mark; Klepac, Petra; Jean, Kévin; Garske, Tini; Ferguson, Neil M; Gaythorpe, Katy AM

Predicted norovirus resurgence in 2021-2022 due to the relaxation of nonpharmaceutical interventions associated with COVID-19 restrictions in England: a mathematical modeling study. (2021) O'Reilly, Kathleen M; Sandman, Frank; Allen, David; Jarvis, Christopher I; Gimma, Amy; Douglas, Amy; Larkin, Lesley; Wong, Kerry LM; Baguelin, Marc; Baric, Ralph S; Lindesmith, Lisa C; Goldstein, Richard A; Breuer, Judith; Edmunds, W John

Modelling the Risks of Measles Outbreaks Near Elimination. (2021) Robert, A

Quantifying the Acute Care Costs of Neonatal Bacterial Sepsis and Meningitis in Mozambique and South Africa. (2021) Aerts, Céline; Leahy, Shannon; Mucasse, Humberto; Lala, Sanjay; Bramugy, Justina; Tann, Cally J; Madhi, Shabir A; Bardají, Azucena; Bassat, Quique; Dangor, Ziyaad; Lawn, Joy E; Jit, Mark; Procter, Simon R

Optimal human papillomavirus vaccination strategies to prevent cervical cancer in low-income and middle-income countries in the context of limited resources: a mathematical modelling analysis. (2021) Drolet, Mélanie; Laprise, Jean-François; Martin, Dave; Jit, Mark; Bénard, Élodie; Gingras, Guillaume; Boily, Marie-Claude; Alary, Michel; Baussano, Iacopo; Hutubessy, Raymond; Brisson, Marc

In Pursuit of the ‘Holy Grail’: Staff Perceptions of Creativity and Innovation. (2021) Foss, Anna; Locke, Lorraine

Projections of human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccination impact in Ethiopia, India, Nigeria and Pakistan: a comparative modelling study. (2021) Portnoy, Allison; Abbas, Kaja; Sweet, Steven; Kim, Jane J; Jit, Mark

Tracking progress on health and climate change in Europe. (2021) Romanello, Marina; van Daalen, Kim; Anto, Josep M; Dasandi, Niheer; Drummond, Paul; Hamilton, Ian G; Jankin, Slava; Kendrovski, Vladimir; Lowe, Rachel; Rocklöv, Joacim; Schmoll, Oliver; Semenza, Jan C; Tonne, Cathryn; Nilsson, Maria

Epidemiological and Immunological Features of Obesity and SARS-CoV-2. (2021) Nilles, Eric J; Siddiqui, Sameed M; Fischinger, Stephanie; Bartsch, Yannic C; de St. Aubin, Michael; Zhou, Guohai; Gluck, Matthew J; Berger, Samuel; Rhee, Justin; Petersen, Eric; Mormann, Benjamin; Loesche, Michael; Hu, Yiyuan; Chen, Zhilin; Yu, Jingyou; Gebre, Makda; Atyeo, Caroline; Gorman, Matthew J; Zhu, Alex Lee; Burke, John; Slein, Matthew; Hasdianda, Mohammad A; Jambaulikar, Guruprasad; Boyer, Edward W; Sabeti, Pardis C; Barouch, Dan H; Julg, Boris; Kucharski, Adam J; Musk, Elon R; Lauffenburger, Douglas A; Alter, Galit; Menon, Anil S

Anal human papillomavirus prevalence and risk factors among men who have sex with men in Vietnam. (2021) Tuan, Le Anh; Prem, Kiesha; Pham, Quang Duy; Toh, Zheng Quan; Tran, Hau Phuc; Nguyen, Phuc Duy; Mai, Chu Thi Ngoc; Ly, Le Thi Khanh; Cao, Van; Le-Ha, Tam-Duong; Tuan, Nguyen Anh; Jit, Mark; Bright, Kathryn; Brisson, Marc; Nguyen, Thuong Vu; Garland, Suzanne; Anh, Dang Duc; Trang, Nguyen Van; Mulholland, Kim

A global assessment of the impact of school closure in reducing COVID-19 spread. (2021) Wu, Joseph T; Mei, Shujiang; Luo, Sihui; Leung, Kathy; Liu, Di; Lv, Qiuying; Liu, Jian; Li, Yuan; Prem, Kiesha; Jit, Mark; Weng, Jianping; Feng, Tiejian; Zheng, Xueying; Leung, Gabriel M

October 2021

The impact of blood transcriptomic biomarker targeted tuberculosis preventive therapy in people living with HIV: a mathematical modelling study. (2021) Sumner, Tom; Mendelsohn, Simon C; Scriba, Thomas J; Hatherill, Mark; White, Richard G

Modelling the effect of infection prevention and control measures on rate of Mycobacterium tuberculosis transmission to clinic attendees in primary health clinics in South Africa. (2021) McCreesh, Nicky; Karat, Aaron S; Baisley, Kathy; Diaconu, Karin; Bozzani, Fiammetta; Govender, Indira; Beckwith, Peter; Yates, Tom A; Deol, Arminder K; Houben, Rein MGJ; Kielmann, Karina; White, Richard G; Grant, Alison D

Impact of COVID-19 Disruptions on Global BCG Coverage and Paediatric TB Mortality: A Modelling Study. (2021) Shaikh, Nabila; Pelzer, Puck T; Thysen, Sanne M; Roy, Partho; Harris, Rebecca C; White, Richard G

Association between warfarin and COVID-19-related outcomes compared with direct oral anticoagulants: population-based cohort study. (2021) OpenSAFELY Collaborative; Wong, Angel YS; Tomlinson, Laurie A; Brown, Jeremy P; Elson, William; Walker, Alex J; Schultze, Anna; Morton, Caroline E; Evans, David; Inglesby, Peter; MacKenna, Brian; Bhaskaran, Krishnan; Rentsch, Christopher T; Powell, Emma; Williamson, Elizabeth; Croker, Richard; Bacon, Seb; Hulme, William; Bates, Chris; Curtis, Helen J; Mehrkar, Amir; Cockburn, Jonathan; McDonald, Helen I; Mathur, Rohini; Wing, Kevin; Forbes, Harriet; Eggo, Rosalind M; Evans, Stephen JW; Smeeth, Liam; Goldacre, Ben; Douglas, Ian J

Recommended reporting items for epidemic forecasting and prediction research: The EPIFORGE 2020 guidelines. (2021) Pollett, Simon; Johansson, Michael A; Reich, Nicholas G; Brett-Major, David; Del Valle, Sara Y; Venkatramanan, Srinivasan; Lowe, Rachel; Porco, Travis; Berry, Irina Maljkovic; Deshpande, Alina; Kraemer, Moritz UG; Blazes, David L; Pan-Ngum, Wirichada; Vespigiani, Alessandro; Mate, Suzanne E; Silal, Sheetal P; Kandula, Sasikiran; Sippy, Rachel; Quandelacy, Talia M; Morgan, Jeffrey J; Ball, Jacob; Morton, Lindsay C; Althouse, Benjamin M; Pavlin, Julie; van Panhuis, Wilbert; Riley, Steven; Biggerstaff, Matthew; Viboud, Cecile; Brady, Oliver; Rivers, Caitlin

Climate change and health in Southeast Asia – defining research priorities and the role of the Wellcome Trust Africa Asia Programmes. (2021) Choisy, Marc; McBride, Angela; Chambers, Mary; Ho Quang, Chanh; Nguyen Quang, Huy; Xuan Chau, Nguyen Thi; Thi, Giang Nguyen; Bonell, Ana; Evans, Megan; Ming, Damien; Ngo-Duc, Thanh; Quang Thai, Pham; Dang Giang, Duy Hoang; Dan Thanh, Ho Ngoc; Ngoc Nhung, Hoang; Lowe, Rachel; Maude, Richard; Elyazar, Iqbal; Surendra, Henry; Ashley, Elizabeth A; Thwaites, Louise; van Doorn, H Rogier; Kestelyn, Evelyne; Dondorp, Arjen M; Thwaites, Guy; Vinh Chau, Nguyen Van; Yacoub, Sophie

Genomic reconstruction of the SARS-CoV-2 epidemic in England. (2021) Vöhringer, Harald S; Sanderson, Theo; Sinnott, Matthew; De Maio, Nicola; Nguyen, Thuy; Goater, Richard; Schwach, Frank; Harrison, Ian; Hellewell, Joel; Ariani, Cristina V; Gonçalves, Sonia; Jackson, David K; Johnston, Ian; Jung, Alexander W; Saint, Callum; Sillitoe, John; Suciu, Maria; Goldman, Nick; Panovska-Griffiths, Jasmina; Wellcome Sanger Institute COVID-19 Surveillance Team; COVID-19 Genomics UK (COG-UK) Consortium*; Birney, Ewan; Volz, Erik; Funk, Sebastian; Kwiatkowski, Dominic; Chand, Meera; Martincorena, Inigo; Barrett, Jeffrey C; Gerstung, Moritz

A cross-sectional analysis of meteorological factors and SARS-CoV-2 transmission in 409 cities across 26 countries. (2021) Sera, Francesco; Armstrong, Ben; Abbott, Sam; Meakin, Sophie; O'Reilly, Kathleen; von Borries, Rosa; Schneider, Rochelle; Royé, Dominic; Hashizume, Masahiro; Pascal, Mathilde; Tobias, Aurelio; Vicedo-Cabrera, Ana Maria; MCC Collaborative Research Network; CMMID COVID-19 Working Group; Gasparrini, Antonio; Lowe, Rachel

Multi-country collaboration in responding to global infectious disease threats: lessons for Europe from the COVID-19 pandemic. (2021) Jit, Mark; Ananthakrishnan, Aparna; McKee, Martin; Wouters, Olivier J; Beutels, Philippe; Teerawattananon, Yot

Sharing, synthesis and sustainability of data analysis for epidemic preparedness in Europe. (2021) Kucharski, Adam J; Hodcroft, Emma B; Kraemer, Moritz UG

Understanding MRSA clonal competition within a UK hospital; the possible importance of density dependence. (2021) de Vos, Anneke S; de Vlas, Sake J; Lindsay, Jodi A; Kretzschmar, Mirjam EE; Knight, Gwenan M

COVID-19 vaccination in Sindh Province, Pakistan: A modelling study of health impact and cost-effectiveness. (2021) Pearson, Carl AB; Bozzani, Fiammetta; Procter, Simon R; Davies, Nicholas G; Huda, Maryam; Jensen, Henning Tarp; Keogh-Brown, Marcus; Khalid, Muhammad; Sweeney, Sedona; Torres-Rueda, Sergio; CHiL COVID-19 Working Group; CMMID COVID-19 Working Group; Eggo, Rosalind M; Vassall, Anna; Jit, Mark

Association of enteropathogen detection with diarrhoea by age and high versus low child mortality settings: a systematic review and meta-analysis. (2021) Baker, Julia M; Hasso-Agopsowicz, Mateusz; Pitzer, Virginia E; Platts-Mills, James A; Peralta-Santos, Andre; Troja, Catherine; Archer, Helena; Guo, Boya; Sheahan, William; Lingappa, Jairam; Jit, Mark; Lopman, Benjamin A

Digital and technological innovation in vector-borne disease surveillance to predict, detect, and control climate-driven outbreaks. (2021) Pley, Caitlin; Evans, Megan; Lowe, Rachel; Montgomery, Hugh; Yacoub, Sophie

How to Prevent Vaccines Falling Victim to Their Own Success: Intertemporal Dependency of Incidence Levels on Indirect Effects in Economic Reevaluations. (2021) Sandmann, Frank; Ramsay, Mary; Edmunds, W John; Choi, Yoon H; Jit, Mark

September 2021

Estimating the annual dengue force of infection from the age of reporting primary infections across urban centres in endemic countries. (2021) Biggs, Joseph R; Sy, Ava Kristy; Sherratt, Katharine; Brady, Oliver J; Kucharski, Adam J; Funk, Sebastian; Reyes, Mary Anne Joy; Quinones, Mary Ann; Jones-Warner, William; Avelino, Ferchito L; Sucaldito, Nemia L; Tandoc, Amado O; la Paz, Eva Cutiongco-de; Capeding, Maria Rosario Z; Padilla, Carmencita D; Hafalla, Julius Clemence R; Hibberd, Martin L

Strategies to reduce the risk of SARS-CoV-2 importation from international travellers: modelling estimations for the United Kingdom, July 2020. (2021) Clifford, Samuel; Quilty, Billy J; Russell, Timothy W; Liu, Yang; Chan, Yung-Wai D; Pearson, Carl AB; Eggo, Rosalind M; Endo, Akira; CMMID COVID-19 Working Group; Flasche, Stefan; Edmunds, W John; Centre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases (CMMID)

SOCRATES-CoMix: a platform for timely and open-source contact mixing data during and in between COVID-19 surges and interventions in over 20 European countries. (2021) Verelst, Frederik; Hermans, Lisa; Vercruysse, Sarah; Gimma, Amy; Coletti, Pietro; Backer, Jantien A; Wong, Kerry LM; Wambua, James; van Zandvoort, Kevin; Willem, Lander; Bogaardt, Laurens; Faes, Christel; Jarvis, Christopher I; Wallinga, Jacco; Edmunds, W John; Beutels, Philippe; Hens, Niel

Drug resistance mutations in HIV: new bioinformatics approaches and challenges. (2021) Blassel, Luc; Zhukova, Anna; Villabona-Arenas, Christian J; Atkins, Katherine E; Hué, Stéphane; Gascuel, Olivier

Trends and clinical characteristics of COVID-19 vaccine recipients: a federated analysis of 57.9 million patients’ primary care records in situ using OpenSAFELY. (2021) Curtis, Helen J; Inglesby, Peter; Morton, Caroline E; MacKenna, Brian; Green, Amelia; Hulme, William; Walker, Alex J; Morley, Jessica; Mehrkar, Amir; Bacon, Seb; Hickman, George; Bates, Chris; Croker, Richard; Evans, David; Ward, Tom; Cockburn, Jonathan; Davy, Simon; Bhaskaran, Krishnan; Schultze, Anna; Rentsch, Christopher T; Williamson, Elizabeth J; Rowan, Anna; Fisher, Louis; McDonald, Helen I; Tomlinson, Laurie; Mathur, Rohini; Drysdale, Henry; Eggo, Rosalind M; Wing, Kevin; Wong, Angel Ys; Forbes, Harriet; Parry, John; Hester, Frank; Harper, Sam; O'Hanlon, Shaun; Eavis, Alex; Jarvis, Richard; Avramov, Dima; Griffiths, Paul; Fowles, Aaron; Parkes, Nasreen; Douglas, Ian J; Evans, Stephen Jw; Smeeth, Liam; Goldacre, Ben; (The OpenSAFELY Collaborative)

