Research Centres (26996)

Centre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases (1222) Month Authors/Creators Item Type Full Text

A

Desirable BUGS in models of infectious diseases. (2019) Auzenbergs, Megan; Correia-Gomes, Carla; Economou, Theo; Lowe, Rachel; O'Reilly, Kathleen M

Genomic analysis of respiratory syncytial virus infections in households and utility in inferring who infects the infant. (2019) Agoti, Charles N; Phan, My VT; Munywoki, Patrick K; Githinji, George; Medley, Graham F; Cane, Patricia A; Kellam, Paul; Cotten, Matthew; Nokes, D James

Ross River Virus Antibody Prevalence, Fiji Islands, 2013-2015. (2019) Aubry, Maite; Kama, Mike; Vanhomwegen, Jessica; Teissier, Anita; Mariteragi-Helle, Teheipuaura; Hue, Stephane; Hibberd, Martin L; Manuguerra, Jean-Claude; Christi, Ketan; Watson, Conall H; Nilles, Eric J; Lau, Colleen L; Aaskov, John; Musso, Didier; Kucharski, Adam J; Cao-Lormeau, Van-Mai

B

The first local cases of Zika virus in Europe. (2019) Brady, Oliver J; Hay, Simon I

The Global Expansion of Dengue: How Aedes aegypti Mosquitoes Enabled the First Pandemic Arbovirus. (2019) Brady, Oliver J; Hay, Simon I picture_as_pdf

Nosocomial transmission of influenza: A retrospective cross-sectional study using next generation sequencing at a hospital in England (2012-2014). (2019) Blackburn, Ruth M; Frampton, Dan; Smith, Catherine M; Fragaszy, Ellen B; Watson, Simon J; Ferns, R Bridget; Binter, Špela; Coen, Pietro G; Grant, Paul; Shallcross, Laura J; Kozlakidis, Zisis; Pillay, Deenan; Kellam, Paul; Hué, Stéphane; Nastouli, Eleni; Hayward, Andrew C; ICONIC group

An online decision tree for vaccine efficacy trial design during infectious disease epidemics: The InterVax-Tool. (2019) Bellan, Steven E; Eggo, Rosalind M; Gsell, Pierre-Stéphane; Kucharski, Adam J; Dean, Natalie E; Donohue, Richard; Zook, Matt; Edmunds, W John; Odhiambo, Frank; Longini, Ira M; Brisson, Marc; Mahon, Barbara E; Henao-Restrepo, Ana Maria

Mapping the emerging burden of dengue. (2019) Brady, Oliver

Clinical impact and cost-effectiveness of primary cytology versus human papillomavirus testing for cervical cancer screening in England. (2019) Bains, Irenjeet; Choi, Yoon Hong; Soldan, Kate; Jit, Mark

The association between Zika virus infection and microcephaly in Brazil 2015-2017: An observational analysis of over 4 million births. (2019) Brady, Oliver J; Osgood-Zimmerman, Aaron; Kassebaum, Nicholas J; Ray, Sarah E; de Araújo, Valdelaine EM; da Nóbrega, Aglaêr A; Frutuoso, Livia CV; Lecca, Roberto CR; Stevens, Antony; Zoca de Oliveira, Bruno; de Lima, José M; Bogoch, Isaac I; Mayaud, Philippe; Jaenisch, Thomas; Mokdad, Ali H; Murray, Christopher JL; Hay, Simon I; Reiner, Robert C; Marinho, Fatima

C

Impact of Changes in Detection Effort on Control of Visceral Leishmaniasis in the Indian Subcontinent. (2019) Coffeng, Luc E; Le Rutte, Epke A; Muñoz, Johanna; Adams, Emily R; Prada, Joaquin M; de Vlas, Sake J; Medley, Graham F

HPV-FRAME: A consensus statement and quality framework for modelled evaluations of HPV-related cancer control. (2019) Canfell, Karen; Kim, Jane J; Kulasingam, Shalini; Berkhof, Johannes; Barnabas, Ruanne; Bogaards, Johannes A; Campos, Nicole; Jennett, Chloe; Sharma, Monisha; Simms, Kate T; Smith, Megan A; Velentzis, Louiza S; Brisson, Marc; Jit, Mark

Development, environmental degradation, and disease spread in the Brazilian Amazon. (2019) Castro, Marcia C; Baeza, Andres; Codeço, Cláudia Torres; Cucunubá, Zulma M; Dal'Asta, Ana Paula; De Leo, Giulio A; Dobson, Andrew P; Carrasco-Escobar, Gabriel; Lana, Raquel Martins; Lowe, Rachel; Monteiro, Antonio Miguel Vieira; Pascual, Mercedes; Santos-Vega, Mauricio

Estimating contact-adjusted immunity levels against measles in South Korea and prospects for maintaining elimination status. (2019) Chun, June Young; Park, Wan Beom; Kim, Nam Joong; Choi, Eun Hwa; Funk, Sebastian; Oh, Myoung-Don

