Perez-Guzman, Pablo N; Chanda, Stephen Longa; Schaap, Albertus; Shanaube, Kwame; Baguelin, Marc; Nyangu, Sarah T; Kanyanga, Muzala Kapina; Walker, Patrick; Ayles, Helen; Chilengi, Roma; +4 more... Verity, Robert; Hauck, Katharina; Knock, Edward S; Cori, Anne; (2024) Pandemic burden in low-income settings and impact of limited and delayed interventions: A granular modelling analysis of COVID-19 in Kabwe, Zambia. International journal of infectious diseases, 147. p. 107182. ISSN 1201-9712 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijid.2024.107182

Sherratt, Katharine; Carnegie, Anna C; Kucharski, Adam; Cori, Anne; Pearson, Carl AB; Jarvis, Christopher I; Overton, Christopher; Weston, Dale; Hill, Edward M; Knock, Edward; +17 more... Fearon, Elizabeth; Nightingale, Emily; Hellewell, Joel; Edmunds, W John; Villabona Arenas, Julián; Prem, Kiesha; Pi, Li; Baguelin, Marc; Kendall, Michelle; Ferguson, Neil; Davies, Nicholas; Eggo, Rosalind M; van Elsland, Sabine; Russell, Timothy; Funk, Sebastian; Liu, Yang; Abbott, Sam; (2024) Improving modelling for epidemic responses: reflections from members of the UK infectious disease modelling community on their experiences during the COVID-19 pandemic. Wellcome open research, 9. 12-. ISSN 2398-502X DOI: https://doi.org/10.12688/wellcomeopenres.19601.1

Han, Su Myat; Robert, Alexis; Masuda, Shingo; Yasaka, Takahiro; Kanda, Satoshi; Komori, Kazuhiri; Saito, Nobuo; Suzuki, Motoi; Endo, Akira; Baguelin, Marc; +1 more... Ariyoshi, Koya; (2023) Transmission dynamics of seasonal influenza in a remote island population. Scientific reports, 13 (1). 5393-. ISSN 2045-2322 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-023-32537-0

Brazeau, Nicholas F; Verity, Robert; Jenks, Sara; Fu, Han; Whittaker, Charles; Winskill, Peter; Dorigatti, Ilaria; Walker, Patrick GT; Riley, Steven; Schnekenberg, Ricardo P; +12 more... Hoeltgebaum, Henrique; Mellan, Thomas A; Mishra, Swapnil; Unwin, H Juliette T; Watson, Oliver J; Cucunubá, Zulma M; Baguelin, Marc; Whittles, Lilith; Bhatt, Samir; Ghani, Azra C; Ferguson, Neil M; Okell, Lucy C; (2022) Estimating the COVID-19 infection fatality ratio accounting for seroreversion using statistical modelling. Communications medicine, 2 (1). 54-. ISSN 2730-664X DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s43856-022-00106-7

Diamond, Charlie; Gong, Hui; Sun, Fiona Yueqian; Liu, Yang; Quilty, Billy J; Jit, Mark; Yang, Juan; Yu, Hongjie; Edmunds, W John; Baguelin, Marc; (2022) Regional-based within-year seasonal variations in influenza-related health outcomes across mainland China: a systematic review and spatio-temporal analysis. BMC Medicine, 20 (1). 58-. ISSN 1741-7015 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1186/s12916-022-02269-5

Sandmann, Frank G; van Leeuwen, Edwin; Bernard-Stoecklin, Sibylle; Casado, Itziar; Castilla, Jesús; Domegan, Lisa; Gherasim, Alin; Hooiveld, Mariëtte; Kislaya, Irina; Larrauri, Amparo; +14 more... Levy-Bruhl, Daniel; Machado, Ausenda; Marques, Diogo FP; Martínez-Baz, Iván; Mazagatos, Clara; McMenamin, Jim; Meijer, Adam; Murray, Josephine LK; Nunes, Baltazar; O'Donnell, Joan; Reynolds, Arlene; Thorrington, Dominic; Pebody, Richard; Baguelin, Marc; (2022) Health and economic impact of seasonal influenza mass vaccination strategies in European settings: A mathematical modelling and cost-effectiveness analysis. Vaccine, 40 (9). pp. 1306-1315. ISSN 0264-410X DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.vaccine.2022.01.015

Bhatia, Sangeeta; Imai, Natsuko; Cuomo-Dannenburg, Gina; Baguelin, Marc; Boonyasiri, Adhiratha; Cori, Anne; Cucunubá, Zulma; Dorigatti, Ilaria; FitzJohn, Rich; Fu, Han; +17 more... Gaythorpe, Katy; Ghani, Azra; Hamlet, Arran; Hinsley, Wes; Laydon, Daniel; Nedjati-Gilani, Gemma; Okell, Lucy; Riley, Steven; Thompson, Hayley; van Elsland, Sabine; Volz, Erik; Wang, Haowei; Wang, Yuanrong; Whittaker, Charles; Xi, Xiaoyue; Donnelly, Christl A; Ferguson, Neil M; (2021) Estimating the number of undetected COVID-19 cases among travellers from mainland China. Wellcome Open Research, 5. p. 143. DOI: https://doi.org/10.12688/wellcomeopenres.15805.2