OpenSAFELY NHS Service Restoration Observatory 1: primary care clinical activity in England during the first wave of COVID-19. (2021) Curtis, Helen J; MacKenna, Brian; Croker, Richard; Inglesby, Peter; Walker, Alex J; Morley, Jessica; Mehrkar, Amir; Morton, Caroline E; Bacon, Seb; Hickman, George; Bates, Chris; Evans, David; Ward, Tom; Cockburn, Jonathan; Davy, Simon; Bhaskaran, Krishnan; Schultze, Anna; Rentsch, Christopher T; Williamson, Elizabeth J; Hulme, William J; McDonald, Helen I; Tomlinson, Laurie; Mathur, Rohini; Drysdale, Henry; Eggo, Rosalind M; Wing, Kevin; Wong, Angel Ys; Forbes, Harriet; Parry, John; Hester, Frank; Harper, Sam; Evans, Stephen Jw; Douglas, Ian J; Smeeth, Liam; Goldacre, Ben; (The OpenSAFELY Collaborative)

Childhood immunisation timeliness and vaccine confidence by health information source, maternal, socioeconomic, and geographic characteristics in Albania. (2021) Mayerová, Daniela; Abbas, Kaja

Rapid COVID-19 vaccine rollout: immense success but challenges ahead. (2021) Sandmann, Frank G; Jit, Mark

Modelling the persistence and control of Rift Valley fever virus in a spatially heterogeneous landscape. (2021) Tennant, Warren SD; Cardinale, Eric; Cêtre-Sossah, Catherine; Moutroifi, Youssouf; Le Godais, Gilles; Colombi, Davide; Spencer, Simon EF; Tildesley, Mike J; Keeling, Matt J; Charafouddine, Onzade; Colizza, Vittoria; Edmunds, W John; Métras, Raphaëlle

Epidemiological versus meteorological forecasts: Best practice for linking models to policymaking. (2021) Coughlan de Perez, Erin; Stephens, Elisabeth; van Aalst, Maarten; Bazo, Juan; Fournier-Tombs, Eleonore; Funk, Sebastian; Hess, Jeremy J; Ranger, Nicola; Lowe, Rachel

Antimicrobial Resistance: Is Health Technology Assessment Part of the Solution or Part of the Problem? (2021) Colson, Abigail R; Morton, Alec; Årdal, Christine; Chalkidou, Kalipso; Davies, Sally C; Garrison, Louis P; Jit, Mark; Laxminarayan, Ramanan; Megiddo, Itamar; Morel, Chantal; Nonvignon, Justice; Outterson, Kevin; Rex, John H; Sarker, Abdur Razzaque; Sculpher, Mark; Woods, Beth; Xiao, Yue

Hospital-acquired SARS-CoV-2 infection in the UK's first COVID-19 pandemic wave. (2021) Read, Jonathan M; Green, Chris A; Harrison, Ewen M; Docherty, Annemarie B; Funk, Sebastian; Harrison, Janet; Girvan, Michelle; Hardwick, Hayley E; Turtle, Lance; Dunning, Jake; Nguyen-Van-Tam, Jonathan S; Openshaw, Peter Jm; Baillie, J Kenneth; Semple, Malcolm G; ISARIC4C investigators

Localising Vaccination Services: Qualitative Insights on an Orthodox Jewish Collaboration with Public health during the UK coronavirus Vaccine Programme. (2021) Kasstan, Ben; Mounier-Jack, Sandra; Letley, Louise; Gaskell, Katherine M; Roberts, Chrissy H; Stone, Neil RH; Lal, Sham; Eggo, Rosalind M; Marks, Michael; Chantler, Tracey

Cost-effectiveness of strategies for preventing paediatric lower respiratory infections associated with respiratory syncytial virus in eight Chinese cities. (2021) Liu, Di; Leung, Kathy; Jit, Mark; Wu, Joseph T

Safety and immunogenicity of the two-dose heterologous Ad26.ZEBOV and MVA-BN-Filo Ebola vaccine regimen in children in Sierra Leone: a randomised, double-blind, controlled trial. (2021) Afolabi, Muhammed O; Ishola, David; Manno, Daniela; Keshinro, Babajide; Bockstal, Viki; Rogers, Baimba; Owusu-Kyei, Kwabena; Serry-Bangura, Alimamy; Swaray, Ibrahim; Lowe, Brett; Kowuor, Dickens; Baiden, Frank; Mooney, Thomas; Smout, Elizabeth; Köhn, Brian; Otieno, Godfrey T; Jusu, Morrison; Foster, Julie; Samai, Mohamed; Deen, Gibrilla Fadlu; Larson, Heidi; Lees, Shelley; Goldstein, Neil; Gallagher, Katherine E; Gaddah, Auguste; Heerwegh, Dirk; Callendret, Benoit; Luhn, Kerstin; Robinson, Cynthia; Greenwood, Brian; Leyssen, Maarten; Douoguih, Macaya; Leigh, Bailah; Watson-Jones, Deborah; EBL3001 study group

Contact tracing is an imperfect tool for controlling COVID-19 transmission and relies on population adherence. (2021) Davis, Emma L; Lucas, Tim CD; Borlase, Anna; Pollington, Timothy M; Abbott, Sam; Ayabina, Diepreye; Crellen, Thomas; Hellewell, Joel; Pi, Li; CMMID COVID-19 Working Group; Medley, Graham F; Hollingsworth, T Déirdre; Klepac, Petra

Safety and long-term immunogenicity of the two-dose heterologous Ad26.ZEBOV and MVA-BN-Filo Ebola vaccine regimen in adults in Sierra Leone: a combined open-label, non-randomised stage 1, and a randomised, double-blind, controlled stage 2 trial. (2021) Ishola, David; Manno, Daniela; Afolabi, Muhammed O; Keshinro, Babajide; Bockstal, Viki; Rogers, Baimba; Owusu-Kyei, Kwabena; Serry-Bangura, Alimamy; Swaray, Ibrahim; Lowe, Brett; Kowuor, Dickens; Baiden, Frank; Mooney, Thomas; Smout, Elizabeth; Köhn, Brian; Otieno, Godfrey T; Jusu, Morrison; Foster, Julie; Samai, Mohamed; Deen, Gibrilla Fadlu; Larson, Heidi; Lees, Shelley; Goldstein, Neil; Gallagher, Katherine E; Gaddah, Auguste; Heerwegh, Dirk; Callendret, Benoit; Luhn, Kerstin; Robinson, Cynthia; Leyssen, Maarten; Greenwood, Brian; Douoguih, Macaya; Leigh, Bailah; Watson-Jones, Deborah; EBL3001 study group

Potential influence of meteorological conditions on early COVID-19 transmission dynamics in 409 cities across 26 countries. (2021) Lowe, Rachel; Armstrong, Ben; Abbott, Sam; Meakin, Sophie; O'Reilly, Kathleen; von Borries, Rosa; Schneider, Rochelle; Royé, Dominic; Hashizume, Masahiro; Pascal, Mathilde; Tobias, Aurelio; Vicedo-Cabrera, Ana; Gasparrini, Antonio; Sera, Francesco

Estimating the impact of reopening schools on the reproduction number of SARS-CoV-2 in England, using weekly contact survey data. (2021) Munday, James D; Jarvis, Christopher I; Gimma, Amy; Wong, Kerry LM; van Zandvoort, Kevin; CMMID COVID-19 Working Group; Funk, Sebastian; Edmunds, W John

Impact of the Covid-19 epidemic and related social distancing regulations on social contact and SARS-CoV-2 transmission potential in rural South Africa: analysis of repeated cross-sectional surveys. (2021) McCreesh, Nicky; Dlamini, Vuyiswa; Edwards, Anita; Olivier, Stephen; Dayi, Njabulo; Dikgale, Keabetswe; Nxumalo, Siyabonga; Dreyer, Jaco; Baisley, Kathy; Siedner, Mark J; White, Richard G; Herbst, Kobus; Grant, Alison D; Harling, Guy

Severity of Severe Acute Respiratory System Coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) Alpha Variant (B.1.1.7) in England. (2021) Grint, Daniel J; Wing, Kevin; Houlihan, Catherine; Gibbs, Hamish P; Evans, Stephen JW; Williamson, Elizabeth; McDonald, Helen I; Bhaskaran, Krishnan; Evans, David; Walker, Alex J; Hickman, George; Nightingale, Emily; Schultze, Anna; Rentsch, Christopher T; Bates, Chris; Cockburn, Jonathan; Curtis, Helen J; Morton, Caroline E; Bacon, Sebastian; Davy, Simon; Wong, Angel YS; Mehrkar, Amir; Tomlinson, Laurie; Douglas, Ian J; Mathur, Rohini; MacKenna, Brian; Ingelsby, Peter; Croker, Richard; Parry, John; Hester, Frank; Harper, Sam; DeVito, Nicholas J; Hulme, Will; Tazare, John; Smeeth, Liam; Goldacre, Ben; Eggo, Rosalind M

Serial intervals in SARS-CoV-2 B.1.617.2 variant cases. (2021) Pung, Rachael; Mak, Tze Minn; CMMID COVID-19 working group; Kucharski, Adam J; Lee, Vernon J

Real-time prediction model of cVDPV2 outbreaks to aid outbreak response vaccination strategies. (2021) Voorman, Arend; O'Reilly, Kathleen; Lyons, Hil; Goel, Ajay Kumar; Touray, Kebba; Okiror, Samuel

Respiratory syncytial virus seasonality and prevention strategy planning for passive immunisation of infants in low-income and middle-income countries: a modelling study. (2021) Li, You; Hodgson, David; Wang, Xin; Atkins, Katherine E; Feikin, Daniel R; Nair, Harish

August 2021

Potential test-negative design study bias in outbreak settings: application to Ebola vaccination in Democratic Republic of Congo. (2021) Pearson, Carl AB; Edmunds, W John; Hladish, Thomas J; Eggo, Rosalind M

Impact evaluation of immunisation service integration to nutrition programmes and paediatric outpatient departments of primary healthcare centres in Rumbek East and Rumbek Centre counties of South Sudan. (2021) Idris, Israel Oluwaseyidayo; Obwoya, Justin Geno; Tapkigen, Janet; Lamidi, Serifu Ayobami; Ochagu, Victor A; Abbas, Kaja

Assessing the impact of COVID-19 border restrictions on dengue transmission in Yunnan Province, China: an observational epidemiological and phylogenetic analysis. (2021) Li, Naizhe; Feng, Yun; Vrancken, Bram; Chen, Yuyang; Dong, Lu; Yang, Qiqi; Kraemer, Moritz UG; Pybus, Oliver G; Zhang, Hailin; Brady, Oliver J; Tian, Huaiyu

Mapping inequalities in exclusive breastfeeding in low- and middle-income countries, 2000-2018. (2021) Bhattacharjee, Natalia V; Schaeffer, Lauren E; Hay, Simon I; Local Burden of Disease Exclusive Breastfeeding Collaborators

Using machine learning and big data to explore the drug resistance landscape in HIV. (2021) Blassel, Luc; Tostevin, Anna; Villabona-Arenas, Christian Julian; Peeters, Martine; Hué, Stéphane; Gascuel, Olivier; UK HIV Drug Resistance Database

Better data for country-level TB resource allocation are urgently required. (2021) Clarkson, MC; McQuaid, CF; Houben, RM; Kranzer, K; White, RG

An approach for improving the quality of country-level TB modelling. (2021) McQuaid, CF; Clarkson, MC; Bellerose, M; Floyd, K; White, RG; Menzies, NA

Modeling the effect of vaccination on selection for antibiotic resistance in Streptococcus pneumonia e. (2021) Davies, Nicholas G; Flasche, Stefan; Jit, Mark; Atkins, Katherine E

Disregarding the restrictive vial-opening policy for BCG vaccine in Guinea-Bissau: impact and cost-effectiveness for tuberculosis mortality and all-cause mortality in children aged 0-4 years. (2021) Thysen, Sanne M; Fisker, Ane Baerent; Byberg, Stine; Aaby, Peter; Roy, Partho; White, Richard; Griffiths, Ulla; Harris, Rebecca C

An Introduction to the Main Types of Economic Evaluations Used for Informing Priority Setting and Resource Allocation in Healthcare: Key Features, Uses, and Limitations. (2021) Turner, Hugo C; Archer, Rachel A; Downey, Laura E; Isaranuwatchai, Wanrudee; Chalkidou, Kalipso; Jit, Mark; Teerawattananon, Yot

A pre-registered short-term forecasting study of COVID-19 in Germany and Poland during the second wave. (2021) Bracher, J; Wolffram, D; Deuschel, J; Görgen, K; Ketterer, JL; Ullrich, A; Abbott, S; Barbarossa, MV; Bertsimas, D; Bhatia, S; Bodych, M; Bosse, NI; Burgard, JP; Castro, L; Fairchild, G; Fuhrmann, J; Funk, S; Gogolewski, K; Gu, Q; Heyder, S; Hotz, T; Kheifetz, Y; Kirsten, H; Krueger, T; Krymova, E; Li, ML; Meinke, JH; Michaud, IJ; Niedzielewski, K; Ożański, T; Rakowski, F; Scholz, M; Soni, S; Srivastava, A; Zieliński, J; Zou, D; Gneiting, T; Schienle, M; List of Contributors by Team

Case-area targeted interventions (CATI) for reactive dengue control: Modelling effectiveness of vector control and prophylactic drugs in Singapore. (2021) Brady, Oliver J; Kucharski, Adam J; Funk, Sebastian; Jafari, Yalda; Loock, Marnix Van; Herrera-Taracena, Guillermo; Menten, Joris; Edmunds, W John; Sim, Shuzhen; Ng, Lee-Ching; Hué, Stéphane; Hibberd, Martin L

