Diaconu, Karin; Karat, Aaron; Bozzani, Fiammetta; McCreesh, Nicky; Falconer, Jennifer; Voce, Anna; Vassall, Anna; Grant, Alison D; Kielmann, Karina; (2024) Qualitative system dynamics modelling to support the design and implementation of tuberculosis infection prevention and control measures in South African primary healthcare facilities. Health policy and planning, 39 (10). pp. 1041-1054. ISSN 0268-1080 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1093/heapol/czae084

Khan, Palwasha Y; Govender, Indira; McCreesh, Nicky; Sweeney, Sedona; Sithole, Mareca; Ording-Jespersen, Greg; Buthelezi, Xoli; Houben, Rein MGJ; Baisley, Kathy; Smit, Theresa; +6 more... Wong, Emily B; Hanekom, Willem; White, Richard G; Vassall, Anna; Fielding, Katherine; Grant, Alison D; (2024) Africa Health Research Institute (AHRI) Household Contact study: a study protocol, statistical analysis and modelling plan. Wellcome open research, 9. p. 622. ISSN 2398-502X DOI: https://doi.org/10.12688/wellcomeopenres.22974.1 Item availability may be restricted.

Bozzani, Fiammetta Maria; McCreesh, Nicky; Diaconu, Karin; Govender, Indira; White, Richard G; Kielmann, Karina; Grant, Alison D; Vassall, Anna; (2023) Cost-effectiveness of tuberculosis infection prevention and control interventions in South African clinics: a model-based economic evaluation informed by complexity science methods. BMJ Global Health, 8 (2). e010306-e010306. ISSN 2059-7908 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1136/bmjgh-2022-010306

Hrzic, Rok; Cade, Maria Vitoria; Wong, Brian Li Han; McCreesh, Nicky; Simon, Judit; Czabanowska, Katarzyna; (2023) A competency framework on simulation modelling-supported decision-making for Master of Public Health graduates. Journal of public health, 46 (1). pp. 127-135. ISSN 1741-3842 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1093/pubmed/fdad248

Richards, AS; (2023) Rediscovering the natural history of tuberculosis using modelling to combine historical and contemporary data. PhD thesis, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine. DOI: https://doi.org/10.17037/PUBS.04671334

Richards, Alexandra S; Sossen, Bianca; Emery, Jon C; Horton, Katherine C; Heinsohn, Torben; Frascella, Beatrice; Balzarini, Federica; Oradini-Alacreu, Aurea; Häcker, Brit; Odone, Anna; +6 more... McCreesh, Nicky; Grant, Alison D; Kranzer, Katharina; Cobelens, Frank; Esmail, Hanif; Houben, Rein MGJ; (2023) Quantifying progression and regression across the spectrum of pulmonary tuberculosis: a data synthesis study. The Lancet Global health, 11 (5). e684-e692. ISSN 2214-109X DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/S2214-109X(23)00082-7

Scarponi, Danny; Clark, Rebecca A; Weerasuriya, Chathika Krishan; Emery, Jon; Houben, Rein MGJ; White, Richard; McCreesh, Nicky; (2023) Is neglect of self-clearance biasing TB vaccine impact estimates? BMJ global health, 8 (8). e012799-e012799. ISSN 2059-7908 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1136/bmjgh-2023-012799

Scarponi, Danny; Iskauskas, Andrew; Clark, Rebecca A; Vernon, Ian; McKinley, Trevelyan J; Goldstein, Michael; Mukandavire, Christinah; Deol, Arminder; Weerasuriya, Chathika; Bakker, Roel; +2 more... White, Richard G; McCreesh, Nicky; (2023) Demonstrating multi-country calibration of a tuberculosis model using new history matching and emulation package - hmer. Epidemics, 43. 100678-. ISSN 1755-4365 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.epidem.2023.100678

Yates, Tom A; Karat, Aaron S; Bozzani, Fiammetta; McCreesh, Nicky; MacGregor, Hayley; Beckwith, Peter G; Govender, Indira; Colvin, Christopher J; Kielmann, Karina; Grant, Alison D; (2023) Time to change the way we think about tuberculosis infection prevention and control in health facilities: insights from recent research. Antimicrobial stewardship & healthcare epidemiology : ASHE, 3 (1). e117. ISSN 2732-494X DOI: https://doi.org/10.1017/ash.2023.192

Beckwith, Peter G; Karat, Aaron S; Govender, Indira; Deol, Arminder K; McCreesh, Nicky; Kielmann, Karina; Baisley, Kathy; Grant, Alison D; Yates, Tom A; (2022) Direct estimates of absolute ventilation and estimated Mycobacterium tuberculosis transmission risk in clinics in South Africa. PLOS Global Public Health, 2 (11). e0000603-. ISSN 2767-3375 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pgph.0000603