Varicella vaccine dose depended effectiveness and waning among preschool children in Hong Kong. (2019) Chan, Yung-Wai Desmond; Edmunds, W John; Chan, Hong-Lam; Wong, Miu-Ling; Au, Ka-Wing Albert; Chuang, Shuk-Kwan; van Hoek, Albert Jan; Flasche, Stefan

Spatio-temporal dynamics of dengue in Brazil: Seasonal travelling waves and determinants of regional synchrony. (2019) Churakov, Mikhail; Villabona-Arenas, Christian J; Kraemer, Moritz UG; Salje, Henrik; Cauchemez, Simon

Using data analysis and mathematical modelling to study tuberculosis contact tracing in London, with reference to the national strategy and guidance. (2019) Cavany, SM

Efficacy of live oral rotavirus vaccines by duration of follow-up: a meta-regression of randomised controlled trials. (2019) Clark, Andrew; van Zandvoort, Kevin; Flasche, Stefan; Sanderson, Colin; Bines, Julie; Tate, Jacqueline; Parashar, Umesh; Jit, Mark

D

Mapping the global distribution of podoconiosis: Applying an evidence consensus approach. (2019) Deribe, Kebede; Simpson, Hope; Cano, Jorge; Pigott, David M; Weaver, Nicole Davis; Cromwell, Elizabeth A; Brady, Oliver J; Pullan, Rachel L; Noor, Abdisalan M; Argaw, Daniel; Murray, Christopher JL; Brooker, Simon J; Hay, Simon I; Newport, Melanie J; Davey, Gail

Guidelines for multi-model comparisons of the impact of infectious disease interventions. (2019) den Boon, Saskia; Jit, Mark; Brisson, Marc; Medley, Graham; Beutels, Philippe; White, Richard; Flasche, Stefan; Hollingsworth, T Déirdre; Garske, Tini; Pitzer, Virginia E; Hoogendoorn, Martine; Geffen, Oliver; Clark, Andrew; Kim, Jane; Hutubessy, Raymond

Estimating Long-term Tuberculosis Reactivation Rates in Australian Migrants. (2019) Dale, Katie D; Trauer, James M; Dodd, Peter J; Houben, Rein MGJ; Denholm, Justin T

Assessing the cost-effectiveness of HPV vaccination strategies for adolescent girls and boys in the UK. (2019) Datta, Samik; Pink, Joshua; Medley, Graham F; Petrou, Stavros; Staniszewska, Sophie; Underwood, Martin; Sonnenberg, Pam; Keeling, Matt J

Equity, economic evaluation, and disease transmission modelling – 26-27th March 2018: Pre-meeting reviews. (2019) Drake, Tom; Medley, Graham; Vassall, Anna; Gomez, Gabriella

E

Fine-scale family structure shapes influenza transmission risk in households: Insights from primary schools in Matsumoto city, 2014/15. (2019) Endo, Akira; Uchida, Mitsuo; Kucharski, Adam J; Funk, Sebastian

F

Choices and trade-offs in inference with infectious disease models. (2019) Funk, Sebastian; King, Aaron A

Estimating the proportion of vaccine-induced hospitalized dengue cases among Dengvaxia vaccinees in the Philippines. (2019) Flasche, Stefan; Wilder-Smith, Annelies; Hombach, Joachim; Smith, Peter G

Space-time dynamics of a triple epidemic: dengue, chikungunya and Zika clusters in the city of Rio de Janeiro. (2019) Freitas, Laís Picinini; Cruz, Oswaldo Gonçalves; Lowe, Rachel; Sá Carvalho, Marilia

Combining serological and contact data to derive target immunity levels for achieving and maintaining measles elimination. (2019) Funk, Sebastian; Knapp, Jennifer K; Lebo, Emmaculate; Reef, Susan E; Dabbagh, Alya J; Kretsinger, Katrina; Jit, Mark; Edmunds, W John; Strebel, Peter M

Real-time analysis of the diphtheria outbreak in forcibly displaced Myanmar nationals in Bangladesh. (2019) Finger, Flavio; Funk, Sebastian; White, Kate; Siddiqui, M Ruby; Edmunds, W John; Kucharski, Adam J

Assessing the performance of real-time epidemic forecasts: A case study of Ebola in the Western Area region of Sierra Leone, 2014-15. (2019) Funk, Sebastian; Camacho, Anton; Kucharski, Adam J; Lowe, Rachel; Eggo, Rosalind M; Edmunds, W John

G

Is modelling complexity always needed? Insights from modelling PrEP introduction in South Africa. (2019) Grant, Hannah; Foss, Anna M; Watts, Charlotte; Medley, Graham F; Mukandavire, Zindoga

Factors Associated With Measles Transmission in the United States During the Postelimination Era. (2019) Gastañaduy, Paul A; Funk, Sebastian; Lopman, Benjamin A; Rota, Paul A; Gambhir, Manoj; Grenfell, Bryan; Paul, Prabasaj

H

The effect of time since measles vaccination and age at first dose on measles vaccine effectiveness - A systematic review. (2019) Hughes, Stephanie L; Bolotin, Shelly; Khan, Sumaiya; Li, Ye; Johnson, Caitlin; Friedman, Lindsay; Tricco, Andrea C; Hahné, Susan JM; Heffernan, Jane M; Dabbagh, Alya; Durrheim, David N; Orenstein, Walter A; Moss, William J; Jit, Mark; Crowcroft, Natasha S