July 2021

Predicting the environmental suitability for onchocerciasis in Africa as an aid to elimination planning. (2021) Cromwell, Elizabeth A; Osborne, Joshua CP; Unnasch, Thomas R; Basáñez, Maria-Gloria; Gass, Katherine M; Barbre, Kira A; Hill, Elex; Johnson, Kimberly B; Donkers, Katie M; Shirude, Shreya; Schmidt, Chris A; Adekanmbi, Victor; Adetokunboh, Olatunji O; Afarideh, Mohsen; Ahmadpour, Ehsan; Ahmed, Muktar Beshir; Akalu, Temesgen Yihunie; Al-Aly, Ziyad; Alanezi, Fahad Mashhour; Alanzi, Turki M; Alipour, Vahid; Andrei, Catalina Liliana; Ansari, Fereshteh; Ansha, Mustafa Geleto; Anvari, Davood; Appiah, Seth Christopher Yaw; Arabloo, Jalal; Arnold, Benjamin F; Ausloos, Marcel; Ayanore, Martin Amogre; Baig, Atif Amin; Banach, Maciej; Barac, Aleksandra; Bärnighausen, Till Winfried; Bayati, Mohsen; Bhattacharyya, Krittika; Bhutta, Zulfiqar A; Bibi, Sadia; Bijani, Ali; Bohlouli, Somayeh; Bohluli, Mahdi; Brady, Oliver J; Bragazzi, Nicola Luigi; Butt, Zahid A; Carvalho, Felix; Chatterjee, Souranshu; Chattu, Vijay Kumar; Chattu, Soosanna Kumary; Cormier, Natalie Maria; Dahlawi, Saad MA; Damiani, Giovanni; Daoud, Farah; Darwesh, Aso Mohammad; Daryani, Ahmad; Deribe, Kebede; Dharmaratne, Samath Dhamminda; Diaz, Daniel; Do, Hoa Thi; El Sayed Zaki, Maysaa; El Tantawi, Maha; Elemineh, Demelash Abewa; Faraj, Anwar; Fasihi Harandi, Majid; Fatahi, Yousef; Feigin, Valery L; Fernandes, Eduarda; Foigt, Nataliya A; Foroutan, Masoud; Franklin, Richard Charles; Gubari, Mohammed Ibrahim Mohialdeen; Guido, Davide; Guo, Yuming; Haj-Mirzaian, Arvin; Hamagharib Abdullah, Kanaan; Hamidi, Samer; Herteliu, Claudiu; Hidru, Hagos Degefa de; Higazi, Tarig B; Hossain, Naznin; Hosseinzadeh, Mehdi; Househ, Mowafa; Ilesanmi, Olayinka Stephen; Ilic, Milena D; Ilic, Irena M; Iqbal, Usman; Irvani, Seyed Sina Naghibi; Jha, Ravi Prakash; Joukar, Farahnaz; Jozwiak, Jacek Jerzy; Kabir, Zubair; Kalankesh, Leila R; Kalhor, Rohollah; Karami Matin, Behzad; Karimi, Salah Eddin; Kasaeian, Amir; Kavetskyy, Taras; Kayode, Gbenga A; Kazemi Karyani, Ali; Kelbore, Abraham Getachew; Keramati, Maryam; Khalilov, Rovshan; Khan, Ejaz Ahmad; Khan, Md Nuruzzaman Nuruzzaman; Khatab, Khaled; Khater, Mona M; Kianipour, Neda; Kibret, Kelemu Tilahun; Kim, Yun Jin; Kosen, Soewarta; Krohn, Kris J; Kusuma, Dian; La Vecchia, Carlo; Lansingh, Van Charles; Lee, Paul H; LeGrand, Kate E; Li, Shanshan; Longbottom, Joshua; Magdy Abd El Razek, Hassan; Magdy Abd El Razek, Muhammed; Maleki, Afshin; Mamun, Abdullah A; Manafi, Ali; Manafi, Navid; Mansournia, Mohammad Ali; Martins-Melo, Francisco Rogerlândio; Mazidi, Mohsen; McAlinden, Colm; Meharie, Birhanu Geta; Mendoza, Walter; Mengesha, Endalkachew Worku; Mengistu, Desalegn Tadese; Mereta, Seid Tiku; Mestrovic, Tomislav; Miller, Ted R; Miri, Mohammad; Moghadaszadeh, Masoud; Mohammadian-Hafshejani, Abdollah; Mohammadpourhodki, Reza; Mohammed, Shafiu; Mohammed, Salahuddin; Moradi, Masoud; Moradzadeh, Rahmatollah; Moraga, Paula; Mosser, Jonathan F; Naderi, Mehdi; Nagarajan, Ahamarshan Jayaraman; Naik, Gurudatta; Negoi, Ionut; Nguyen, Cuong Tat; Nguyen, Huong Lan Thi; Nguyen, Trang Huyen; Nikbakhsh, Rajan; Oancea, Bogdan; Olagunju, Tinuke O; Olagunju, Andrew T; Omar Bali, Ahmed; Onwujekwe, Obinna E; Pana, Adrian; Pourjafar, Hadi; Rahim, Fakher; Rahman, Mohammad Hifz Ur; Rathi, Priya; Rawaf, Salman; Rawaf, David Laith; Rawassizadeh, Reza; Resnikoff, Serge; Reta, Melese Abate; Rezapour, Aziz; Rubagotti, Enrico; Rubino, Salvatore; Sadeghi, Ehsan; Saghafipour, Abedin; Sajadi, S Mohammad; Samy, Abdallah M; Sarmiento-Suárez, Rodrigo; Sawhney, Monika; Schipp, Megan F; Shaheen, Amira A; Shaikh, Masood Ali; Shamsizadeh, Morteza; Sharafi, Kiomars; Sheikh, Aziz; Shetty, B Suresh Kumar; Shin, Jae Il; Shivakumar, KM; Simonetti, Biagio; Singh, Jasvinder A; Skiadaresi, Eirini; Soheili, Amin; Soltani, Shahin; Spurlock, Emma Elizabeth; Sufiyan, Mu'awiyyah Babale; Tabuchi, Takahiro; Tapak, Leili; Thompson, Robert L; Thomson, Alan J; Traini, Eugenio; Tran, Bach Xuan; Ullah, Irfan; Ullah, Saif; Uneke, Chigozie Jesse; Unnikrishnan, Bhaskaran; Uthman, Olalekan A; Vinkeles Melchers, Natalie VS; Violante, Francesco S; Wolde, Haileab Fekadu; Wonde, Tewodros Eshete; Yamada, Tomohide; Yaya, Sanni; Yazdi-Feyzabadi, Vahid; Yip, Paul; Yonemoto, Naohiro; Yousof, Hebat-Allah Salah A; Yu, Chuanhua; Yu, Yong; Yusefzadeh, Hasan; Zaki, Leila; Zaman, Sojib Bin; Zamanian, Maryam; Zhang, Zhi-Jiang; Zhang, Yunquan; Ziapour, Arash; Hay, Simon I; Pigott, David M

How modelling can help steer the course set by the World Health Organization 2021-2030 roadmap on neglected tropical diseases. (2021) Clark, Jessica; Stolk, Wilma A; Basáñez, María-Gloria; Coffeng, Luc E; Cucunubá, Zulma M; Dixon, Matthew A; Dyson, Louise; Hampson, Katie; Marks, Michael; Medley, Graham F; Pollington, Timothy M; Prada, Joaquin M; Rock, Kat S; Salje, Henrik; Toor, Jaspreet; Hollingsworth, T Déirdre

Projecting contact matrices in 177 geographical regions: An update and comparison with empirical data for the COVID-19 era. (2021) Prem, Kiesha; Zandvoort, Kevin van; Klepac, Petra; Eggo, Rosalind M; Davies, Nicholas G; Centre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases COV; Cook, Alex R; Jit, Mark

Serological Evidence of Widespread Zika Transmission across the Philippines. (2021) Biggs, Joseph R; Sy, Ava Kristy; Brady, Oliver J; Kucharski, Adam J; Funk, Sebastian; Tu, Yun-Hung; Reyes, Mary Anne Joy; Quinones, Mary Ann; Jones-Warner, William; Ashall, James; Avelino, Ferchito L; Sucaldito, Nemia L; Tandoc, Amado O; Cutiongco-de la Paz, Eva; Capeding, Maria Rosario Z; Padilla, Carmencita D; Hibberd, Martin L; Hafalla, Julius Clemence R

Evaluating the impact of a continued maternal pertussis immunisation programme in England: A modelling study and cost-effectiveness analysis. (2021) Sandmann, Frank; Jit, Mark; Andrews, Nick; Buckley, Hannah L; Campbell, Helen; Ribeiro, Sonia; Sile, Bersabeh; Stowe, Julia; Tessier, Elise; Ramsay, Mary; Amirthalingam, Gayatri; Choi, Yoon H

Real-time monitoring of COVID-19 dynamics using automated trend fitting and anomaly detection. (2021) Jombart, Thibaut; Ghozzi, Stéphane; Schumacher, Dirk; Taylor, Timothy J; Leclerc, Quentin J; Jit, Mark; Flasche, Stefan; Greaves, Felix; Ward, Tom; Eggo, Rosalind M; Nightingale, Emily; Meakin, Sophie; Brady, Oliver J; Centre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases COVID-1; Medley, Graham F; Höhle, Michael; Edmunds, W John

Optimizing time-limited non-pharmaceutical interventions for COVID-19 outbreak control. (2021) Morgan, Alex LK; Woolhouse, Mark EJ; Medley, Graham F; van Bunnik, Bram AD

Quantifying long-term health and economic outcomes for survivors of group B Streptococcus invasive disease in infancy: protocol of a multi-country study in Argentina, India, Kenya, Mozambique and South Africa. (2021) Paul, Proma; Procter, Simon R; Dangor, Ziyaad; Bassat, Quique; Abubakar, Amina; Santhanam, Sridhar; Libster, Romina; Gonçalves, Bronner P; Madhi, Shabir A; Bardají, Azucena; Mwangome, Eva; Mabrouk, Adam; John, Hima B; Sánchez Yanotti, Clara; Chandna, Jaya; Sithole, Pamela; Mucasse, Humberto; Katana, Patrick V; Koukounari, Artemis; Harden, Lois M; Aerts, Celine; Ghoor, Azra; Leahy, Shannon; Mbatha, Sibongile; Lowick, Sarah; Lala, Sanjay G; Bramugy, Justina; Newton, Charles; Hossain, AKM Tanvir; Sadeq-Ur Rahman, Qazi; Lambach, Philipp; Jit, Mark; Lawn, Joy E

Modelling costs of community-based HIV self-testing programmes in Southern Africa at scale: an econometric cost function analysis across five countries. (2021) d'Elbée, Marc; Gomez, Gabriela B; Sande, Linda Alinafe; Mwenge, Lawrence; Mangenah, Collin; Johnson, Cheryl; Medley, Graham F; Neuman, Melissa; Hatzold, Karin; Corbett, Elizabeth Lucy; Meyer-Rath, Gesine; Terris-Prestholt, Fern

Disruptions to childhood immunisation due to the COVID-19 pandemic. (2021) Abbas, Kaja; Mogasale, Vittal

Optimising health and economic impacts of COVID-19 vaccine prioritisation strategies in the WHO European Region. (2021) Liu, Yang; Sandmann, Frank G; Barnard, Rosanna C; Pearson, Carl AB; CMMID COVID-19 Working Group; Pastore, Roberta; Pebody, Richard; Flasche, Stefan; Jit, Mark

Risks of covid-19 hospital admission and death for people with learning disability: population based cohort study using the OpenSAFELY platform. (2021) Williamson, Elizabeth J; McDonald, Helen I; Bhaskaran, Krishnan; Walker, Alex J; Bacon, Sebastian; Davy, Simon; Schultze, Anna; Tomlinson, Laurie; Bates, Chris; Ramsay, Mary; Curtis, Helen J; Forbes, Harriet; Wing, Kevin; Minassian, Caroline; Tazare, John; Morton, Caroline E; Nightingale, Emily; Mehrkar, Amir; Evans, Dave; Inglesby, Peter; MacKenna, Brian; Cockburn, Jonathan; Rentsch, Christopher T; Mathur, Rohini; Wong, Angel YS; Eggo, Rosalind M; Hulme, William; Croker, Richard; Parry, John; Hester, Frank; Harper, Sam; Douglas, Ian J; Evans, Stephen JW; Smeeth, Liam; Goldacre, Ben; Kuper, Hannah

Lives saved with vaccination for 10 pathogens across 112 countries in a pre-COVID-19 world. (2021) Toor, Jaspreet; Echeverria-Londono, Susy; Li, Xiang; Abbas, Kaja; Carter, Emily D; Clapham, Hannah E; Clark, Andrew; de Villiers, Margaret J; Eilertson, Kirsten; Ferrari, Matthew; Gamkrelidze, Ivane; Hallett, Timothy B; Hinsley, Wes R; Hogan, Daniel; Huber, John H; Jackson, Michael L; Jean, Kevin; Jit, Mark; Karachaliou, Andromachi; Klepac, Petra; Kraay, Alicia; Lessler, Justin; Li, Xi; Lopman, Benjamin A; Mengistu, Tewodaj; Metcalf, C Jessica E; Moore, Sean M; Nayagam, Shevanthi; Papadopoulos, Timos; Perkins, T Alex; Portnoy, Allison; Razavi, Homie; Razavi-Shearer, Devin; Resch, Stephen; Sanderson, Colin; Sweet, Steven; Tam, Yvonne; Tanvir, Hira; Tran Minh, Quan; Trotter, Caroline L; Truelove, Shaun A; Vynnycky, Emilia; Walker, Neff; Winter, Amy; Woodruff, Kim; Ferguson, Neil M; Gaythorpe, Katy Am

Detecting behavioural changes in human movement to inform the spatial scale of interventions against COVID-19. (2021) Gibbs, Hamish; Nightingale, Emily; Liu, Yang; Cheshire, James; Danon, Leon; Smeeth, Liam; Pearson, Carl AB; Grundy, Chris; LSHTM CMMID COVID-19 working group; Kucharski, Adam J; Eggo, Rosalind M