Fu, Han; Wang, Haowei; Xi, Xiaoyue; Boonyasiri, Adhiratha; Wang, Yuanrong; Hinsley, Wes; Fraser, Keith J; McCabe, Ruth; Olivera Mesa, Daniela; Skarp, Janetta; +51 more... Ledda, Alice; Dewé, Tamsin; Dighe, Amy; Winskill, Peter; van Elsland, Sabine L; Ainslie, Kylie EC; Baguelin, Marc; Bhatt, Samir; Boyd, Olivia; Brazeau, Nicholas F; Cattarino, Lorenzo; Charles, Giovanni; Coupland, Helen; Cucunuba, Zulma M; Cuomo-Dannenburg, Gina; Donnelly, Christl A; Dorigatti, Ilaria; Eales, Oliver D; FitzJohn, Richard G; Flaxman, Seth; Gaythorpe, Katy AM; Ghani, Azra C; Green, William D; Hamlet, Arran; Hauck, Katharina; Haw, David J; Jeffrey, Benjamin; Laydon, Daniel J; Lees, John A; Mellan, Thomas; Mishra, Swapnil; Nedjati-Gilani, Gemma; Nouvellet, Pierre; Okell, Lucy; Parag, Kris V; Ragonnet-Cronin, Manon; Riley, Steven; Schmit, Nora; Thompson, Hayley A; Unwin, H Juliette T; Verity, Robert; Vollmer, Michaela AC; Volz, Erik; Walker, Patrick GT; Walters, Caroline E; Watson, Oliver J; Whittaker, Charles; Whittles, Lilith K; Imai, Natsuko; Bhatia, Sangeeta; Ferguson, Neil M; (2021) Database of epidemic trends and control measures during the first wave of COVID-19 in mainland China. International journal of infectious diseases : IJID : official publication of the International Society for Infectious Diseases, 102. pp. 463-471. ISSN 1201-9712 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijid.2020.10.075

Knock, Edward S; Whittles, Lilith K; Lees, John A; Perez-Guzman, Pablo N; Verity, Robert; FitzJohn, Richard G; Gaythorpe, Katy AM; Imai, Natsuko; Hinsley, Wes; Okell, Lucy C; +21 more... Rosello, Alicia; Kantas, Nikolas; Walters, Caroline E; Bhatia, Sangeeta; Watson, Oliver J; Whittaker, Charlie; Cattarino, Lorenzo; Boonyasiri, Adhiratha; Djaafara, Bimandra A; Fraser, Keith; Fu, Han; Wang, Haowei; Xi, Xiaoyue; Donnelly, Christl A; Jauneikaite, Elita; Laydon, Daniel J; White, Peter J; Ghani, Azra C; Ferguson, Neil M; Cori, Anne; Baguelin, Marc; (2021) Key epidemiological drivers and impact of interventions in the 2020 SARS-CoV-2 epidemic in England. Science translational medicine, 13 (602). eabg4262-. ISSN 1946-6234 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1126/scitranslmed.abg4262

Kombe, Ivy K; Agoti, Charles N; Munywoki, Patrick K; Baguelin, Marc; Nokes, D James; Medley, Graham F; (2021) Integrating epidemiological and genetic data with different sampling intensities into a dynamic model of respiratory syncytial virus transmission. Scientific reports, 11 (1). 1463-. ISSN 2045-2322 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-021-81078-x

Kovacevic, Aleksandra; Eggo, Rosalind M; Baguelin, Marc; Domenech de Cellès, Matthieu; Opatowski, Lulla; (2021) The Impact of Cocirculating Pathogens on Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2)/Coronavirus Disease 2019 Surveillance: How Concurrent Epidemics May Introduce Bias and Decrease the Observed SARS-CoV-2 Percentage Positivity. The Journal of Infectious Diseases, 225 (2). pp. 199-207. ISSN 0022-1899 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1093/infdis/jiab459

McCabe, Ruth; Kont, Mara D; Schmit, Nora; Whittaker, Charles; Løchen, Alessandra; Baguelin, Marc; Knock, Edward; Whittles, Lilith K; Lees, John; Brazeau, Nicholas F; +7 more... Walker, Patrick Gt; Ghani, Azra C; Ferguson, Neil M; White, Peter J; Donnelly, Christl A; Hauck, Katharina; Watson, Oliver J; (2021) Modelling intensive care unit capacity under different epidemiological scenarios of the COVID-19 pandemic in three Western European countries. International journal of epidemiology, 50 (3). pp. 753-767. ISSN 0300-5771 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1093/ije/dyab034