Deol, AK; Shaikh, N; Middelkoop, K; Mohlamonyane, M; White, RG; McCreesh, N; (2022) Importance of ventilation and occupancy to Mycobacterium tuberculosis transmission rates in congregate settings. BMC public health, 22 (1). 1772-. ISSN 1471-2458 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1186/s12889-022-14133-5

Karat, Aaron S; McCreesh, Nicky; Baisley, Kathy; Govender, Indira; Kallon, Idriss I; Kielmann, Karina; MacGregor, Hayley; Vassall, Anna; Yates, Tom A; Grant, Alison D; (2022) Estimating waiting times, patient flow, and waiting room occupancy density as part of tuberculosis infection prevention and control research in South African primary health care clinics. PLOS Global Public Health, 2 (7). e0000684-. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pgph.0000684

McCreesh, Nicky; Karat, Aaron S; Govender, Indira; Baisley, Kathy; Diaconu, Karin; Yates, Tom A; Houben, Rein Mgj; Kielmann, Karina; Grant, Alison D; White, Richard; (2022) Estimating the contribution of transmission in primary healthcare clinics to community-wide TB disease incidence, and the impact of infection prevention and control interventions, in KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa. BMJ global health, 7 (4). e007136-e007136. ISSN 2059-7908 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1136/bmjgh-2021-007136

McCreesh, Nicky; Mohlamonyane, Mbali; Edwards, Anita; Olivier, Stephen; Dikgale, Keabetswe; Dayi, Njabulo; Gareta, Dickman; Wood, Robin; Grant, Alison D; White, Richard G; +1 more... Middelkoop, Keren; (2022) Improving Estimates of Social Contact Patterns for Airborne Transmission of Respiratory Pathogens. Emerging infectious diseases, 28 (10). pp. 2016-2026. ISSN 1080-6040 DOI: https://doi.org/10.3201/eid2810.212567

Calderwood, Claire J; Wilson, James P; Fielding, Katherine L; Harris, Rebecca C; Karat, Aaron S; Mansukhani, Raoul; Falconer, Jane; Bergstrom, Malin; Johnson, Sarah M; McCreesh, Nicky; +6 more... Monk, Edward JM; Odayar, Jasantha; Scott, Peter J; Stokes, Sarah A; Theodorou, Hannah; Moore, David AJ; (2021) Dynamics of sputum conversion during effective tuberculosis treatment: A systematic review and meta-analysis. PLoS medicine, 18 (4). e1003566-. ISSN 1549-1277 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pmed.1003566

Deol, Arminder K; Scarponi, Danny; Beckwith, Peter; Yates, Tom A; Karat, Aaron S; Yan, Ada WC; Baisley, Kathy S; Grant, Alison D; White, Richard G; McCreesh, Nicky; (2021) Estimating ventilation rates in rooms with varying occupancy levels: Relevance for reducing transmission risk of airborne pathogens. PloS one, 16 (6). e0253096-. ISSN 1932-6203 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0253096

Karat, Aaron S; McCreesh, Nicky; Baisley, Kathy; Govender, Indira; Kallon, Idriss I; Kielmann, Karina; MacGregor, Hayley; Vassall, Anna; Yates, Tom A; Grant, Alison D; (2021) Waiting times, patient flow, and occupancy density in South African primary health care clinics: implications for infection prevention and control. BMJ Yale - medRxiv preprint. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1101/2021.07.21.21260806

McCreesh, Nicky; Dlamini, Vuyiswa; Edwards, Anita; Olivier, Stephen; Dayi, Njabulo; Dikgale, Keabetswe; Nxumalo, Siyabonga; Dreyer, Jaco; Baisley, Kathy; Siedner, Mark J; +4 more... White, Richard G; Herbst, Kobus; Grant, Alison D; Harling, Guy; (2021) Impact of the Covid-19 epidemic and related social distancing regulations on social contact and SARS-CoV-2 transmission potential in rural South Africa: analysis of repeated cross-sectional surveys. BMC infectious diseases, 21 (1). 928-. ISSN 1471-2334 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1186/s12879-021-06604-8