Projecting the risk of mosquito-borne diseases in a warmer and more populated world: a multi-model, multi-scenario intercomparison modelling study. (2021) Colón-González, Felipe J; Sewe, Maquins Odhiambo; Tompkins, Adrian M; Sjödin, Henrik; Casallas, Alejandro; Rocklöv, Joacim; Caminade, Cyril; Lowe, Rachel

Transmission modelling of environmentally persistent zoonotic diseases: a systematic review. (2021) Rees, Eleanor M; Minter, Amanda; Edmunds, W John; Lau, Colleen L; Kucharski, Adam J; Lowe, Rachel

covidregionaldata: Subnational data for COVID-19 epidemiology. (2021) Palmer, Joseph; Sherratt, Katharine; Martin-Nielsen, Richard; Bevan, Jonnie; Gibbs, Hamish; Group, Cmmid; Funk, Sebastian; Abbott, Sam

Factors associated with deaths due to COVID-19 versus other causes: population-based cohort analysis of UK primary care data and linked national death registrations within the OpenSAFELY platform. (2021) Bhaskaran, Krishnan; Bacon, Sebastian; Evans, Stephen Jw; Bates, Chris J; Rentsch, Christopher T; MacKenna, Brian; Tomlinson, Laurie; Walker, Alex J; Schultze, Anna; Morton, Caroline E; Grint, Daniel; Mehrkar, Amir; Eggo, Rosalind M; Inglesby, Peter; Douglas, Ian J; McDonald, Helen I; Cockburn, Jonathan; Williamson, Elizabeth J; Evans, David; Curtis, Helen J; Hulme, William J; Parry, John; Hester, Frank; Harper, Sam; Spiegelhalter, David; Smeeth, Liam; Goldacre, Ben

Global diarrhoea-associated mortality estimates and models in children: Recommendations for dataset and study selection. (2021) Butkeviciute, Egle; Prudden, Holly J; Jit, Mark; Smith, Peter G; Kang, Gagandeep; Riddle, Mark S; Lopman, Benjamin A; Pitzer, Virginia E; Lanata, Claudio F; Platts-Mills, James A; Breiman, Robert F; Giersing, Birgitte K; Hasso-Agopsowicz, Mateusz

Changes in in-hospital mortality in the first wave of COVID-19: a multicentre prospective observational cohort study using the WHO Clinical Characterisation Protocol UK. (2021) Docherty, Annemarie B; Mulholland, Rachel H; Lone, Nazir I; Cheyne, Christopher P; De Angelis, Daniela; Diaz-Ordaz, Karla; Donegan, Cara; Drake, Thomas M; Dunning, Jake; Funk, Sebastian; García-Fiñana, Marta; Girvan, Michelle; Hardwick, Hayley E; Harrison, Janet; Ho, Antonia; Hughes, David M; Keogh, Ruth H; Kirwan, Peter D; Leeming, Gary; Nguyen Van-Tam, Jonathan S; Pius, Riinu; Russell, Clark D; Spencer, Rebecca G; Tom, Brian Dm; Turtle, Lance; Openshaw, Peter Jm; Baillie, J Kenneth; Harrison, Ewen M; Semple, Malcolm G; ISARIC4C Investigators

Roles of heterogeneity in infectious disease epidemiology: implications on dynamics, inference and control of influenza and COVID-19. (2021) Endo, A

SARS-CoV-2 seroprevalence in a strictly-Orthodox Jewish community in the UK: A retrospective cohort study. (2021) Gaskell, Katherine M; Johnson, Marina; Gould, Victoria; Hunt, Adam; Stone, Neil Rh; Waites, William; Kasstan, Ben; Chantler, Tracey; Lal, Sham; Roberts, Chrissy H; Goldblatt, David; Eggo, Rosalind M; Marks, Michael

Using a household-structured branching process to analyse contact tracing in the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic. (2021) Fyles, Martyn; Fearon, Elizabeth; Overton, Christopher; University of Manchester COVID-19 Modelling Group; Wingfield, Tom; Medley, Graham F; Hall, Ian; Pellis, Lorenzo; House, Thomas

Exploring surveillance data biases when estimating the reproduction number: with insights into subpopulation transmission of COVID-19 in England. (2021) Sherratt, Katharine; Abbott, Sam; Meakin, Sophie R; Hellewell, Joel; Munday, James D; Bosse, Nikos; CMMID COVID-19 Working Group; Jit, Mark; Funk, Sebastian

Prevalence and Correlation Analysis of Soil-Transmitted Helminths Infections and Treatment Coverage for Preschool and School Aged Children in Kenya: Secondary Analysis of the National School Based Deworming Program Data. (2021) Okoyo, Collins; Campbell, Suzy J; Minnery, Mark; Owaga, Chrispin; Onyango, Nelson; Medley, Graham; Mwandawiro, Charles

June 2021

Clinical coding of long COVID in English primary care: a federated analysis of 58 million patient records in situ using OpenSAFELY. (2021) Walker, Alex J; MacKenna, Brian; Inglesby, Peter; Tomlinson, Laurie; Rentsch, Christopher T; Curtis, Helen J; Morton, Caroline E; Morley, Jessica; Mehrkar, Amir; Bacon, Seb; Hickman, George; Bates, Chris; Croker, Richard; Evans, David; Ward, Tom; Cockburn, Jonathan; Davy, Simon; Bhaskaran, Krishnan; Schultze, Anna; Williamson, Elizabeth J; Hulme, William J; McDonald, Helen I; Mathur, Rohini; Eggo, Rosalind M; Wing, Kevin; Wong, Angel Ys; Forbes, Harriet; Tazare, John; Parry, John; Hester, Frank; Harper, Sam; O'Hanlon, Shaun; Eavis, Alex; Jarvis, Richard; Avramov, Dima; Griffiths, Paul; Fowles, Aaron; Parkes, Nasreen; Douglas, Ian J; Evans, Stephen Jw; (The OpenSAFELY Collaborative)

Models of COVID-19 vaccine prioritisation: a systematic literature search and narrative review. (2021) Saadi, Nuru; Chi, Y-Ling; Ghosh, Srobana; Eggo, Rosalind M; McCarthy, Ciara; Quaife, Matthew; Dawa, Jeanette; Jit, Mark; Vassall, Anna

Estimating ventilation rates in rooms with varying occupancy levels: Relevance for reducing transmission risk of airborne pathogens. (2021) Deol, Arminder K; Scarponi, Danny; Beckwith, Peter; Yates, Tom A; Karat, Aaron S; Yan, Ada WC; Baisley, Kathy S; Grant, Alison D; White, Richard G; McCreesh, Nicky

Impact of COVID-19-related disruptions to measles, meningococcal A, and yellow fever vaccination in 10 countries. (2021) Gaythorpe, Katy Am; Abbas, Kaja; Huber, John; Karachaliou, Andromachi; Thakkar, Niket; Woodruff, Kim; Li, Xiang; Echeverria-Londono, Susy; VIMC Working Group on COVID-19 Impact on Vaccine Preventable Dis; Ferrari, Matthew; Jackson, Michael L; McCarthy, Kevin; Perkins, T Alex; Trotter, Caroline; Jit, Mark

<i>o2geosocial</i>: Reconstructing who-infected-whom from routinely collected surveillance data. (2021) Robert, Alexis; Funk, Sebastian; Kucharski, Adam J

o2geosocial: Reconstructing who-infected-whom from routinely collected surveillance data. (2021) Robert, Alexis; Funk, Sebastian; Kucharski, Adam J

SARS-CoV-2 antigen testing: weighing the false positives against the costs of failing to control transmission. (2021) Fearon, Elizabeth; Buchan, Iain E; Das, Rajenki; Davis, Emma L; Fyles, Martyn; Hall, Ian; Hollingsworth, T Deirdre; House, Thomas; Jay, Caroline; Medley, Graham F; Pellis, Lorenzo; Quilty, Billy J; Silva, Miguel EP; Stage, Helena B; Wingfield, Tom

Estimation of country-level incidence of early-onset invasive Group B Streptococcus disease in infants using Bayesian methods. (2021) Gonçalves, Bronner P; Procter, Simon R; Clifford, Sam; Koukounari, Artemis; Paul, Proma; Lewin, Alexandra; Jit, Mark; Lawn, Joy

What Can Modeling Tell Us About Sustainable End Points for Neglected Tropical Diseases? (2021) Minter, Amanda; Pellis, Lorenzo; Medley, Graham F; Hollingsworth, T Déirdre

Inequities in childhood immunisation coverage associated with socioeconomic, geographic, maternal, child, and place of birth characteristics in Kenya. (2021) Allan, Simon; Adetifa, Ifedayo MO; Abbas, Kaja

Serial intervals observed in SARS-CoV-2 B.1.617.2 variant cases. (2021) Pung, Rachael; Mak, Tze Minn; Kucharski, Adam J; Lee, Vernon J

Tuberculosis in the Western Pacific Region: Estimating the burden of disease and return on investment 2020–2030 in four countries. (2021) Estill, Janne; Islam, Tauhid; Houben, Rein MGJ; Rudman, Jamie; Ragonnet, Romain; McBryde, Emma S; Trauer, James M; Orel, Erol; Nguyen, Anh Tuan; Rahevar, Kalpeshsinh; Morishita, Fukushi; Oh, Kyung Hyun; Raviglione, Mario C; Keiser, Olivia

Policy actors and human and animal health practitioners' perceptions of antimicrobial use and resistance in Tanzania: A qualitative study. (2021) Frumence, Gasto; Mboera, Leonard EG; Katale, Bugwesa Z; Sindato, Calvin; Kimera, Sharadhuli; Durrance-Bagale, Anna; Mshana, Stephen E; Clark, Taane G; Rweyemamu, Mark M; Legido-Quigley, Helena; Matee, Mecky

Subnational mapping of HIV incidence and mortality among individuals aged 15-49 years in sub-Saharan Africa, 2000-18: a modelling study. (2021) Local Burden of Disease HIV Collaborators

Importance of patient bed pathways and length of stay differences in predicting COVID-19 hospital bed occupancy in England. (2021) Leclerc, Quentin J; Fuller, Naomi M; Keogh, Ruth H; Diaz-Ordaz, Karla; Sekula, Richard; Semple, Malcolm G; ISARIC4C Investigators; CMMID COVID-19 Working Group; Atkins, Katherine E; Procter, Simon R; Knight, Gwenan M

Competition between RSV and influenza: Limits of modelling inference from surveillance data. (2021) Waterlow, Naomi R; Flasche, Stefan; Minter, Amanda; Eggo, Rosalind M

May 2021

Engagement and adherence trade-offs for SARS-CoV-2 contact tracing. (2021) Lucas, Tim CD; Davis, Emma L; Ayabina, Diepreye; Borlase, Anna; Crellen, Thomas; Pi, Li; Medley, Graham F; Yardley, Lucy; Klepac, Petra; Gog, Julia; Déirdre Hollingsworth, T

Segmentation and shielding of the most vulnerable members of the population as elements of an exit strategy from COVID-19 lockdown. (2021) van Bunnik, Bram AD; Morgan, Alex LK; Bessell, Paul R; Calder-Gerver, Giles; Zhang, Feifei; Haynes, Samuel; Ashworth, Jordan; Zhao, Shengyuan; Cave, Roo Nicola Rose; Perry, Meghan R; Lepper, Hannah C; Lu, Lu; Kellam, Paul; Sheikh, Aziz; Medley, Graham F; Woolhouse, Mark EJ

Spatial connectivity in mosquito-borne disease models: a systematic review of methods and assumptions. (2021) Lee, Sophie A; Jarvis, Christopher I; Edmunds, W John; Economou, Theodoros; Lowe, Rachel

Costs and Scale-Up Costs of Integrating HIV Self-Testing Into Civil Society Organisation-Led Programmes for Key Populations in Côte d'Ivoire, Senegal, and Mali. (2021) d'Elbée, Marc; Traore, Métogara Mohamed; Badiane, Kéba; Vautier, Anthony; Simo Fotso, Arlette; Kabemba, Odé Kanku; Rouveau, Nicolas; Godfrey-Faussett, Peter; Maheu-Giroux, Mathieu; Boily, Marie-Claude; Medley, Graham Francis; Larmarange, Joseph; Terris-Prestholt, Fern

The potential for vaccination-induced herd immunity against the SARS-CoV-2 B.1.1.7 variant. (2021) Hodgson, David; Flasche, Stefan; Jit, Mark; Kucharski, Adam J; CMMID COVID-19 Working Group; Centre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Disease (CMMID)

Exceptional Prices of Medical and Other Supplies during the COVID-19 Pandemic in Ecuador. (2021) Ortiz-Prado, Esteban; Fernandez-Naranjo, Raul; Torres-Berru, Yeferson; Lowe, Rachel; Torres, Irene

Quarantine and testing strategies in contact tracing for SARS-CoV-2: a modelling study. (2021) Quilty, Billy J; Clifford, Samuel; Hellewell, Joel; Russell, Timothy W; Kucharski, Adam J; Flasche, Stefan; Edmunds, W John; Centre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases COV

Impact of increased ventilation on indoor temperature and malaria mosquito density: an experimental study in The Gambia. (2021) Jatta, Ebrima; Carrasco-Tenezaca, Majo; Jawara, Musa; Bradley, John; Ceesay, Sainey; D'Alessandro, Umberto; Jeffries, David; Kandeh, Balla; Lee, Daniel Sang-Hoon; Pinder, Margaret; Wilson, Anne L; Knudsen, Jakob; Lindsay, Steve W

Pre-vaccination testing could expand coverage of two-dose COVID vaccines. (2021) Pearson, Carl AB; Clifford, Sam; Pulliam, Juliet RC; Eggo, Rosalind M

COVID-19 vaccine challenges: What have we learned so far and what remains to be done? (2021) Forman, Rebecca; Shah, Soleil; Jeurissen, Patrick; Jit, Mark; Mossialos, Elias

