Flueckiger, Rebecca Mann; Giorgi, Emanuele; Cano, Jorge; Abdala, Mariamo; Amiel, Olga Nelson; Baayenda, Gilbert; Bakhtiari, Ana; Batcho, Wilfrid; Bennawi, Kamal Hashim; Dejene, Michael; +18 more... Elshafie, Balgesa Elkheir; Elvis, Aba Ange; François, Missamou; Goepogui, André; Kalua, Khumbo; Kebede, Biruck; Kiflu, Genet; Masika, Michael P; Massangaie, Marilia; Mpyet, Caleb; Ndjemba, Jean; Ngondi, Jeremiah M; Olobio, Nicholas; Turyaguma, Patrick; Willis, Rebecca; Yeo, Souleymane; Solomon, Anthony W; Pullan, Rachel L; (2019) Understanding the spatial distribution of trichiasis and its association with trachomatous inflammation-follicular. BMC infectious diseases, 19 (1). 364-. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1186/s12879-019-3935-1
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Abstract
BACKGROUND: Whilst previous work has identified clustering of the active trachoma sign "trachomatous inflammation-follicular" (TF), there is limited understanding of the spatial structure of trachomatous trichiasis (TT), the rarer, end-stage, blinding form of disease. Here we use community-level TF prevalence, information on access to water and sanitation, and large-scale environmental and socio-economic indicators to model the spatial variation in community-level TT prevalence in Benin, Cote d'Ivoire, DRC, Guinea, Ethiopia, Malawi, Mozambique, Nigeria, Sudan and Uganda. METHODS: We fit binomial mixed models, with community-level random effects, separately for each country. In countries where spatial correlation was detected through a semi-variogram diagnostic check we then fitted a geostatistical model to the TT prevalence data including TF prevalence as an explanatory variable. RESULTS: The estimated regression relationship between community-level TF and TT was significant in eight countries. We estimate that a 10% increase in community-level TF prevalence leads to an increase in the odds for TT ranging from 20 to 86% when accounting for additional covariates. CONCLUSION: We find evidence of an association between TF and TT in some parts of Africa. However, our results also suggest the presence of additional, country-specific, spatial risk factors which modulate the variation in TT risk.
Item Type | Article |
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Faculty and Department | Faculty of Infectious and Tropical Diseases > Dept of Disease Control |
PubMed ID | 31039737 |
Elements ID | 128696 |