McCreesh, Nicky; Karat, Aaron S; Baisley, Kathy; Diaconu, Karin; Bozzani, Fiammetta; Govender, Indira; Beckwith, Peter; Yates, Tom A; Deol, Arminder K; Houben, Rein MGJ; +3 more... Kielmann, Karina; White, Richard G; Grant, Alison D; (2021) Modelling the effect of infection prevention and control measures on rate of Mycobacterium tuberculosis transmission to clinic attendees in primary health clinics in South Africa. BMJ global health, 6 (10). e007124-e007124. ISSN 2059-7908 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1136/bmjgh-2021-007124

Kielmann, Karina; Karat, Aaron S; Zwama, Gimenne; Colvin, Christopher; Swartz, Alison; Voce, Anna S; Yates, Tom A; MacGregor, Hayley; McCreesh, Nicky; Kallon, Idriss; +4 more... Vassall, Anna; Govender, Indira; Seeley, Janet; Grant, Alison D; (2020) Tuberculosis infection prevention and control: why we need a whole systems approach. Infectious diseases of poverty, 9 (1). 56-. ISSN 2095-5162 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1186/s40249-020-00667-6

McCreesh, N; Grant, AD; Yates, TA; Karat, AS; White, RG; (2020) Tuberculosis from transmission in clinics in high HIV settings may be far higher than contact data suggest. International Journal of Tuberculosis and Lung Disease, 24 (4). pp. 403-408. ISSN 1027-3719 DOI: https://doi.org/10.5588/ijtld.19.0410

McCreesh, Nicky; Dlamini, Vuyiswa; Edwards, Anita; Olivier, Stephen; Dayi, Njabulo; Dikgale, Keabetswe; Nxumalo, Siyabonga; Dreyer, Jaco; Baisley, Kathy; Siedner, Mark J; +4 more... White, Richard G; Herbst, Kobus; Grant, Alison D; Harling, Guy; (2020) Impact of social distancing regulations and epidemic risk perception on social contact and SARS-CoV-2 transmission potential in rural South Africa: analysis of repeated cross-sectional surveys. medRxiv. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.12.01.20241877

McQuaid, C Finn; McCreesh, Nicky; Read, Jonathan M; Sumner, Tom; CMMID COVID-19 Working Group; Houben, Rein MGJ; White, Richard G; Harris, Rebecca C; (2020) The potential impact of COVID-19-related disruption on tuberculosis burden. The European respiratory journal, 56 (2). p. 2001718. ISSN 0903-1936 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1183/13993003.01718-2020

McQuaid, C Finn; McCreesh, Nicola; Read, Jonathan M; Sumner, Tom; CMMID COVID-19 Working Group; Houben, Rein; White, Richard G; Harris, Rebecca; (2020) The potential impact of COVID-19-related disruption on tuberculosis burden. European respiratory journal, 56 (2). ISSN 0903-1936 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1183/13993003.01718-2020

Quaife, Matthew; van Zandvoort, Kevin; Gimma, Amy; Shah, Kashvi; McCreesh, Nicky; Prem, Kiesha; Barasa, Edwine; Mwanga, Daniel; Kangwana, Beth; Pinchoff, Jessie; +4 more... CMMID COVID-19 Working Group; Edmunds, W John; Jarvis, Christopher I; Austrian, Karen; (2020) The impact of COVID-19 control measures on social contacts and transmission in Kenyan informal settlements. BMC Med, 18 (1). 316-. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1186/s12916-020-01779-4

Quaife, Matthew; van Zandvoort, Kevin; Gimma, Amy; Shah, Kashvi; McCreesh, Nicky; Prem, Kiesha; Barasa, Edwine; Mwanga, Daniel; Kangwana, Beth; Pinchoff, Jessie; +3 more... Edmunds, W John; Jarvis, Christopher I; Austrian, Karen; (2020) The impact of COVID-19 control measures on social contacts and transmission in Kenyan informal settlements. BMC medicine. ISSN 1741-7015 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.06.06.20122689

McCreesh, Nicky; Morrow, Carl; Middelkoop, Keren; Wood, Robin; White, Richard G; (2019) Estimating age-mixing patterns relevant for the transmission of airborne infections. Epidemics, 28. 100339-. ISSN 1755-4365 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.epidem.2019.03.005

McCreesh, Nicky; Andrianakis, Ioannis; Nsubuga, Rebecca N; Strong, Mark; Vernon, Ian; McKinley, Trevelyan J; Oakley, Jeremy E; Goldstein, Michael; Hayes, Richard; White, Richard G; (2018) Choice of time horizon critical in estimating costs and effects of changes to HIV programmes. PloS one, 13 (5). e0196480-. ISSN 1932-6203 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0196480