The impact of childhood pneumococcal conjugate vaccine immunisation on all-cause pneumonia admissions in Hong Kong: A 14-year population-based interrupted time series analysis. (2021) Yu, Qiuyan; Li, Xue; Fan, Min; Qiu, Hong; Wong, Angel YS; Tian, Linwei; Chui, Celine SL; Li, Philip H; Lau, Lauren KW; Chan, Esther W; Goggins, William B; Ip, Patrick; Lum, Terry Y; Hung, Ivan FN; Cowling, Benjamin J; Wong, Ian CK; Jit, Mark

Towards Evidence-based Control of Opisthorchis viverrini. (2021) Crellen, Thomas; Sithithaworn, Paiboon; Pitaksakulrat, Opal; Khuntikeo, Narong; Medley, Graham F; Hollingsworth, T Déirdre

Digital adherence technology for TB: focus on livelihoods as well as lives. (2021) McQuaid, CF; Foster, N; Quaife, M; Levy, J; Tadesse, AW; Charalambous, S; Alacapa, JV; Deyanova, N; Mganga, A; Houben, RMGJ; Fielding, KL

The impact of population-wide rapid antigen testing on SARS-CoV-2 prevalence in Slovakia. (2021) Pavelka, Martin; Van-Zandvoort, Kevin; Abbott, Sam; Sherratt, Katharine; Majdan, Marek; CMMID COVID-19 working group; Inštitút Zdravotných Analýz; Jarčuška, Pavol; Krajčí, Marek; Flasche, Stefan; Funk, Sebastian

HIV Pre-Exposure Prophylaxis, Condoms, or Both? Insights on Risk Compensation Through a Discrete Choice Experiment and Latent Class Analysis Among Men Who Have Sex With Men. (2021) Tan, Rayner Kay Jin; Wang, Yi; Prem, Kiesha; Harrison-Quintana, Jack; Teo, Alvin Kuo Jing; Kaur, Nashwinder; Cook, Alex R; Chen, Mark I-Cheng; Wong, Chen Seong

Extreme weather conditions and dengue outbreak in Guangdong, China: Spatial heterogeneity based on climate variability. (2021) Cheng, Jian; Bambrick, Hilary; Yakob, Laith; Devine, Gregor; Frentiu, Francesca D; Williams, Gail; Li, Zhongjie; Yang, Weizhong; Hu, Wenbiao

Exploring equity in health and poverty impacts of control measures for SARS-CoV-2 in six countries. (2021) Sweeney, Sedona; Capeding, Theo Prudencio Juhani; Eggo, Rosalind; Huda, Maryam; Jit, Mark; Mudzengi, Don; Naylor, Nichola R; Procter, Simon; Quaife, Matthew; Serebryakova, Lela; Torres-Rueda, Sergio; Vargas, Veronica; CHiL COVID Working Group; Vassall, Anna

Interventions targeting non-symptomatic cases can be important to prevent local outbreaks: SARS-CoV-2 as a case study. (2021) Lovell-Read, Francesca A; Funk, Sebastian; Obolski, Uri; Donnelly, Christl A; Thompson, Robin N

The population attributable fraction of cases due to gatherings and groups with relevance to COVID-19 mitigation strategies. (2021) Brooks-Pollock, Ellen; Read, Jonathan M; House, Thomas; Medley, Graham F; Keeling, Matt J; Danon, Leon

Multiplex qPCR discriminates variants of concern to enhance global surveillance of SARS-CoV-2. (2021) Vogels, Chantal BF; Breban, Mallery I; Ott, Isabel M; Alpert, Tara; Petrone, Mary E; Watkins, Anne E; Kalinich, Chaney C; Earnest, Rebecca; Rothman, Jessica E; Goes de Jesus, Jaqueline; Morales Claro, Ingra; Magalhães Ferreira, Giulia; Crispim, Myuki AE; Brazil-UK CADDE Genomic Network; Singh, Lavanya; Tegally, Houriiyah; Anyaneji, Ugochukwu J; Network for Genomic Surveillance in South Africa; Hodcroft, Emma B; Mason, Christopher E; Khullar, Gaurav; Metti, Jessica; Dudley, Joel T; MacKay, Matthew J; Nash, Megan; Wang, Jianhui; Liu, Chen; Hui, Pei; Murphy, Steven; Neal, Caleb; Laszlo, Eva; Landry, Marie L; Muyombwe, Anthony; Downing, Randy; Razeq, Jafar; de Oliveira, Tulio; Faria, Nuno R; Sabino, Ester C; Neher, Richard A; Fauver, Joseph R; Grubaugh, Nathan D

April 2021

Ethnic differences in SARS-CoV-2 infection and COVID-19-related hospitalisation, intensive care unit admission, and death in 17 million adults in England: an observational cohort study using the OpenSAFELY platform. (2021) Mathur, Rohini; Rentsch, Christopher T; Morton, Caroline E; Hulme, William J; Schultze, Anna; MacKenna, Brian; Eggo, Rosalind M; Bhaskaran, Krishnan; Wong, Angel YS; Williamson, Elizabeth J; Forbes, Harriet; Wing, Kevin; McDonald, Helen I; Bates, Chris; Bacon, Seb; Walker, Alex J; Evans, David; Inglesby, Peter; Mehrkar, Amir; Curtis, Helen J; DeVito, Nicholas J; Croker, Richard; Drysdale, Henry; Cockburn, Jonathan; Parry, John; Hester, Frank; Harper, Sam; Douglas, Ian J; Tomlinson, Laurie; Evans, Stephen JW; Grieve, Richard; Harrison, David; Rowan, Kathy; Khunti, Kamlesh; Chaturvedi, Nishi; Smeeth, Liam; Goldacre, Ben

Adverse pregnancy outcomes are associated with Plasmodium vivax malaria in a prospective cohort of women from the Brazilian Amazon. (2021) Dombrowski, Jamille Gregório; Barateiro, André; Peixoto, Erika Paula Machado; Barros, André Boler Cláudio da Silva; Souza, Rodrigo Medeiros de; Clark, Taane Gregory; Campino, Susana; Wrenger, Carsten; Wunderlich, Gerhard; Palmisano, Giuseppe; Epiphanio, Sabrina; Gonçalves, Lígia Antunes; Marinho, Claudio Romero Farias

Estimating the effectiveness of routine asymptomatic PCR testing at different frequencies for the detection of SARS-CoV-2 infections. (2021) Hellewell, Joel; Russell, Timothy W; SAFER Investigators and Field Study Team; Crick COVID-19 Consortium; CMMID COVID-19 working group; Beale, Rupert; Kelly, Gavin; Houlihan, Catherine; Nastouli, Eleni; Kucharski, Adam J

Dynamics of sputum conversion during effective tuberculosis treatment: A systematic review and meta-analysis. (2021) Calderwood, Claire J; Wilson, James P; Fielding, Katherine L; Harris, Rebecca C; Karat, Aaron S; Mansukhani, Raoul; Falconer, Jane; Bergstrom, Malin; Johnson, Sarah M; McCreesh, Nicky; Monk, Edward JM; Odayar, Jasantha; Scott, Peter J; Stokes, Sarah A; Theodorou, Hannah; Moore, David AJ

Leveraging community mortality indicators to infer COVID-19 mortality and transmission dynamics in Damascus, Syria. (2021) Watson, Oliver J; Alhaffar, Mervat; Mehchy, Zaki; Whittaker, Charles; Akil, Zack; Brazeau, Nicholas F; Cuomo-Dannenburg, Gina; Hamlet, Arran; Thompson, Hayley A; Baguelin, Marc; FitzJohn, Richard G; Knock, Edward; Lees, John A; Whittles, Lilith K; Mellan, Thomas; Winskill, Peter; Imperial College COVID-19 Response Team; Howard, Natasha; Clapham, Hannah; Checchi, Francesco; Ferguson, Neil; Ghani, Azra; Beals, Emma; Walker, Patrick

Mortality, neurodevelopmental impairments, and economic outcomes after invasive group B streptococcal disease in early infancy in Denmark and the Netherlands: a national matched cohort study. (2021) Horváth-Puhó, Erzsébet; van Kassel, Merel N; Gonçalves, Bronner P; de Gier, Brechje; Procter, Simon R; Paul, Proma; van der Ende, Arie; Søgaard, Kirstine K; Hahné, Susan JM; Chandna, Jaya; Schrag, Stephanie J; van de Beek, Diederik; Jit, Mark; Sørensen, Henrik T; Bijlsma, Merijn W; Lawn, Joy E

Smallholder Cassava Planting Material Movement and Grower Behavior in Zambia: Implications for the Management of Cassava Virus Diseases. (2021) Szyniszewska, Anna Maria; Chikoti, Patrick Chiza; Tembo, Mathias; Mulenga, Rabson; Gilligan, Christopher Aidan; van den Bosch, Frank; McQuaid, Christopher Finn

Predicted Impact of COVID-19 on Neglected Tropical Disease Programs and the Opportunity for Innovation. (2021) Toor, Jaspreet; Adams, Emily R; Aliee, Maryam; Amoah, Benjamin; Anderson, Roy M; Ayabina, Diepreye; Bailey, Robin; Basáñez, Maria-Gloria; Blok, David J; Blumberg, Seth; Borlase, Anna; Rivera, Rocio Caja; Castaño, María Soledad; Chitnis, Nakul; Coffeng, Luc E; Crump, Ronald E; Das, Aatreyee; Davis, Christopher N; Davis, Emma L; Deiner, Michael S; Diggle, Peter J; Fronterre, Claudio; Giardina, Federica; Giorgi, Emanuele; Graham, Matthew; Hamley, Jonathan ID; Huang, Ching-I; Kura, Klodeta; Lietman, Thomas M; Lucas, Tim CD; Malizia, Veronica; Medley, Graham F; Meeyai, Aronrag; Michael, Edwin; Porco, Travis C; Prada, Joaquin M; Rock, Kat S; Le Rutte, Epke A; Smith, Morgan E; Spencer, Simon EF; Stolk, Wilma A; Touloupou, Panayiota; Vasconcelos, Andreia; Vegvari, Carolin; de Vlas, Sake J; Walker, Martin; Hollingsworth, T Déirdre

Validation of a host blood transcriptomic biomarker for pulmonary tuberculosis in people living with HIV: a prospective diagnostic and prognostic accuracy study. (2021) Mendelsohn, Simon C; Fiore-Gartland, Andrew; Penn-Nicholson, Adam; Mulenga, Humphrey; Mbandi, Stanley Kimbung; Borate, Bhavesh; Hadley, Katie; Hikuam, Chris; Musvosvi, Munyaradzi; Bilek, Nicole; Erasmus, Mzwandile; Jaxa, Lungisa; Raphela, Rodney; Nombida, Onke; Kaskar, Masooda; Sumner, Tom; White, Richard G; Innes, Craig; Brumskine, William; Hiemstra, Andriëtte; Malherbe, Stephanus T; Hassan-Moosa, Razia; Tameris, Michèle; Walzl, Gerhard; Naidoo, Kogieleum; Churchyard, Gavin; Scriba, Thomas J; Hatherill, Mark; CORTIS-HR Study Team

Statistical Regression Model of Water, Sanitation, and Hygiene; Treatment Coverage; and Environmental Influences on School-Level Soil-Transmitted Helminths and Schistosome Prevalence in Kenya: Secondary Analysis of the National Deworming Program Data. (2021) Okoyo, Collins; Campbell, Suzy J; Owaga, Chrispin; Onyango, Nelson; Medley, Graham; Mwandawiro, Charles

Climate services for health: From global observations to local interventions. (2021) Fletcher, Isabel K; Stewart-Ibarra, Anna M; García-Díez, Markel; Shumake-Guillemot, Joy; Lowe, Rachel

G6PD Polymorphisms and Hemolysis After Antimalarial Treatment With Low Single-Dose Primaquine: A Pooled Analysis of Six African Clinical Trials. (2021) Sepúlveda, Nuno; Grignard, Lynn; Curry, Jonathan; Mahey, Laleta; Bastiaens, Guido JH; Tiono, Alfred B; Okebe, Joseph; Coulibaly, Sam A; Gonçalves, Bronner P; Affara, Muna; Ouédraogo, Alphonse; Bougouma, Edith C; Sanou, Guillaume S; Nébié, Issa; Lanke, Kjerstin; Sirima, Sodiomon B; Dicko, Alassane; d'Alessandro, Umberto; Clark, Taane G; Campino, Susana; Chen, Ingrid; Eziefula, Alice C; Gosling, Roly; Bousema, Teun; Drakeley, Chris

Improved housing versus usual practice for additional protection against clinical malaria in The Gambia (RooPfs): a household-randomised controlled trial. (2021) Pinder, Margaret; Bradley, John; Jawara, Musa; Affara, Muna; Conteh, Lesong; Correa, Simon; Jeffries, David; Jones, Caroline; Kandeh, Balla; Knudsen, Jakob; Olatunji, Yekini; Sicuri, Elisa; D'Alessandro, Umberto; Lindsay, Steve W

Cultural and linguistic adaptation of the multi-dimensional OXCAP-MH for outcome measurement of mental health among people living with HIV/AIDS in Uganda: the Luganda version. (2021) Katumba, Kenneth R; Laurence, Yoko V; Tenywa, Patrick; Ssebunnya, Joshua; Laszewska, Agata; Simon, Judit; Vassall, Anna; Kinyanda, Eugene; Greco, Giulia

Effects of Hot Nights on Mortality in Southern Europe. (2021) Royé, Dominic; Sera, Francesco; Tobías, Aurelio; Lowe, Rachel; Gasparrini, Antonio; Pascal, Mathilde; de'Donato, Francesca; Nunes, Baltazar; Teixeira, Joao Paulo

Combined effects of hydrometeorological hazards and urbanisation on dengue risk in Brazil: a spatiotemporal modelling study. (2021) Lowe, Rachel; Lee, Sophie A; O'Reilly, Kathleen M; Brady, Oliver J; Bastos, Leonardo; Carrasco-Escobar, Gabriel; de Castro Catão, Rafael; Colón-González, Felipe J; Barcellos, Christovam; Carvalho, Marilia Sá; Blangiardo, Marta; Rue, Håvard; Gasparrini, Antonio