Monod, Mélodie; Blenkinsop, Alexandra; Xi, Xiaoyue; Hebert, Daniel; Bershan, Sivan; Tietze, Simon; Baguelin, Marc; Bradley, Valerie C; Chen, Yu; Coupland, Helen; +18 more... Filippi, Sarah; Ish-Horowicz, Jonathan; McManus, Martin; Mellan, Thomas; Gandy, Axel; Hutchinson, Michael; Unwin, H Juliette T; van Elsland, Sabine L; Vollmer, Michaela AC; Weber, Sebastian; Zhu, Harrison; Bezancon, Anne; Ferguson, Neil M; Mishra, Swapnil; Flaxman, Seth; Bhatt, Samir; Ratmann, Oliver; Imperial College COVID-19 Response Team; Imperial College COVID-19 Response Team; (2021) Age groups that sustain resurging COVID-19 epidemics in the United States. Science (New York, N.Y.), 371 (6536). eabe8372-. ISSN 0036-8075 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1126/science.abe8372

O'Reilly, Kathleen M; Sandman, Frank; Allen, David; Jarvis, Christopher I; Gimma, Amy; Douglas, Amy; Larkin, Lesley; Wong, Kerry LM; Baguelin, Marc; Baric, Ralph S; +4 more... Lindesmith, Lisa C; Goldstein, Richard A; Breuer, Judith; Edmunds, W John; (2021) Predicted norovirus resurgence in 2021-2022 due to the relaxation of nonpharmaceutical interventions associated with COVID-19 restrictions in England: a mathematical modeling study. BMC medicine, 19 (1). 299-. ISSN 1741-7015 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1186/s12916-021-02153-8

Watson, Oliver J; Alhaffar, Mervat; Mehchy, Zaki; Whittaker, Charles; Akil, Zack; Brazeau, Nicholas F; Cuomo-Dannenburg, Gina; Hamlet, Arran; Thompson, Hayley A; Baguelin, Marc; +14 more... FitzJohn, Richard G; Knock, Edward; Lees, John A; Whittles, Lilith K; Mellan, Thomas; Winskill, Peter; Imperial College COVID-19 Response Team; Howard, Natasha; Clapham, Hannah; Checchi, Francesco; Ferguson, Neil; Ghani, Azra; Beals, Emma; Walker, Patrick; (2021) Leveraging community mortality indicators to infer COVID-19 mortality and transmission dynamics in Damascus, Syria. Nature communications, 12 (1). 2394-. ISSN 2041-1723 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-021-22474-9

Ainslie, Kylie EC; Walters, Caroline E; Fu, Han; Bhatia, Sangeeta; Wang, Haowei; Xi, Xiaoyue; Baguelin, Marc; Bhatt, Samir; Boonyasiri, Adhiratha; Boyd, Olivia; +32 more... Cattarino, Lorenzo; Ciavarella, Constanze; Cucunuba, Zulma; Cuomo-Dannenburg, Gina; Dighe, Amy; Dorigatti, Ilaria; van Elsland, Sabine L; FitzJohn, Rich; Gaythorpe, Katy; Ghani, Azra C; Green, Will; Hamlet, Arran; Hinsley, Wes; Imai, Natsuko; Jorgensen, David; Knock, Edward; Laydon, Daniel; Nedjati-Gilani, Gemma; Okell, Lucy C; Siveroni, Igor; Thompson, Hayley A; Unwin, H Juliette T; Verity, Robert; Vollmer, Michaela; Walker, Patrick GT; Wang, Yuanrong; Watson, Oliver J; Whittaker, Charles; Winskill, Peter; Donnelly, Christl A; Ferguson, Neil M; Riley, Steven; (2020) Evidence of initial success for China exiting COVID-19 social distancing policy after achieving containment. Wellcome open research, 5. 81-. ISSN 2398-502X DOI: https://doi.org/10.12688/wellcomeopenres.15843.2

Baguelin, Marc; Edmunds, W John; (2020) Childhood vaccination against seasonal influenza - is there a risk of undesirable outcomes? BMC MEDICINE, 18 (1). 37-. ISSN 1741-7015 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1186/s12916-020-1509-0

Baguelin, Marc; Medley, Graham F; Nightingale, Emily S; O'Reilly, Kathleen M; Rees, Eleanor M; Waterlow, Naomi R; Wagner, Moritz; (2020) Tooling-up for infectious disease transmission modelling. Epidemics, 32. 100395-. ISSN 1755-4365 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.epidem.2020.100395

Birrell, Paul J; Zhang, Xu-Sheng; Corbella, Alice; van Leeuwen, Edwin; Panagiotopoulos, Nikolaos; Hoschler, Katja; Elliot, Alex J; McGee, Maryia; Lusignan, Simon de; Presanis, Anne M; +5 more... Baguelin, Marc; Zambon, Maria; Charlett, André; Pebody, Richard G; Angelis, Daniela De; (2020) Forecasting the 2017/2018 seasonal influenza epidemic in England using multiple dynamic transmission models: a case study. BMC Public Health, 20 (1). p. 486. ISSN 1471-2458 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1186/s12889-020-8455-9