McCreesh, Nicky; White, Richard G; (2018) An explanation for the low proportion of tuberculosis that results from transmission between household and known social contacts. Scientific reports, 8 (1). 5382-. ISSN 2045-2322 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-018-23797-2

McKinley, Trevelyan J; Vernon, Ian; Andrianakis, Ioannis; McCreesh, Nicky; Oakley, Jeremy E; Nsubuga, Rebecca N; Goldstein, Michael; White, Richard G; (2018) Approximate Bayesian Computation and Simulation-Based Inference for Complex Stochastic Epidemic Models. Statistical science, 33 (1). pp. 4-18. ISSN 0883-4237 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1214/17-sts618

Andrianakis, I; Vernon, I; McCreesh, N; McKinley, TJ; Oakley, JE; Nsubuga, RN; Goldstein, M; White, RG; (2017) History matching of a complex epidemiological model of human immunodeficiency virus transmission by using variance emulation. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series C, Applied statistics, 66 (4). pp. 717-740. ISSN 0035-9254 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/rssc.12198

Andrianakis, Ioannis; McCreesh, Nicky; Vernon, Ian; McKinley, Trevelyan J; Oakley, Jeremy E; Nsubuga, Rebecca N; Goldstein, Michael; White, Richard G; (2017) Efficient History Matching of a High Dimensional Individual-Based HIV Transmission Model. SIAM/ASA Journal on Uncertainty Quantification, 5 (1). pp. 694-719. ISSN 2166-2525 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1137/16m1093008

McCreesh, Nicky; Andrianakis, Ioannis; Nsubuga, Rebecca N; Strong, Mark; Vernon, Ian; McKinley, Trevelyan J; Oakley, Jeremy E; Goldstein, Michael; Hayes, Richard; White, Richard G; (2017) Improving ART programme retention and viral suppression are key to maximising impact of treatment as prevention - a modelling study. BMC infectious diseases, 17 (1). 557-. ISSN 1471-2334 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1186/s12879-017-2664-6

McCreesh, Nicky; Andrianakis, Ioannis; Nsubuga, Rebecca N; Strong, Mark; Vernon, Ian; McKinley, Trevelyan J; Oakley, Jeremy E; Goldstein, Michael; Hayes, Richard; White, Richard G; (2017) Universal test, treat, and keep: improving ART retention is key in cost-effective HIV control in Uganda. BMC infectious diseases, 17 (1). 322-. ISSN 1471-2334 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1186/s12879-017-2420-y

Andrianakis, I; Vernon, I; McCreesh, N; McKinley, TJ; Oakley, JE; Nsubuga, RN; Goldstein, M; White, RG; (2016) History matching of a complex epidemiological model of human immunodeficiency virus transmission by using variance emulation. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series C (Applied Statistics). n/a-n/a. ISSN 1467-9876 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/rssc.12198

McCreesh, Nicky; Looker, Clare; Dodd, Peter J; Plumb, Ian D; Shanaube, Kwame; Muyoyeta, Monde; Godfrey-Faussett, Peter; Corbett, Elizabeth L; Ayles, Helen; White, Richard G; (2016) Comparison of indoor contact time data in Zambia and Western Cape, South Africa suggests targeting of interventions to reduce Mycobacterium tuberculosis transmission should be informed by local data. BMC infectious diseases, 16 (1). 71-. ISSN 1471-2334 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1186/s12879-016-1406-5

Stensgaard, Anna-Sofie; Booth, Mark; Nikulin, Grigory; McCreesh, Nicky; (2016) Combining process-based and correlative models improves predictions of climate change effects on Schistosoma mansoni transmission in eastern Africa. Geospatial health, 11 (1 Supp). 406-. ISSN 1827-1987 DOI: https://doi.org/10.4081/gh.2016.406

Tompkins, Adrian M; Larsen, Laragh; McCreesh, Nicky; Taylor, David; (2016) To what extent does climate explain variations in reported malaria cases in early 20th century Uganda? Geospatial health, 11 (1 Supp). 407-. ISSN 1827-1987 DOI: https://doi.org/10.4081/gh.2016.407 Full text not available from this repository.