Testing for SARS-CoV-2 at the core of voluntary collective isolation: Lessons from the indigenous populations living in the Amazon region in Ecuador. (2021) Ortiz-Prado, Esteban; Rivera-Olivero, Ismar A; Freire-Paspuel, Byron; Lowe, Rachel; Lozada, Tannya; Henriquez-Trujillo, Aquiles R; Garcia-Bereguiain, Miguel Angel; UDLA COVID-19 Team

Tranexamic acid to reduce head injury death in people with traumatic brain injury: the CRASH-3 international RCT. (2021) Roberts, Ian; Shakur-Still, Haleema; Aeron-Thomas, Amy; Beaumont, Danielle; Belli, Antonio; Brenner, Amy; Cargill, Madeleine; Chaudhri, Rizwana; Douglas, Nicolas; Frimley, Lauren; Gilliam, Catherine; Geer, Amber; Jamal, Zahra; Jooma, Rashid; Mansukhani, Raoul; Miners, Alec; Pott, Jason; Prowse, Danielle; Shokunbi, Temitayo; Williams, Jack

A regional suitable conditions index to forecast the impact of climate change on dengue vectorial capacity. (2021) Davis, Callan; Murphy, Amanda K; Bambrick, Hilary; Devine, Gregor J; Frentiu, Francesca D; Yakob, Laith; Huang, Xiaodong; Li, Zhongjie; Yang, Weizhong; Williams, Gail; Hu, Wenbiao

Healthcare governance during humanitarian responses: a survey of current practice among international humanitarian actors. (2021) Jarrett, Prudence; Fozdar, Yasin; Abdelmagid, Nada; Checchi, Francesco

Comparison of Public Responses to Containment Measures During the Initial Outbreak and Resurgence of COVID-19 in China: Infodemiology Study. (2021) Zhou, Xinyu; Song, Yi; Jiang, Hao; Wang, Qian; Qu, Zhiqiang; Zhou, Xiaoyu; Jit, Mark; Hou, Zhiyuan; Lin, Leesa

March 2021

Drug resistance profile and clonality of Plasmodium falciparum parasites in Cape Verde: the 2017 malaria outbreak. (2021) Da Veiga Leal, Silvania; Ward, Daniel; Campino, Susana; Benavente, Ernest Diez; Ibrahim, Amy; Claret, Tânia; Isaías, Varela; Monteiro, Davidson; Clark, Taane G; Gonçalves, Luzia; Valdez, Tomas; da Luz Lima Mendonça, Maria; Silveira, Henrique; Nogueira, Fatima

Analysis of temporal trends in potential COVID-19 cases reported through NHS Pathways England. (2021) Leclerc, Quentin J; Nightingale, Emily S; Abbott, Sam; CMMID COVID-19 Working Group; Jombart, Thibaut

The effectiveness of social bubbles as part of a Covid-19 lockdown exit strategy, a modelling study. (2021) Leng, Trystan; White, Connor; Hilton, Joe; Kucharski, Adam; Pellis, Lorenzo; Stage, Helena; Davies, Nicholas G; Centre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Disease 2019 nCo; Keeling, Matt J; Flasche, Stefan

The effectiveness of social bubbles as part of a Covid-19 lockdown exit strategy, a modelling study. (2021) Leng, Trystan; White, Connor; Hilton, Joe; Kucharski, Adam; Pellis, Lorenzo; Stage, Helena; Davies, Nicholas G; Keeling, Matt J; Flasche, Stefan

The consequences of declining population access to insecticide-treated nets (ITNs) on net use patterns and physical degradation of nets after 22 months of ownership. (2021) Mboma, Zawadi M; Festo, Charles; Lorenz, Lena M; Massue, Dennis J; Kisinza, William N; Bradley, John; Moore, Jason D; Mandike, Renata; Akim, Ikupa; Lines, Jo; Overgaard, Hans J; Moore, Sarah J

The impact of COVID-19 on TB: a review of the data. (2021) McQuaid, CF; Vassall, A; Cohen, T; Fiekert, K; White, RG

Implications of the school-household network structure on SARS-CoV-2 transmission under school reopening strategies in England. (2021) Munday, James D; Sherratt, Katharine; Meakin, Sophie; Endo, Akira; Pearson, Carl AB; Hellewell, Joel; Abbott, Sam; Bosse, Nikos I; CMMID COVID-19 Working Group; Atkins, Katherine E; Wallinga, Jacco; Edmunds, W John; van Hoek, Albert Jan; Funk, Sebastian

Does Ghana's National Health Insurance Scheme provide financial protection to tuberculosis patients and their households? (2021) Pedrazzoli, Debora; Carter, Daniel J; Borghi, Josephine; Laokri, Samia; Boccia, Delia; Houben, Rein Mgj

Gametocyte carriage after seasonal malaria chemoprevention in Plasmodium falciparum infected asymptomatic children. (2021) Ahmad, Abdullahi; Prom, Aurelia; Bradley, John; Ndiath, Mamadou; Etoketim, Blessed; Bah, Mamadou; Van Geertruyden, Jean-Pierre; Drakeley, Chris; Bousema, Teun; Achan, Jane; D'Alessandro, Umberto

Age groups that sustain resurging COVID-19 epidemics in the United States. (2021) Monod, Mélodie; Blenkinsop, Alexandra; Xi, Xiaoyue; Hebert, Daniel; Bershan, Sivan; Tietze, Simon; Baguelin, Marc; Bradley, Valerie C; Chen, Yu; Coupland, Helen; Filippi, Sarah; Ish-Horowicz, Jonathan; McManus, Martin; Mellan, Thomas; Gandy, Axel; Hutchinson, Michael; Unwin, H Juliette T; van Elsland, Sabine L; Vollmer, Michaela AC; Weber, Sebastian; Zhu, Harrison; Bezancon, Anne; Ferguson, Neil M; Mishra, Swapnil; Flaxman, Seth; Bhatt, Samir; Ratmann, Oliver; Imperial College COVID-19 Response Team

Costs and cost-effectiveness of cervical cancer screening strategies in women living with HIV in Burkina Faso: The HPV in Africa Research Partnership (HARP) study. (2021) Devine, Angela; Vahanian, Alice; Sawadogo, Bernard; Zan, Souleymane; Bocoum, Fadima Yaya; Kelly, Helen; Gilham, Clare; Nagot, Nicolas; Ong, Jason J; Legood, Rosa; Meda, Nicolas; Miners, Alec; Mayaud, Philippe; HARP Consortium

Excess mortality during the COVID-19 pandemic: a geospatial and statistical analysis in Aden governorate, Yemen. (2021) Koum Besson, Emilie S; Norris, Andy; Bin Ghouth, Abdulla S; Freemantle, Terri; Alhaffar, Mervat; Vazquez, Yolanda; Reeve, Chris; Curran, Patrick J; Checchi, Francesco

Methylation analysis of Klebsiella pneumoniae from Portuguese hospitals. (2021) Spadar, Anton; Perdigão, João; Phelan, Jody; Charleston, James; Modesto, Ana; Elias, Rita; de Sessions, Paola Florez; Hibberd, Martin L; Campino, Susana; Duarte, Aida; Clark, Taane G

Community transmission of multidrug-resistant tuberculosis is associated with activity space overlap in Lima, Peru. (2021) Bui, David P; Chandran, Shruthi S; Oren, Eyal; Brown, Heidi E; Harris, Robin B; Knight, Gwenan M; Grandjean, Louis

High initial IgG antibody levels against Orientia tsutsugamushi are associated with an increased risk of severe scrub typhus infection. (2021) Devamani, Carol S; Prakash, John AJ; Alexander, Neal; Stone, William; Gunasekaran, Karthik; Rose, Winsley; Schmidt, Wolf-Peter

Association between living with children and outcomes from covid-19: OpenSAFELY cohort study of 12 million adults in England. (2021) Forbes, Harriet; Morton, Caroline E; Bacon, Seb; McDonald, Helen I; Minassian, Caroline; Brown, Jeremy P; Rentsch, Christopher T; Mathur, Rohini; Schultze, Anna; DeVito, Nicholas J; MacKenna, Brian; Hulme, William J; Croker, Richard; Walker, Alex J; Williamson, Elizabeth J; Bates, Chris; Mehrkar, Amir; Curtis, Helen J; Evans, David; Wing, Kevin; Inglesby, Peter; Drysdale, Henry; Wong, Angel YS; Cockburn, Jonathan; McManus, Robert; Parry, John; Hester, Frank; Harper, Sam; Douglas, Ian J; Smeeth, Liam; Evans, Stephen JW; Bhaskaran, Krishnan; Eggo, Rosalind M; Goldacre, Ben; Tomlinson, Laurie A

Case fatality risk of the SARS-CoV-2 variant of concern B.1.1.7 in England, 16 November to 5 February. (2021) Grint, Daniel J; Wing, Kevin; Williamson, Elizabeth; McDonald, Helen I; Bhaskaran, Krishnan; Evans, David; Evans, Stephen Jw; Walker, Alex J; Hickman, George; Nightingale, Emily; Schultze, Anna; Rentsch, Christopher T; Bates, Chris; Cockburn, Jonathan; Curtis, Helen J; Morton, Caroline E; Bacon, Sebastian; Davy, Simon; Wong, Angel Ys; Mehrkar, Amir; Tomlinson, Laurie; Douglas, Ian J; Mathur, Rohini; Blomquist, Paula; MacKenna, Brian; Ingelsby, Peter; Croker, Richard; Parry, John; Hester, Frank; Harper, Sam; DeVito, Nicholas J; Hulme, Will; Tazare, John; Goldacre, Ben; Smeeth, Liam; Eggo, Rosalind M

The potential health and economic value of SARS-CoV-2 vaccination alongside physical distancing in the UK: a transmission model-based future scenario analysis and economic evaluation. (2021) Sandmann, Frank G; Davies, Nicholas G; Vassall, Anna; Edmunds, W John; Jit, Mark; Centre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases COV

Increased mortality in community-tested cases of SARS-CoV-2 lineage B.1.1.7. (2021) Davies, Nicholas G; Jarvis, Christopher I; CMMID COVID-19 Working Group; Edmunds, W John; Jewell, Nicholas P; Diaz-Ordaz, Karla; Keogh, Ruth H

Interactions between timing and transmissibility explain diverse flavivirus dynamics in Fiji. (2021) Henderson, Alasdair D; Kama, Mike; Aubry, Maite; Hue, Stephane; Teissier, Anita; Naivalu, Taina; Bechu, Vinaisi D; Kailawadoko, Jimaima; Rabukawaqa, Isireli; Sahukhan, Aalisha; Hibberd, Martin L; Nilles, Eric J; Funk, Sebastian; Whitworth, Jimmy; Watson, Conall H; Lau, Colleen L; Edmunds, W John; Cao-Lormeau, Van-Mai; Kucharski, Adam J

Clusters of Drug-Resistant Mycobacterium tuberculosis Detected by Whole-Genome Sequence Analysis of Nationwide Sample, Thailand, 2014-2017. (2021) Nonghanphithak, Ditthawat; Chaiprasert, Angkana; Smithtikarn, Saijai; Kamolwat, Phalin; Pungrassami, Petchawan; Chongsuvivatwong, Virasakdi; Mahasirimongkol, Surakameth; Reechaipichitkul, Wipa; Leepiyasakulchai, Chaniya; Phelan, Jody E; Blair, David; Clark, Taane G; Faksri, Kiatichai

UK prevalence of underlying conditions which increase the risk of severe COVID-19 disease: a point prevalence study using electronic health records. (2021) Walker, Jemma L; Grint, Daniel J; Strongman, Helen; Eggo, Rosalind M; Peppa, Maria; Minassian, Caroline; Mansfield, Kathryn E; Rentsch, Christopher T; Douglas, Ian J; Mathur, Rohini; Wong, Angel YS; Quint, Jennifer K; Andrews, Nick; Bernal, Jamie Lopez; Scott, J Anthony; Ramsay, Mary; Smeeth, Liam; McDonald, Helen I

Affordability of Adult Tuberculosis Vaccination in India and China: A Dynamic Transmission Model-Based Analysis. (2021) Weerasuriya, Chathika Krishan; Harris, Rebecca Claire; Quaife, Matthew; McQuaid, Christopher Finn; White, Richard G; Gomez, Gabriela B

The Governance and Implementation of the National Action Plan on Antimicrobial Resistance in Tanzania: A Qualitative Study. (2021) Frumence, Gasto; Mboera, Leonard EG; Sindato, Calvin; Katale, Bugwesa Z; Kimera, Sharadhuli; Metta, Emmy; Durrance-Bagale, Anna; Jung, Anne-Sophie; Mshana, Stephen E; Clark, Taane G; Rweyemamu, Mark; Legido-Quigley, Helena; Matee, Mecky IN

Protocol for a four parallel-arm, single-blind, cluster-randomised trial to assess the effectiveness of three types of dual active ingredient treated nets compared to pyrethroid-only long-lasting insecticidal nets to prevent malaria transmitted by pyrethroid insecticide-resistant vector mosquitoes in Tanzania. (2021) Mosha, Jacklin F; Kulkarni, Manisha A; Messenger, Louisa A; Rowland, Mark; Matowo, Nancy; Pitt, Catherine; Lukole, Eliud; Taljaard, Monica; Thickstun, Charles; Manjurano, Alphaxard; Mosha, Franklin W; Kleinschmidt, Immo; Protopopoff, Natacha

Estimating the impact of reopening schools on the reproduction number of SARS-CoV-2 in England, using weekly contact survey data. (2021) Munday, James D; I Jarvis, Christopher; Gimma, Amy; Wong, Kerry LM; Zandvoort, Kevin van; Funk, Sebastian; Edmunds, W John

Estimating force of infection from serologic surveys with imperfect tests. (2021) Alexander, Neal; Carabali, Mabel; Lim, Jacqueline K

Differences in clinical severity of respiratory viral infections in hospitalized children. (2021) Althouse, Benjamin M; Flasche, Stefan; Toizumi, Michiko; Nguyen, Hien-Anh Thi; Vo, Hien Minh; Le, Minh Nhat; Hashizume, Masahiro; Ariyoshi, Koya; Anh, Dang Duc; Rodgers, Gail L; Klugman, Keith P; Hu, Hao; Yoshida, Lay-Myint

