Contribution of changes in incidence and mortality to trends in the prevalence of coronary heart disease in the UK: 1996 2005.


Davies, AR; Smeeth, L; Grundy, EM; (2007) Contribution of changes in incidence and mortality to trends in the prevalence of coronary heart disease in the UK: 1996 2005. European heart journal, 28 (17). pp. 2142-7. ISSN 0195-668X DOI: https://doi.org/10.1093/eurheartj/ehm272

Full text not available from this repository. (Request a copy)

Abstract

Aims To assess how trends in the incidence of coronary heart disease (CHD) and mortality rates among people with CHD have affected the prevalence of CHD in the UK. Methods and results A time trend analysis using computerized general practice clinical records of people aged 35 years and over was performed. From 1996 to 2005, age-standardized incidence of CHD decreased by 2.2% in men and 2.3% in women per year (average percentage change). Age-standardized all-cause mortality among those with CHD decreased by 4.5% in men and 3.4% in women per year (average percentage change). Age-standardized prevalence increased by 1.3% in men and 1.7% in women per year (average percentage change). Although the decline in incidence had some impact on limiting the increase in prevalence, its effect was offset by the increase in prevalence occurring as a result of improved survival among people with CHD. Conclusion The results suggest that increasing prevalence is largely due to decreasing mortality among people with CHD. Further increases in prevalence are likely even if the incidence of CHD continues to fall.

Item Type: Article
Faculty and Department: Faculty of Epidemiology and Population Health > Dept of Population Health (2012- ) > Dept of Population Studies (1974-2012)
Faculty of Epidemiology and Population Health > Dept of Population Health (2012- )
Faculty of Epidemiology and Population Health > Dept of Non-Communicable Disease Epidemiology
Research Centre: Centre for Global Non-Communicable Diseases (NCDs)
PubMed ID: 17636307
Web of Science ID: 249763800017
URI: http://researchonline.lshtm.ac.uk/id/eprint/9372

Statistics


Download activity - last 12 months
Downloads since deposit
0Downloads
301Hits
Accesses by country - last 12 months
Accesses by referrer - last 12 months
Impact and interest
Additional statistics for this record are available via IRStats2

Actions (login required)

Edit Item Edit Item