Dawa, Jeanette; Emukule, Gideon O; Barasa, Edwine; Widdowson, Marc Alain; Anzala, Omu; van Leeuwen, Edwin; Baguelin, Marc; Chaves, Sandra S; Eggo, Rosalind M; (2020) Seasonal influenza vaccination in Kenya: an economic evaluation using dynamic transmission modelling. BMC MEDICINE, 18 (1). 223-. ISSN 1741-7015 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1186/s12916-020-01687-7

Hodgson, David; Pebody, Richard; Panovska-Griffiths, Jasmina; Baguelin, Marc; Atkins, Katherine E; (2020) Evaluating the next generation of RSV intervention strategies: a mathematical modelling study and cost-effectiveness analysis. BMC MEDICINE, 18 (1). 348-. ISSN 1741-7015 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1186/s12916-020-01802-8

Sherrard-Smith, Ellie; Hogan, Alexandra B; Hamlet, Arran; Watson, Oliver J; Whittaker, Charlie; Winskill, Peter; Ali, Fatima; Mohammad, Audu B; Uhomoibhi, Perpetua; Maikore, Ibrahim; +19 more... Ogbulafor, Nnenna; Nikau, Jamilu; Kont, Mara D; Challenger, Joseph D; Verity, Robert; Lambert, Ben; Cairns, Matthew; Rao, Bhargavi; Baguelin, Marc; Whittles, Lilith K; Lees, John A; Bhatia, Sangeeta; Knock, Edward S; Okell, Lucy; Slater, Hannah C; Ghani, Azra C; Walker, Patrick GT; Okoko, Okefu Oyale; Churcher, Thomas S; (2020) The potential public health consequences of COVID-19 on malaria in Africa. NATURE MEDICINE, 26 (9). pp. 1411-1416. ISSN 1078-8956 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41591-020-1025-y

Thompson, Hayley A; Imai, Natsuko; Dighe, Amy; Ainslie, Kylie EC; Baguelin, Marc; Bhatia, Sangeeta; Bhatt, Samir; Boonyasiri, Adhiratha; Boyd, Olivia; Brazeau, Nicholas F; +46 more... Cattarino, Lorenzo; Cooper, Laura V; Coupland, Helen; Cucunuba, Zulma; Cuomo-Dannenburg, Gina; Djaafara, Bimandra; Dorigatti, Ilaria; van Elsland, Sabine; FitzJohn, Richard; Fu, Han; Gaythorpe, Katy AM; Green, Will; Hallett, Timothy; Hamlet, Arran; Haw, David; Hayes, Sarah; Hinsley, Wes; Jeffrey, Benjamin; Knock, Edward; Laydon, Daniel J; Lees, John; Mangal, Tara D; Mellan, Thomas; Mishra, Swapnil; Mousa, Andria; Nedjati-Gilani, Gemma; Nouvellet, Pierre; Okell, Lucy; Parag, Kris V; Ragonnet-Cronin, Manon; Riley, Steven; Unwin, H Juliette T; Verity, Robert; Vollmer, Michaela; Volz, Erik; Walker, Patrick GT; Walters, Caroline; Wang, Haowei; Wang, Yuanrong; Watson, Oliver J; Whittaker, Charles; Whittles, Lilith K; Winskill, Peter; Xi, Xiaoyue; Donnelly, Christl A; Ferguson, Neil M; (2020) SARS-CoV-2 infection prevalence on repatriation flights from Wuhan City, China. JOURNAL OF TRAVEL MEDICINE, 27 (8). taaa135. ISSN 1195-1982 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1093/jtm/taaa135

Verity, Robert; Okell, Lucy C; Dorigatti, Ilaria; Winskill, Peter; Whittaker, Charles; Imai, Natsuko; Cuomo-Dannenburg, Gina; Thompson, Hayley; Walker, Patrick GT; Fu, Han; +23 more... Dighe, Amy; Griffin, Jamie T; Baguelin, Marc; Bhatia, Sangeeta; Boonyasiri, Adhiratha; Cori, Anne; Cucunubá, Zulma; FitzJohn, Rich; Gaythorpe, Katy; Green, Will; Hamlet, Arran; Hinsley, Wes; Laydon, Daniel; Nedjati-Gilani, Gemma; Riley, Steven; van Elsland, Sabine; Volz, Erik; Wang, Haowei; Wang, Yuanrong; Xi, Xiaoyue; Donnelly, Christl A; Ghani, Azra C; Ferguson, Neil M; (2020) Estimates of the severity of coronavirus disease 2019: a model-based analysis. The Lancet Infectious Diseases, 20 (6). pp. 669-677. ISSN 1473-3099 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/S1473-3099(20)30243-7