Tompkins, Adrian M; McCreesh, Nicky; (2016) Migration statistics relevant for malaria transmission in Senegal derived from mobile phone data and used in an agent-based migration model. Geospatial health, 11 (1 Supp). 408-. ISSN 1827-1987 DOI: https://doi.org/10.4081/gh.2016.408

Andrianakis, Ioannis; Vernon, Ian R; McCreesh, Nicky; McKinley, Trevelyan J; Oakley, Jeremy E; Nsubuga, Rebecca N; Goldstein, Michael; White, Richard G; (2015) Bayesian history matching of complex infectious disease models using emulation: a tutorial and a case study on HIV in Uganda. PLoS computational biology, 11 (1). e1003968-. ISSN 1553-734X DOI: https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1003968

McCreesh, N; Faghmous, I; Looker, C; Dodd, PJ; Plumb, ID; Shanaube, K; Muyoyeta, M; Godfrey-Faussett, P; Ayles, H; White, RG; (2015) Coverage of clinic-based TB screening in South Africa may be low in key risk groups. Public health action, 6 (1). pp. 19-21. ISSN 2220-8372 DOI: https://doi.org/10.5588/pha.15.0064

McCreesh, Nicky; Nikulin, Grigory; Booth, Mark; (2015) Predicting the effects of climate change on Schistosoma mansoni transmission in eastern Africa. Parasites & vectors, 8 (1). 4-. ISSN 1756-3305 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1186/s13071-014-0617-0

McCreesh, Nicky; Arinaitwe, Moses; Arineitwe, Wilber; Tukahebwa, Edridah M; Booth, Mark; (2014) Effect of water temperature and population density on the population dynamics of Schistosoma mansoni intermediate host snails. Parasites & vectors, 7 (1). 503-. ISSN 1756-3305 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1186/s13071-014-0503-9

McCreesh, Nicky; Booth, Mark; (2014) The effect of increasing water temperatures on Schistosoma mansoni transmission and Biomphalaria pfeifferi population dynamics: an agent-based modelling study. PloS one, 9 (7). e101462-. ISSN 1932-6203 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0101462

McCreesh, Nicky; Booth, Mark; (2014) The effect of simulating different intermediate host snail species on the link between water temperature and schistosomiasis risk. PloS one, 9 (7). e87892-. ISSN 1932-6203 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0087892

McCreesh, Nicky; Booth, Mark; (2013) Challenges in predicting the effects of climate change on Schistosoma mansoni and Schistosoma haematobium transmission potential. Trends in parasitology, 29 (11). pp. 548-555. ISSN 1471-4922 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.pt.2013.08.007 Full text not available from this repository.

McCreesh, Nicky; Copas, Andrew; Seeley, Janet; Johnston, Lisa G; Sonnenberg, Pam; Hayes, Richard J; Frost, Simon DW; White, Richard G; (2013) Respondent driven sampling: determinants of recruitment and a method to improve point estimation. PloS one, 8 (10). e78402-. ISSN 1932-6203 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0078402

McCreesh, Nicky; Tarsh, Matilda Nadagire; Seeley, Janet; Katongole, Joseph; White, Richard G; (2013) Community understanding of Respondent-Driven Sampling in a medical research setting in Uganda: importance for the use of RDS for public health research. International journal of social research methodology, 16 (4). pp. 269-284. ISSN 1364-5579 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/13645579.2012.661204 Full text not available from this repository.

McCreesh, Nicky; Frost, Simon DW; Seeley, Janet; Katongole, Joseph; Tarsh, Matilda N; Ndunguse, Richard; Jichi, Fatima; Lunel, Natasha L; Maher, Dermot; Johnston, Lisa G; +4 more... Sonnenberg, Pam; Copas, Andrew J; Hayes, Richard J; White, Richard G; (2012) Evaluation of respondent-driven sampling. Epidemiology (Cambridge, Mass), 23 (1). pp. 138-147. ISSN 1044-3983 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1097/EDE.0b013e31823ac17c

McCreesh, Nicky; OʼBrien, Katie; Nsubuga, Rebecca N; Shafer, Leigh Anne; Bakker, Roel; Seeley, Janet; Hayes, Richard J; White, Richard G; (2012) Exploring the potential impact of a reduction in partnership concurrency on HIV incidence in rural Uganda: a modeling study. Sexually transmitted diseases, 39 (6). pp. 407-413. ISSN 0148-5717 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1097/OLQ.0b013e318254c84a Full text not available from this repository.

McCreesh, Nicky; White, Richard G; (2012) Reply. Sexually transmitted diseases, 39 (11). pp. 899-900. ISSN 0148-5717 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1097/olq.0b013e318273019e Full text not available from this repository.

McCreesh, Nicky; Johnston, Lisa G; Copas, Andrew; Sonnenberg, Pam; Seeley, Janet; Hayes, Richard J; Frost, Simon DW; White, Richard G; (2011) Evaluation of the role of location and distance in recruitment in respondent-driven sampling. International journal of health geographics, 10 (1). 56-. ISSN 1476-072X DOI: https://doi.org/10.1186/1476-072X-10-56