Probabilistic seasonal dengue forecasting in Vietnam: A modelling study using superensembles. (2021) Colón-González, Felipe J; Soares Bastos, Leonardo; Hofmann, Barbara; Hopkin, Alison; Harpham, Quillon; Crocker, Tom; Amato, Rosanna; Ferrario, Iacopo; Moschini, Francesca; James, Samuel; Malde, Sajni; Ainscoe, Eleanor; Sinh Nam, Vu; Quang Tan, Dang; Duc Khoa, Nguyen; Harrison, Mark; Tsarouchi, Gina; Lumbroso, Darren; Brady, Oliver J; Lowe, Rachel

Cost-effectiveness of district-wide seasonal malaria chemoprevention when implemented through routine malaria control programme in Kita, Mali using fixed point distribution. (2021) Diawara, Halimatou; Walker, Patrick; Cairns, Matt; Steinhardt, Laura C; Diawara, Fatou; Kamate, Beh; Duval, Laeticia; Sicuri, Elisa; Sagara, Issaka; Sadou, Aboubacar; Mihigo, Jules; Eckert, Erin; Dicko, Alassane; Conteh, Lesong

Analysis of the potential drivers of seasonality in COVID-19 transmission dynamics in 409 locations across 26 countries&#160;. (2021) Lowe, Rachel; Armstrong, Ben; Abbott, Sam; Meakin, Sophie; O'Reilly, Kathleen; Von Borries, Rosa; Schneider, Rochelle; Roye, Dominic; Hashizume, Masahiro; Pascal, Mathilde; Tobias, Aurelio; Vicedo-Cabrera, Ana Maria; Gasparrini, Antonio; Sera, Francesco

Estimated transmissibility and impact of SARS-CoV-2 lineage B.1.1.7 in England. (2021) Davies, Nicholas G; Abbott, Sam; Barnard, Rosanna C; Jarvis, Christopher I; Kucharski, Adam J; Munday, James D; Pearson, Carl AB; Russell, Timothy W; Tully, Damien C; Washburne, Alex D; Wenseleers, Tom; Gimma, Amy; Waites, William; Wong, Kerry LM; van Zandvoort, Kevin; Silverman, Justin D; CMMID COVID-19 Working Group; COVID-19 Genomics UK (COG-UK) Consortium; Diaz-Ordaz, Karla; Keogh, Ruth; Eggo, Rosalind M; Funk, Sebastian; Jit, Mark; Atkins, Katherine E; Edmunds, W John

Effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of eliminating cervical cancer through a tailored optimal pathway: a modeling study. (2021) Xia, Changfa; Xu, Xiaoqian; Zhao, Xuelian; Hu, Shangying; Qiao, Youlin; Zhang, Yong; Hutubessy, Raymond; Basu, Partha; Broutet, Nathalie; Jit, Mark; Zhao, Fanghui

Modeling the Interruption of the Transmission of Soil-Transmitted Helminths Infections in Kenya: Modeling Deworming, Water, and Sanitation Impacts. (2021) Okoyo, Collins; Medley, Graham; Mwandawiro, Charles; Onyango, Nelson

From cervical cancer elimination to eradication of vaccine-type human papillomavirus: Feasibility, public health strategies and cost-effectiveness. (2021) Jit, Mark; Prem, Kiesha; Benard, Elodie; Brisson, Marc

February 2021

Effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of reactive, targeted indoor residual spraying for malaria control in low-transmission settings: a cluster-randomised, non-inferiority trial in South Africa. (2021) Bath, David; Cook, Jackie; Govere, John; Mathebula, Phillemon; Morris, Natashia; Hlongwana, Khumbulani; Raman, Jaishree; Seocharan, Ishen; Zitha, Alpheus; Zitha, Matimba; Mabuza, Aaron; Mbokazi, Frans; Machaba, Elliot; Mabunda, Erik; Jamesboy, Eunice; Biggs, Joseph; Drakeley, Chris; Moonasar, Devanand; Maharaj, Rajendra; Coetzee, Maureen; Pitt, Catherine; Kleinschmidt, Immo

The epidemiologic impact and cost-effectiveness of new tuberculosis vaccines on multidrug-resistant tuberculosis in India and China. (2021) Weerasuriya, Chathika K; Harris, Rebecca C; McQuaid, C Finn; Bozzani, Fiammetta; Ruan, Yunzhou; Li, Renzhong; Li, Tao; Rade, Kirankumar; Rao, Raghuram; Ginsberg, Ann M; Gomez, Gabriela B; White, Richard G

The impact of local and national restrictions in response to COVID-19 on social contacts in England: a longitudinal natural experiment. (2021) Jarvis, Christopher I; Gimma, Amy; van Zandvoort, Kevin; Wong, Kerry LM; CMMID COVID-19 working group; Edmunds, W John

Global and national estimates of the number of healthcare workers at high risk of SARS-CoV-2 infection. (2021) McCarthy, CV; Sandmann, FG; CMMID COVID-19 Working Group; Jit, M

Indirect acute effects of the COVID-19 pandemic on physical and mental health in the UK: a population-based study. (2021) Mansfield, Kathryn E; Mathur, Rohini; Tazare, John; Henderson, Alasdair D; Mulick, Amy R; Carreira, Helena; Matthews, Anthony A; Bidulka, Patrick; Gayle, Alicia; Forbes, Harriet; Cook, Sarah; Wong, Angel YS; Strongman, Helen; Wing, Kevin; Warren-Gash, Charlotte; Cadogan, Sharon L; Smeeth, Liam; Hayes, Joseph F; Quint, Jennifer K; McKee, Martin; Langan, Sinéad M

Trust and transparency in times of crisis: Results from an online survey during the first wave (April 2020) of the COVID-19 epidemic in the UK. (2021) Enria, Luisa; Waterlow, Naomi; Rogers, Nina Trivedy; Brindle, Hannah; Lal, Sham; Eggo, Rosalind M; Lees, Shelley; Roberts, Chrissy H

Antimicrobial resistance and COVID-19: Intersections and implications. (2021) Knight, Gwenan M; Glover, Rebecca E; McQuaid, C Finn; Olaru, Ioana D; Gallandat, Karin; Leclerc, Quentin J; Fuller, Naomi M; Willcocks, Sam J; Hasan, Rumina; van Kleef, Esther; Chandler, Clare Ir

Challenges in ensuring global access to COVID-19 vaccines: production, affordability, allocation, and deployment. (2021) Wouters, Olivier J; Shadlen, Kenneth C; Salcher-Konrad, Maximilian; Pollard, Andrew J; Larson, Heidi J; Teerawattananon, Yot; Jit, Mark

Adaptation and performance of a mobile application for early detection of cutaneous leishmaniasis. (2021) Rubiano, Luisa; Alexander, Neal DE; Castillo, Ruth Mabel; Martínez, Álvaro José; García Luna, Jonny Alejandro; Arango, Juan David; Vargas, Leonardo; Madriñán, Patricia; Hurtado, Lina-Rocío; Orobio, Yenifer; Rojas, Carlos A; Del Corral, Helena; Navarro, Andrés; Gore Saravia, Nancy; Aronoff-Spencer, Eliah

Surgical decision making in premenopausal BRCA carriers considering risk-reducing early salpingectomy or salpingo-oophorectomy: a qualitative study. (2021) Gaba, Faiza; Goyal, Shivam; Marks, Dalya; Chandrasekaran, Dhivya; Evans, Olivia; Robbani, Sadiyah; Tyson, Charlotte; Legood, Rosa; Saridogan, Ertan; McCluggage, W Glenn; Hanson, Helen; Singh, Naveena; Evans, D Gareth; Menon, Usha; Manchanda, Ranjit; PROTECTOR team

Epidemiology of dengue fever in Gabon: Results from a health facility-based fever surveillance in Lambaréné and its surroundings. (2021) Lim, Jacqueline Kyungah; Fernandes, José Francisco; Yoon, In-Kyu; Lee, Jung-Seok; Mba, Regis Obiang; Lee, Kang Sung; Namkung, Suk; Yang, Jae Seung; Bae, So Hee; Lim, Sl-Ki; Lell, Bertrand; Esen, Meral; Loembe, Marguerite Massinga; Kremsner, Peter G; Alexander, Neal; Agnandji, Selidji Todagbe

Infection patterns of endemic human coronaviruses in rural households in coastal Kenya. (2021) Nyaguthii, Dickson Machira; Otieno, Grieven P; Kombe, Ivy K; Koech, Dorothy; Mutunga, Martin; Medley, Graham F; Nokes, D James; Munywoki, Patrick K

The impact of non-pharmaceutical interventions on SARS-CoV-2 transmission across 130 countries and territories. (2021) Liu, Yang; Morgenstern, Christian; Kelly, James; Lowe, Rachel; CMMID COVID-19 Working Group; Jit, Mark

Human, animal, water source interactions and leptospirosis in Thailand. (2021) Narkkul, Udomsak; Thaipadungpanit, Janjira; Srisawat, Nattachai; Rudge, James W; Thongdee, Metawee; Pawarana, Rungrawee; Pan-Ngum, Wirichada

SCHISTOX: An individual based model for the epidemiology and control of schistosomiasis. (2021) Graham, Matthew; Ayabina, Diepreye; Lucas, Tim Cd; Collyer, Benjamin S; Medley, Graham F; Hollingsworth, T Deirdre; Toor, Jaspreet

The effectiveness of biosecurity interventions in reducing the transmission of bacteria from livestock to humans at the farm level: A systematic literature review. (2021) Youssef, Dina Mohamed; Wieland, Barbara; Knight, Gwenan M; Lines, Jo; Naylor, Nichola R

Costs and outcomes of active and passive case detection for visceral leishmaniasis (Kala-Azar) to inform elimination strategies in Bihar, India. (2021) Dial, Natalie J; Medley, Graham F; Croft, Simon L; Mahapatra, Tanmay; Priyamvada, Khushbu; Sinha, Bikas; Palmer, Lucy; Terris-Prestholt, Fern

Extremely high SARS-CoV-2 seroprevalence in a strictly-Orthodox Jewish community in the UK. (2021) Gaskell, Katherine M; Johnson, Marina; Gould, Victoria; Hunt, Adam; Stone, Neil RH; Waites, William; Kasstan, Ben; Chantler, Tracey; Lal, Sham; Roberts, Chrissy H; Goldblatt, David; Eggo, Rosalind M; Marks, Michael

The importance of supplementary immunisation activities to prevent measles outbreaks during the COVID-19 pandemic in Kenya. (2021) Mburu, CN; Ojal, J; Chebet, R; Akech, D; Karia, B; Tuju, J; Sigilai, A; Abbas, K; Jit, M; Funk, S; Smits, G; van Gageldonk, PGM; van der Klis, FRM; Tabu, C; Nokes, DJ; LSHTM CMMID COVID-19 Working Group; Scott, Jag; Flasche, S; Adetifa, Imo

The importance of supplementary immunisation activities to prevent measles outbreaks during the COVID-19 pandemic in Kenya. (2021) Mburu, CN; Ojal, J; Chebet, R; Akech, D; Karia, B; Tuju, J; Sigilai, A; Abbas, K; Jit, M; Funk, S; Smits, G; van Gageldonk, PGM; van der Klis, FRM; Tabu, C; Nokes, DJ; Scott, JAG; Flasche, S; Adetifa, IMO

A snapshot of translation in Mycobacterium tuberculosis during exponential growth and nutrient starvation revealed by ribosome profiling. (2021) Sawyer, Elizabeth B; Phelan, Jody E; Clark, Taane G; Cortes, Teresa

Seasonal malaria chemoprevention in the Sahel subregion of Africa: a cost-effectiveness and cost-savings analysis. (2021) Gilmartin, Colin; Nonvignon, Justice; Cairns, Matthew; Milligan, Paul; Bocoum, Fadima; Winskill, Peter; Moroso, Diego; Collins, David

Estimating the contribution of key populations towards HIV transmission in South Africa. (2021) Stone, Jack; Mukandavire, Christinah; Boily, Marie-Claude; Fraser, Hannah; Mishra, Sharmistha; Schwartz, Sheree; Rao, Amrita; Looker, Katharine J; Quaife, Matthew; Terris-Prestholt, Fern; Marr, Alexander; Lane, Tim; Coetzee, Jenny; Gray, Glenda; Otwombe, Kennedy; Milovanovic, Minja; Hausler, Harry; Young, Katherine; Mcingana, Mfezi; Ncedani, Manezi; Puren, Adrian; Hunt, Gillian; Kose, Zamakayise; Phaswana-Mafuya, Nancy; Baral, Stefan; Vickerman, Peter

Who should be prioritized for COVID-19 vaccination in China? A descriptive study. (2021) Yang, Juan; Zheng, Wen; Shi, Huilin; Yan, Xuemei; Dong, Kaige; You, Qian; Zhong, Guangjie; Gong, Hui; Chen, Zhiyuan; Jit, Mark; Viboud, Cecile; Ajelli, Marco; Yu, Hongjie

January 2021

Estimating the health impact of vaccination against ten pathogens in 98 low-income and middle-income countries from 2000 to 2030: a modelling study. (2021) Li, Xiang; Mukandavire, Christinah; Cucunubá, Zulma M; Echeverria Londono, Susy; Abbas, Kaja; Clapham, Hannah E; Jit, Mark; Johnson, Hope L; Papadopoulos, Timos; Vynnycky, Emilia; Brisson, Marc; Carter, Emily D; Clark, Andrew; de Villiers, Margaret J; Eilertson, Kirsten; Ferrari, Matthew J; Gamkrelidze, Ivane; Gaythorpe, Katy AM; Grassly, Nicholas C; Hallett, Timothy B; Hinsley, Wes; Jackson, Michael L; Jean, Kévin; Karachaliou, Andromachi; Klepac, Petra; Lessler, Justin; Li, Xi; Moore, Sean M; Nayagam, Shevanthi; Nguyen, Duy Manh; Razavi, Homie; Razavi-Shearer, Devin; Resch, Stephen; Sanderson, Colin; Sweet, Steven; Sy, Stephen; Tam, Yvonne; Tanvir, Hira; Tran, Quan Minh; Trotter, Caroline L; Truelove, Shaun; van Zandvoort, Kevin; Verguet, Stéphane; Walker, Neff; Winter, Amy; Woodruff, Kim; Ferguson, Neil M; Garske, Tini; Vaccine Impact Modelling Consortium