Walker, Patrick GT; Whittaker, Charles; Watson, Oliver J; Baguelin, Marc; Winskill, Peter; Hamlet, Arran; Djafaara, Bimandra A; Cucunubá, Zulma; Olivera Mesa, Daniela; Green, Will; +39 more... Thompson, Hayley; Nayagam, Shevanthi; Ainslie, Kylie EC; Bhatia, Sangeeta; Bhatt, Samir; Boonyasiri, Adhiratha; Boyd, Olivia; Brazeau, Nicholas F; Cattarino, Lorenzo; Cuomo-Dannenburg, Gina; Dighe, Amy; Donnelly, Christl A; Dorigatti, Ilaria; van Elsland, Sabine L; FitzJohn, Rich; Fu, Han; Gaythorpe, Katy AM; Geidelberg, Lily; Grassly, Nicholas; Haw, David; Hayes, Sarah; Hinsley, Wes; Imai, Natsuko; Jorgensen, David; Knock, Edward; Laydon, Daniel; Mishra, Swapnil; Nedjati-Gilani, Gemma; Okell, Lucy C; Unwin, H Juliette; Verity, Robert; Vollmer, Michaela; Walters, Caroline E; Wang, Haowei; Wang, Yuanrong; Xi, Xiaoyue; Lalloo, David G; Ferguson, Neil M; Ghani, Azra C; (2020) The impact of COVID-19 and strategies for mitigation and suppression in low- and middle-income countries. Science, 369 (6502). pp. 413-422. ISSN 0036-8075 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1126/science.abc0035 Item availability may be restricted.

Yang, Juan; Atkins, Katherine E; Feng, Luzhao; Baguelin, Marc; Wu, Peng; Yan, Han; Lau, Eric HY; Wu, Joseph T; Liu, Yang; Cowling, Benjamin J; +2 more... Jit, Mark; Yu, Hongjie; (2020) Cost-effectiveness of introducing national seasonal influenza vaccination for adults aged 60 years and above in mainland China: a modelling analysis. BMC medicine, 18 (1). 90-. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1186/s12916-020-01545-6

Endo, Akira; van Leeuwen, Edwin; Baguelin, Marc; (2019) Introduction to particle Markov-chain Monte Carlo for disease dynamics modellers. Epidemics, 29. 100363-. ISSN 1755-4365 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.epidem.2019.100363

Hodgson, David; Atkins, Katherine E; Baguelin, Marc; Panovska-Griffiths, Jasmina; Thorrington, Dominic; van Hoek, Albert Jan; Zhao, Hongxin; Fragaszy, Ellen; Hayward, Andrew C; Pebody, Richard; (2019) Estimates for quality of life loss due to Respiratory Syncytial Virus. Influenza Other Respir Viruses, 14 (1). pp. 19-27. ISSN 1750-2640 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/irv.12686

Mendes, D; (2019) The Impact and Cost-Effectiveness of Cervical Screening Strategies in Portugal. PhD (research paper style) thesis, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine. DOI: https://doi.org/10.17037/PUBS.04652999

Panovska-Griffiths, Jasmina; Grieco, Luca; van Leeuwen, Edwin; Baguelin, Marc; Pebody, Richard; Utley, Martin; (2019) Are we prepared for the next influenza pandemic? Lessons from modelling different preparedness policies against four pandemic scenarios. Journal of Theoretical Biology, 481. pp. 223-232. ISSN 0022-5193 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jtbi.2019.05.003

Robert, Alexis; Camacho, Anton; Edmunds, W John; Baguelin, Marc; Muyembe Tamfum, Jean-Jacques; Rosello, Alicia; Kéïta, Sakoba; Eggo, Rosalind M; (2019) Control of Ebola virus disease outbreaks: Comparison of health care worker-targeted and community vaccination strategies. Epidemics, 27. pp. 106-114. ISSN 1755-4365 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.epidem.2019.03.001

Kombe, Ivy K; Munywoki, Patrick K; Baguelin, Marc; Nokes, D James; Medley, Graham F; (2018) Model-based estimates of transmission of respiratory syncytial virus within households. Epidemics, 27. pp. 1-11. ISSN 1755-4365 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.epidem.2018.12.001

Opatowski, Lulla; Baguelin, Marc; Eggo, Rosalind M; (2018) Influenza Interaction with Cocirculating Pathogens, and Its Impact on Surveillance, Pathogenesis and Epidemic Profile: A Key Role for Mathematical Modeling. PLoS Pathogens, 14 (2). ISSN 1553-7366 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1101/203265

Opatowski, Lulla; Baguelin, Marc; Eggo, Rosalind M; (2018) Influenza interaction with cocirculating pathogens and its impact on surveillance, pathogenesis, and epidemic profile: A key role for mathematical modelling. PLoS pathogens, 14 (2). e1006770-. ISSN 1553-7366 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.ppat.1006770

