Case fatality risk of the SARS-CoV-2 variant of concern B.1.1.7 in England, 16 November to 5 February.
Grint, Daniel J
; Wing, Kevin; Williamson, Elizabeth; McDonald, Helen I; Bhaskaran, Krishnan; Evans, David; Evans, Stephen Jw; Walker, Alex J; Hickman, George; Nightingale, Emily; +26 more...Schultze, Anna; Rentsch, Christopher T; Bates, Chris; Cockburn, Jonathan; Curtis, Helen J; Morton, Caroline E; Bacon, Sebastian; Davy, Simon; Wong, Angel Ys; Mehrkar, Amir; Tomlinson, Laurie; Douglas, Ian J; Mathur, Rohini; Blomquist, Paula; MacKenna, Brian; Ingelsby, Peter; Croker, Richard; Parry, John; Hester, Frank; Harper, Sam; DeVito, Nicholas J; Hulme, Will; Tazare, John; Goldacre, Ben; Smeeth, Liam; and Eggo, Rosalind M
(2021)
Case fatality risk of the SARS-CoV-2 variant of concern B.1.1.7 in England, 16 November to 5 February.
Eurosurveillance, 26 (11).
pp. 10-15.
ISSN 1025-7917
DOI: 10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2021.26.11.2100256
; Wing, Kevin; Williamson, Elizabeth; McDonald, Helen I; Bhaskaran, Krishnan; Evans, David; Evans, Stephen Jw; Walker, Alex J; Hickman, George; Nightingale, Emily; +26 more...Schultze, Anna; Rentsch, Christopher T; Bates, Chris; Cockburn, Jonathan; Curtis, Helen J; Morton, Caroline E; Bacon, Sebastian; Davy, Simon; Wong, Angel Ys; Mehrkar, Amir; Tomlinson, Laurie; Douglas, Ian J; Mathur, Rohini; Blomquist, Paula; MacKenna, Brian; Ingelsby, Peter; Croker, Richard; Parry, John; Hester, Frank; Harper, Sam; DeVito, Nicholas J; Hulme, Will; Tazare, John; Goldacre, Ben; Smeeth, Liam; and Eggo, Rosalind M
(2021)
Case fatality risk of the SARS-CoV-2 variant of concern B.1.1.7 in England, 16 November to 5 February.
Eurosurveillance, 26 (11).
pp. 10-15.
ISSN 1025-7917
DOI: 10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2021.26.11.2100256
The SARS-CoV-2 B.1.1.7 variant of concern (VOC) is increasing in prevalence across Europe. Accurate estimation of disease severity associated with this VOC is critical for pandemic planning. We found increased risk of death for VOC compared with non-VOC cases in England (hazard ratio: 1.67; 95% confidence interval: 1.34-2.09; p < 0.0001). Absolute risk of death by 28 days increased with age and comorbidities. This VOC has potential to spread faster with higher mortality than the pandemic to date.
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