Transmission dynamics and control measures of COVID-19 outbreak in China: a modelling study. (2021) Zhang, Xu-Sheng; Vynnycky, Emilia; Charlett, Andre; De Angelis, Daniela; Chen, Zhengji; Liu, Wei

Potential effect modification of RTS,S/AS01 malaria vaccine efficacy by household socio-economic status. (2021) Gyaase, Stephaney; Asante, Kwaku Poku; Adeniji, Elisha; Boahen, Owusu; Cairns, Matthew; Owusu-Agyei, Seth

Repurposing the orphan drug nitisinone to control the transmission of African trypanosomiasis. (2021) Sterkel, Marcos; Haines, Lee R; Casas-Sánchez, Aitor; Owino Adung'a, Vincent; Vionette-Amaral, Raquel J; Quek, Shannon; Rose, Clair; Silva Dos Santos, Mariana; García Escude, Natalia; Ismail, Hanafy M; Paine, Mark I; Barribeau, Seth M; Wagstaff, Simon; MacRae, James I; Masiga, Daniel; Yakob, Laith; Oliveira, Pedro L; Acosta-Serrano, Álvaro

Studying accelerated cardiovascular ageing in Russian adults through a novel deep-learning ECG biomarker. (2021) Diez Benavente, Ernest; Jimenez-Lopez, Francisco; Attia, Zachi I; Malyutina, Sofia; Kudryavtsev, Alexander; Ryabikov, Andrew; Friedman, Paul A; Kapa, Suraj; Voevoda, Michael; Perel, Pablo; Schirmer, Henrik; Hughes, Alun D; Clark, Taane G; Leon, David A

Malaria in Southern Venezuela: The hottest hotspot in Latin America. (2021) Grillet, Maria Eugenia; Moreno, Jorge E; Hernández-Villena, Juan V; Vincenti-González, Maria F; Noya, Oscar; Tami, Adriana; Paniz-Mondolfi, Alberto; Llewellyn, Martin; Lowe, Rachel; Escalante, Ananías A; Conn, Jan E

Biomarker-guided tuberculosis preventive therapy (CORTIS): a randomised controlled trial. (2021) Scriba, Thomas J; Fiore-Gartland, Andrew; Penn-Nicholson, Adam; Mulenga, Humphrey; Kimbung Mbandi, Stanley; Borate, Bhavesh; Mendelsohn, Simon C; Hadley, Katie; Hikuam, Chris; Kaskar, Masooda; Musvosvi, Munyaradzi; Bilek, Nicole; Self, Steven; Sumner, Tom; White, Richard G; Erasmus, Mzwandile; Jaxa, Lungisa; Raphela, Rodney; Innes, Craig; Brumskine, William; Hiemstra, Andriëtte; Malherbe, Stephanus T; Hassan-Moosa, Razia; Tameris, Michèle; Walzl, Gerhard; Naidoo, Kogieleum; Churchyard, Gavin; Hatherill, Mark; CORTIS-01 Study Team

Optimising Vaccine Dose in Inoculation against SARS-CoV-2, a Multi-Factor Optimisation Modelling Study to Maximise Vaccine Safety and Efficacy. (2021) Benest, John; Rhodes, Sophie; Quaife, Matthew; Evans, Thomas G; White, Richard G

The antimalarial efficacy and mechanism of resistance of the novel chemotype DDD01034957. (2021) Miguel-Blanco, Celia; Murithi, James M; Benavente, Ernest Diez; Angrisano, Fiona; Sala, Katarzyna A; van Schalkwyk, Donelly A; Vanaerschot, Manu; Schwach, Frank; Fuchter, Matthew J; Billker, Oliver; Sutherland, Colin J; Campino, Susana G; Clark, Taane G; Blagborough, Andrew M; Fidock, David A; Herreros, Esperanza; Gamo, Francisco Javier; Baum, Jake; Delves, Michael J

Use of non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs and risk of death from COVID-19: an OpenSAFELY cohort analysis based on two cohorts. (2021) Wong, Angel Ys; MacKenna, Brian; Morton, Caroline E; Schultze, Anna; Walker, Alex J; Bhaskaran, Krishnan; Brown, Jeremy P; Rentsch, Christopher T; Williamson, Elizabeth; Drysdale, Henry; Croker, Richard; Bacon, Seb; Hulme, William; Bates, Chris; Curtis, Helen J; Mehrkar, Amir; Evans, David; Inglesby, Peter; Cockburn, Jonathan; McDonald, Helen I; Tomlinson, Laurie; Mathur, Rohini; Wing, Kevin; Forbes, Harriet; Eggo, Rosalind M; Parry, John; Hester, Frank; Harper, Sam; Evans, Stephen Jw; Smeeth, Liam; Douglas, Ian J; Goldacre, Ben; OpenSAFELY Collaborative

Rational policymaking during a pandemic. (2021) Berger, Loïc; Berger, Nicolas; Bosetti, Valentina; Gilboa, Itzhak; Hansen, Lars Peter; Jarvis, Christopher; Marinacci, Massimo; Smith, Richard D

Implication of backward contact tracing in the presence of overdispersed transmission in COVID-19 outbreaks. (2021) Endo, Akira; Centre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases COV; Leclerc, Quentin J; Knight, Gwenan M; Medley, Graham F; Atkins, Katherine E; Funk, Sebastian; Kucharski, Adam J

o2geosocial: Reconstructing who-infected-whom from routinely collected surveillance data. (2021) Robert, Alexis; Funk, Sebastian; Kucharski, Adam J

Estimating the minimum number of SARS-CoV-2 infected cases needed to detect viral RNA in wastewater: To what extent of the outbreak can surveillance of wastewater tell us? (2021) Hong, Pei-Ying; Rachmadi, Andri Taruna; Mantilla-Calderon, David; Alkahtani, Mohsen; Bashawri, Yasir M; Al Qarni, Hamed; O'Reilly, Kathleen M; Zhou, Jianqiang

The importance of local context in COVID-19 models. (2021) Eggo, Rosalind M; Dawa, Jeanette; Kucharski, Adam J; Cucunuba, Zulma M

Integrating epidemiological and genetic data with different sampling intensities into a dynamic model of respiratory syncytial virus transmission. (2021) Kombe, Ivy K; Agoti, Charles N; Munywoki, Patrick K; Baguelin, Marc; Nokes, D James; Medley, Graham F

Clinical features and natural history of the first 2073 suspected COVID-19 cases in the Corona São Caetano primary care programme: a prospective cohort study. (2021) Leal, Fabio E; Mendes-Correa, Maria C; Buss, Lewis Fletcher; Costa, Silvia F; Bizario, Joao CS; de Souza, Sonia RP; Thomaz, Osorio; Tozetto-Mendoza, Tania Regina; Villas-Boas, Lucy S; de Oliveira-da Silva, Léa Campos; Grespan, Regina MZ; Capuani, Ligia; Buccheri, Renata; Domingues, Helves; Alexander, Neal; Mayaud, Philippe; Sabino, Ester Cerdeira

Prevalence of Streptococcus pneumoniae in conjunctival flora and association with nasopharyngeal carriage among children in a Vietnamese community. (2021) Mohamed, Yasser Helmy; Toizumi, Michiko; Uematsu, Masafumi; Nguyen, Hien-Anh Thi; Le, Lien Thuy; Takegata, Mizuki; Iwasaki, Chihiro; Kitamura, Noriko; Nation, Monica L; Dunne, Eileen M; Hinds, Jason; Do, Hung Thai; Vien, Mai Quang; Satzke, Catherine; Flasche, Stefan; Mulholland, Kim; Dang, Duc-Anh; Kitaoka, Takashi; Yoshida, Lay-Myint

An integrated in silico immuno-genetic analytical platform provides insights into COVID-19 serological and vaccine targets. (2021) Ward, Daniel; Higgins, Matthew; Phelan, Jody E; Hibberd, Martin L; Campino, Susana; Clark, Taane G

COVID-19's lost generation of unvaccinated children - Authors' reply. (2021) Abbas, Kaja; Procter, Simon R; Clark, Andrew; Flasche, Stefan

Biosocial Strategies to Address the Socioeconomic Determinants and Consequences of the TB and COVID-19 Pandemics. (2021) Pedrazzoli, Debora; Wingfield, Tom

Temperature modulates immune gene expression in mosquitoes during arbovirus infection. (2021) Wimalasiri-Yapa, BMC Randika; Barrero, Roberto A; Stassen, Liesel; Hafner, Louise M; McGraw, Elizabeth A; Pyke, Alyssa T; Jansen, Cassie C; Suhrbier, Andreas; Yakob, Laith; Hu, Wenbiao; Devine, Gregor J; Frentiu, Francesca D

Comparison of static and dynamic models of maternal immunization to prevent infant pertussis in Brazil. (2021) Russell, Louise B; Kim, Sun-Young; Toscano, Cristiana; Cosgriff, Ben; Minamisava, Ruth; Lucia Andrade, Ana; Sanderson, Colin; Sinha, Anushua

Economic evaluation of the introduction of rotavirus vaccine in Hong Kong. (2021) Yeung, Karene Hoi Ting; Lin, Shi Lin; Clark, Andrew; McGhee, Sarah M; Janusz, Cara Bess; Atherly, Deborah; Chan, Kate C; Nelson, E Anthony S

External validation of a deep learning electrocardiogram algorithm to detect ventricular dysfunction. (2021) Attia, Itzhak Zachi; Tseng, Andrew S; Benavente, Ernest Diez; Medina-Inojosa, Jose R; Clark, Taane G; Malyutina, Sofia; Kapa, Suraj; Schirmer, Henrik; Kudryavtsev, Alexander V; Noseworthy, Peter A; Carter, Rickey E; Ryabikov, Andrew; Perel, Pablo; Friedman, Paul A; Leon, David A; Lopez-Jimenez, Francisco

HIV infection and COVID-19 death: a population-based cohort analysis of UK primary care data and linked national death registrations within the OpenSAFELY platform. (2021) Bhaskaran, Krishnan; Rentsch, Christopher T; MacKenna, Brian; Schultze, Anna; Mehrkar, Amir; Bates, Chris J; Eggo, Rosalind M; Morton, Caroline E; Bacon, Sebastian CJ; Inglesby, Peter; Doughlas, Ian J; Walker, Alex J; McDonald, Helen; Cockburn, Jonathan; Williamson, Elizabeth J; Evans, David; Forbes, Harriet J; Curtis, Helen J; Hulme, William J; Parry, John; Hester, Frank; Harper, Sam; Evans, Stephen JW; Smeeth, Liam; Goldacre, Ben

Informing Global Cost-Effectiveness Thresholds Using Country Investment Decisions: Human Papillomavirus Vaccine Introductions in 2006-2018. (2021) Jit, Mark

Estimating the Force of Infection for Dengue Virus Using Repeated Serosurveys, Ouagadougou, Burkina Faso. (2021) Lim, Jacqueline K; Carabali, Mabel; Edwards, Tansy; Barro, Ahmed; Lee, Jung-Seok; Dahourou, Desire; Lee, Kang Sung; Nikiema, Teguewende; Shin, Mee Young; Bonnet, Emmanuel; Kagone, Therese; Kaba, Losseni; Namkung, Suk; Somé, Paul-André; Yang, Jae Seung; Ridde, Valéry; Yoon, In-Kyu; Alexander, Neal; Seydou, Yaro

Epidemiological, socio-demographic and clinical features of the early phase of the COVID-19 epidemic in Ecuador. (2021) Ortiz-Prado, Esteban; Simbaña-Rivera, Katherine; Barreno, Lenin Gómez; Diaz, Ana Maria; Barreto, Alejandra; Moyano, Carla; Arcos, Vannesa; Vásconez-González, Eduardo; Paz, Clara; Simbaña-Guaycha, Fernanda; Molestina-Luzuriaga, Martin; Fernández-Naranjo, Raúl; Feijoo, Javier; Henriquez-Trujillo, Aquiles R; Adana, Lila; López-Cortés, Andrés; Fletcher, Isabel; Lowe, Rachel

Prospective association of social circumstance, socioeconomic, lifestyle and mental health factors with subsequent hospitalisation over 6-7 year follow up in people living with HIV. (2021) Rein, Sophia M; Smith, Colette J; Chaloner, Clinton; Stafford, Adam; Rodger, Alison J; Johnson, Margaret A; McDonnell, Jeffrey; Burns, Fiona; Madge, Sara; Miners, Alec; Sherr, Lorraine; Collins, Simon; Speakman, Andrew; Phillips, Andrew N; Lampe, Fiona C

Effect of internationally imported cases on internal spread of COVID-19: a mathematical modelling study. (2021) Russell, Timothy W; Wu, Joseph T; Clifford, Sam; Edmunds, W John; Kucharski, Adam J; Jit, Mark; Centre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases COV

HIV-2 diversity displays two clades within group A with distinct geographical distribution and evolution. (2021) Visseaux, Benoit; Bertine, Mélanie; Le Hingrat, Quentin; Ferré, Valentine; Charpentier, Charlotte; Collin, Fidéline; Damond, Florence; Matheron, Sophie; Hué, Stéphane; Descamps, Diane

The impact of surveillance and other factors on detection of emergent and circulating vaccine derived polioviruses. (2021) Auzenbergs, Megan; Fountain, Holly; Macklin, Grace; Lyons, Hil; O'Reilly, Kathleen M

How modelling can help steer the course set by the World Health Organization 2021-2030 roadmap on neglected tropical diseases. (2021) Clark, Jessica; Stolk, Wilma A; Basáñez, María-Gloria; Coffeng, Luc E; Cucunubá, Zulma M; Dixon, Matthew A; Dyson, Louise; Hampson, Katie; Marks, Michael; Medley, Graham F; Pollington, Timothy M; Prada, Joaquin M; Rock, Kat S; Salje, Henrik; Toor, Jaspreet; Hollingsworth, T Déirdre

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