Hodgson, David; Baguelin, Marc; van Leeuwen, Edwin; Panovska-Griffiths, Jasmina; Ramsay, Mary; Pebody, Richard; Atkins, Katherine E; (2017) Effect of mass paediatric influenza vaccination on existing influenza vaccination programmes in England and Wales: a modelling and cost-effectiveness analysis. The lancet Public health, 2 (2). e74-e81. ISSN 2468-2667 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/S2468-2667(16)30044-5

Houlihan, Catherine F; McGowan, Catherine R; Dicks, Steve; Baguelin, Marc; Moore, David AJ; Mabey, David; Roberts, Chrissy H; Kumar, Alex; Samuel, Dhan; Tedder, Richard; +1 more... Glynn, Judith R; (2017) Ebola exposure, illness experience, and Ebola antibody prevalence in international responders to the West African Ebola epidemic 2014-2016: A cross-sectional study. PLoS medicine, 14 (5). e1002300-. ISSN 1549-1277 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pmed.1002300

Kucharski, Adam J; Baguelin, Marc; (2017) The role of human immunity and social behavior in shaping influenza evolution. PLoS pathogens, 13 (8). e1006432-. ISSN 1553-7366 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.ppat.1006432

Mendes, Diana; Mesher, David; Pista, Angela; Baguelin, Marc; Jit, Mark; (2017) Understanding differences in cervical cancer incidence in Western Europe: comparing Portugal and England. European journal of public health, 28 (2). pp. 343-347. ISSN 1101-1262 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1093/eurpub/ckx176

Thorrington, Dominic; van Leeuwen, Edwin; Ramsay, Mary; Pebody, Richard; Baguelin, Marc; (2017) Cost-effectiveness analysis of quadrivalent seasonal influenza vaccines in England. BMC medicine, 15 (1). 166-. ISSN 1741-7015 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1186/s12916-017-0932-3

Yuan, Hsiang-Yu; Baguelin, Marc; Kwok, Kin O; Arinaminpathy, Nimalan; van Leeuwen, Edwin; Riley, Steven; (2017) The impact of stratified immunity on the transmission dynamics of influenza. Epidemics, 20. pp. 84-93. ISSN 1755-4365 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.epidem.2017.03.003

Zhang, Xu-Sheng; Pebody, Richard; Charlett, Andre; de Angelis, Daniela; Birrell, Paul; Kang, Hunseok; Baguelin, Marc; Choi, Yoon Hong; (2017) Estimating and modelling the transmissibility of Middle East Respiratory Syndrome CoronaVirus during the 2015 outbreak in the Republic of Korea. INFLUENZA AND OTHER RESPIRATORY VIRUSES, 11 (5). pp. 434-444. ISSN 1750-2640 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/irv.12467

van Leeuwen, Edwin; Klepac, Petra; Thorrington, Dominic; Pebody, Richard; Baguelin, Marc; (2017) fluEvidenceSynthesis: An R package for evidence synthesis based analysis of epidemiological outbreaks. PLoS computational biology, 13 (11). e1005838-. ISSN 1553-734X DOI: https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1005838

Atkins, Katherine; van Hoek, Albert Jan; Watson, Conall; Baguelin, Marc; Choga, Lethiwe; Patel, Anika; Raj, Thara; Jit, Mark; Griffiths, Ulla; (2016) Seasonal influenza vaccination delivery through community pharmacists in England: evaluation of the London pilot. BMJ open, 6 (2). e009739-. ISSN 2044-6055 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1136/bmjopen-2015-009739

Mbala, Placide; Baguelin, Marc; Ngay, Ipos; Rosello, Alicia; Mulembakani, Prime; Demiris, Nikolaos; Edmunds, W John; Muyembe, Jean-Jacques; (2016) Evaluating the frequency of asymptomatic Ebola virus infection. Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London Series B, Biological sciences, 372 (1721). p. 20160303. ISSN 0962-8436 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1098/rstb.2016.0303 Full text not available from this repository.

Baguelin, Marc; Camacho, Anton; Flasche, Stefan; Edmunds, W John; (2015) Extending the elderly- and risk-group programme of vaccination against seasonal influenza in England and Wales: a cost-effectiveness study. BMC medicine, 13 (1). 236-. ISSN 1741-7015 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1186/s12916-015-0452-y

Brousseau, N; Green, HK; Andrews, N; Pryse, R; Baguelin, M; Sunderland, A; Ellis, J; Pebody, R; (2015) Impact of influenza vaccination on respiratory illness rates in children attending private boarding schools in England, 2013-2014: a cohort study. Epidemiology and infection, 143 (16). pp. 3405-3415. ISSN 0950-2688 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1017/S0950268815000667 Full text not available from this repository.

Camacho, A; Kucharski, A; Aki-Sawyerr, Y; White, MA; Flasche, S; Baguelin, M; Pollington, T; Carney, JR; Glover, R; Smout, E; +3 more... Tiffany, A; Edmunds, WJ; Funk, S; (2015) Temporal changes in ebola transmission in sierra leone and implications for control requirements: A real-time modelling study. PLoS Currents, 7 (OUTBRE). 55052-. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1371/currents.outbreaks.406ae55e83ec0b5193e3085

Camacho, Anton; Kucharski, Adam; Aki-Sawyerr, Yvonne; White, Mark A; Flasche, Stefan; Baguelin, Marc; Pollington, Timothy; Carney, Julia R; Glover, Rebecca; Smout, Elizabeth; +3 more... Tiffany, Amanda; Edmunds, W John; Funk, Sebastian; (2015) Temporal Changes in Ebola Transmission in Sierra Leone and Implications for Control Requirements: a Real-time Modelling Study. PLoS currents, 7. ecurrents.outbreaks.406ae55e83ec0b5193e30856b9235e-. ISSN 2157-3999 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1371/currents.outbreaks.406ae55e83ec0b5193e30856b9235ed2

Kucharski, Adam J; Camacho, Anton; Checchi, Francesco; Waldman, Ron; Grais, Rebecca F; Cabrol, Jean-Clement; Briand, Sylvie; Baguelin, Marc; Flasche, Stefan; Funk, Sebastian; +1 more... Edmunds, W John; (2015) Evaluation of the benefits and risks of introducing Ebola community care centers, Sierra Leone. Emerging infectious diseases, 21 (3). pp. 393-399. ISSN 1080-6040 DOI: https://doi.org/10.3201/eid2103.141892

Rosello, Alicia; Mossoko, Mathias; Flasche, Stefan; Van Hoek, Albert Jan; Mbala, Placide; Camacho, Anton; Funk, Sebastian; Kucharski, Adam; Ilunga, Benoit Kebela; Edmunds, W John; +3 more... Piot, Peter; Baguelin, Marc; Tamfum, Jean-Jacques Muyembe; (2015) Ebola virus disease in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, 1976-2014. eLife, 4 (NOVEMB). ISSN 2050-084X DOI: https://doi.org/10.7554/eLife.09015

Jombart, Thibaut; Aanensen, David M; Baguelin, Marc; Birrell, Paul; Cauchemez, Simon; Camacho, Anton; Colijn, Caroline; Collins, Caitlin; Cori, Anne; Didelot, Xavier; +13 more... Fraser, Christophe; Frost, Simon; Hens, Niel; Hugues, Joseph; Höhle, Michael; Opatowski, Lulla; Rambaut, Andrew; Ratmann, Oliver; Soubeyrand, Samuel; Suchard, Marc A; Wallinga, Jacco; Ypma, Rolf; Ferguson, Neil; (2014) OutbreakTools: a new platform for disease outbreak analysis using the R software. Epidemics, 7 (100). pp. 28-34. ISSN 1755-4365 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.epidem.2014.04.003

LSHTM; (2013) Marc Baguelin - why we should vaccinate children for flu. [Podcast] http://soundcloud.com/lshtm/marc-baguelin-why-we-s...

LSHTM; (2013) LSHTM - October 2013 podcast - Malaria, mental health and flu vaccinations. [Podcast] http://soundcloud.com/lshtm/lshtm-october-2013-pod...

Baguelin, Marc; Flasche, Stefan; Camacho, Anton; Demiris, Nikolaos; Miller, Elizabeth; Edmunds, W John; (2013) Assessing optimal target populations for influenza vaccination programmes: an evidence synthesis and modelling study. PLoS medicine, 10 (10). e1001527-. ISSN 1549-1277 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pmed.1001527

Dureau, Joseph; Kalogeropoulos, Konstantinos; Baguelin, Marc; (2013) Capturing the time-varying drivers of an epidemic using stochastic dynamical systems. Biostatistics (Oxford, England), 14 (3). pp. 541-555. ISSN 1465-4644 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1093/biostatistics/kxs052

Métras, Raphaëlle; Baguelin, Marc; Edmunds, W John; Thompson, Peter N; Kemp, Alan; Pfeiffer, Dirk U; Collins, Lisa M; White, Richard G; (2013) Transmission potential of Rift Valley fever virus over the course of the 2010 epidemic in South Africa. Emerging infectious diseases, 19 (6). pp. 916-924. ISSN 1080-6040 DOI: https://doi.org/10.3201/eid1906.121641

Baguelin, Marc; Jit, Mark; Miller, Elizabeth; Edmunds, William John; (2012) Health and economic impact of the seasonal influenza vaccination programme in England. Vaccine, 30 (23). pp. 3459-3462. ISSN 0264-410X DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.vaccine.2012.03.019 Full text not available from this repository.

Hoschler, Katja; Thompson, Catherine; Andrews, Nick; Galiano, Monica; Pebody, Richard; Ellis, Joanna; Stanford, Elaine; Baguelin, Marc; Miller, Elizabeth; Zambon, Maria; (2012) Seroprevalence of influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 virus antibody, England, 2010 and 2011. Emerging infectious diseases, 18 (11). pp. 1894-1897. ISSN 1080-6040 DOI: https://doi.org/10.3201/eid1811.120720

Hughes, Joseph; Allen, Richard C; Baguelin, Marc; Hampson, Katie; Baillie, Gregory J; Elton, Debra; Newton, J Richard; Kellam, Paul; Wood, James LN; Holmes, Edward C; +1 more... Murcia, Pablo R; (2012) Transmission of equine influenza virus during an outbreak is characterized by frequent mixed infections and loose transmission bottlenecks. PLoS pathogens, 8 (12). e1003081-. ISSN 1553-7366 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.ppat.1003081

Baguelin, Marc; Hoschler, Katja; Stanford, Elaine; Waight, Pauline; Hardelid, Pia; Andrews, Nick; Miller, Elizabeth; (2011) Age-specific incidence of A/H1N1 2009 influenza infection in England from sequential antibody prevalence data using likelihood-based estimation. PloS one, 6 (2). e17074-. ISSN 1932-6203 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0017074

Flasche, Stefan; Hens, Niel; Boëlle, Pierre-Yves; Mossong, Joël; van Ballegooijen, W Marijn; Nunes, Baltazar; Rizzo, Caterina; Popovici, Florin; Santa-Olalla, Patricia; Hrubá, Frantiska; +10 more... Parmakova, Kremena; Baguelin, Marc; van Hoek, Albert Jan; Desenclos, Jean-Claude; Bernillon, Pascale; Cámara, Amparro Larrauri; Wallinga, Jacco; Asikainen, Tommi; White, Peter J; Edmunds, W John; (2011) Different transmission patterns in the early stages of the influenza A(H1N1)v pandemic: a comparative analysis of 12 European countries. Epidemics, 3 (2). pp. 125-133. ISSN 1755-4365 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.epidem.2011.03.005

House, Thomas; Baguelin, Marc; Van Hoek, Albert Jan; White, Peter J; Sadique, Zia; Eames, Ken; Read, Jonathan M; Hens, Niel; Melegaro, Alessia; Edmunds, W John; +1 more... Keeling, Matt J; (2011) Modelling the impact of local reactive school closures on critical care provision during an influenza pandemic. Proceedings Biological sciences / The Royal Society, 278 (1719). pp. 2753-2760. ISSN 0962-8452 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1098/rspb.2010.2688

Baguelin, M; Newton, JR; Demiris, N; Daly, J; Mumford, JA; Wood, JLN; (2010) Control of equine influenza: scenario testing using a realistic metapopulation model of spread. Journal of the Royal Society, Interface / the Royal Society, 7 (42). pp. 67-79. ISSN 1742-5689 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1098/rsif.2009.0030 Full text not available from this repository.

Baguelin, Marc; Hoek, Albert Jan Van; Jit, Mark; Flasche, Stefan; White, Peter J; Edmunds, W John; (2010) Vaccination against pandemic influenza A/H1N1v in England: a real-time economic evaluation. Vaccine, 28 (12). pp. 2370-2384. ISSN 0264-410X DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.vaccine.2010.01.002 Full text not available from this repository.

Hardelid, P; Andrews, NJ; Hoschler, K; Stanford, E; Baguelin, M; Waight, PA; Zambon, M; Miller, E; (2010) Assessment of baseline age-specific antibody prevalence and incidence of infection to novel influenza A/H1N1 2009. Health technology assessment (Winchester, England), 14 (55). pp. 115-192. ISSN 1366-5278 DOI: https://doi.org/10.3310/hta14550-03

Jit, Mark; Cromer, Deborah; Baguelin, Marc; Stowe, Julia; Andrews, Nick; Miller, Elizabeth; (2010) The cost-effectiveness of vaccinating pregnant women against seasonal influenza in England and Wales. Vaccine, 29 (1). pp. 115-122. ISSN 0264-410X DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.vaccine.2010.08.078

Ghani, Azra; Baguelin, Marc; Griffin, Jamie; Flasche, Stefan; van Hoek, Albert Jan; Cauchemez, Simon; Donnelly, Christl; Robertson, Chris; White, Michael; Truscott, James; +8 more... Fraser, Christophe; Garske, Tini; White, Peter; Leach, Steve; Hall, Ian; Jenkins, Helen; Ferguson, Neil; Cooper, Ben; (2009) The Early Transmission Dynamics of H1N1pdm Influenza in the United Kingdom. PLoS currents, 1 (JUN). RRN1130-. ISSN 2157-3999 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1371/currents.RRN1130

House, Thomas; Baguelin, Marc; van Hoek, Albert Jan; Flasche, Stefan; White, Peter; Sadique, Md Zia; Eames, Ken; Read, Jonathan; Hens, Niel; Melegaro, Alessia; +1 more... Keeling, Matt; (2009) Can reactive school closures help critical care provision during the current influenza pandemic? PLoS currents, 1 (OCT). RRN1119-. ISSN 2157-3999 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1371/currents.rrn1119