Estimates for quality of life loss due to Respiratory Syncytial Virus. (2019) Hodgson, David; Atkins, Katherine E; Baguelin, Marc; Panovska-Griffiths, Jasmina; Thorrington, Dominic; van Hoek, Albert Jan; Zhao, Hongxin; Fragaszy, Ellen; Hayward, Andrew C; Pebody, Richard

A Systematic Review of Social Contact Surveys to Inform Transmission Models of Close-contact Infections. (2019) Hoang, Thang; Coletti, Pietro; Melegaro, Alessia; Wallinga, Jacco; Grijalva, Carlos G; Edmunds, John W; Beutels, Philippe; Hens, Niel

Application of provincial data in mathematical modelling to inform sub-national tuberculosis program decision-making in South Africa. (2019) Hippner, Piotr; Sumner, Tom; Houben, Rein Mgj; Cardenas, Vicky; Vassall, Anna; Bozzani, Fiammetta; Mudzengi, Don; Mvusi, Lindiwe; Churchyard, Gavin; White, Richard G

Spotting the old foe-revisiting the case definition for TB. (2019) Houben, Rein MGJ; Esmail, Hanif; Emery, Jon C; Joslyn, Louis R; McQuaid, C Finn; Menzies, Nicolas A; Sanz, Joaquín; Shrestha, Sourya; White, Richard G; Yang, Chongguang; Cobelens, Frank

J

An open challenge to advance probabilistic forecasting for dengue epidemics. (2019) Johansson, Michael A; Apfeldorf, Karyn M; Dobson, Scott; Devita, Jason; Buczak, Anna L; Baugher, Benjamin; Moniz, Linda J; Bagley, Thomas; Babin, Steven M; Guven, Erhan; Yamana, Teresa K; Shaman, Jeffrey; Moschou, Terry; Lothian, Nick; Lane, Aaron; Osborne, Grant; Jiang, Gao; Brooks, Logan C; Farrow, David C; Hyun, Sangwon; Tibshirani, Ryan J; Rosenfeld, Roni; Lessler, Justin; Reich, Nicholas G; Cummings, Derek AT; Lauer, Stephen A; Moore, Sean M; Clapham, Hannah E; Lowe, Rachel; Bailey, Trevor C; García-Díez, Markel; Carvalho, Marilia Sá; Rodó, Xavier; Sardar, Tridip; Paul, Richard; Ray, Evan L; Sakrejda, Krzysztof; Brown, Alexandria C; Meng, Xi; Osoba, Osonde; Vardavas, Raffaele; Manheim, David; Moore, Melinda; Rao, Dhananjai M; Porco, Travis C; Ackley, Sarah; Liu, Fengchen; Worden, Lee; Convertino, Matteo; Liu, Yang; Reddy, Abraham; Ortiz, Eloy; Rivero, Jorge; Brito, Humberto; Juarrero, Alicia; Johnson, Leah R; Gramacy, Robert B; Cohen, Jeremy M; Mordecai, Erin A; Murdock, Courtney C; Rohr, Jason R; Ryan, Sadie J; Stewart-Ibarra, Anna M; Weikel, Daniel P; Jutla, Antarpreet; Khan, Rakibul; Poultney, Marissa; Colwell, Rita R; Rivera-García, Brenda; Barker, Christopher M; Bell, Jesse E; Biggerstaff, Matthew; Swerdlow, David; Mier-Y-Teran-Romero, Luis; Forshey, Brett M; Trtanj, Juli; Asher, Jason; Clay, Matt; Margolis, Harold S; Hebbeler, Andrew M; George, Dylan; Chretien, Jean-Paul

Spatial Effects of Permethrin-Impregnated Bed Nets on Child Mortality: 26 Years on, a Spatial Reanalysis of a Cluster Randomized Trial. (2019) Jarvis, Christopher I; Multerer, Lea; Lewis, Daniel; Binka, Fred; Edmunds, W John; Alexander, Neal; Smith, Thomas A

The role of pneumococcal conjugate vaccination in reducing pneumonia mortality. (2019) Jit, Mark; Flasche, Stefan

K

Mathematical modelling for antibiotic resistance control policy: do we know enough? (2019) Knight, Gwenan M; Davies, Nicholas G; Colijn, Caroline; Coll, Francesc; Donker, Tjibbe; Gifford, Danna R; Glover, Rebecca E; Jit, Mark; Klemm, Elizabeth; Lehtinen, Sonja; Lindsay, Jodi A; Lipsitch, Marc; Llewelyn, Martin J; Mateus, Ana LP; Robotham, Julie V; Sharland, Mike; Stekel, Dov; Yakob, Laith; Atkins, Katherine E

Factors Affecting Pre-Travel Health Seeking Behaviour and Adherence to Pre-Travel Health Advice: A Systematic Review. (2019) Kain, Dylan; Findlater, Aidan; Lightfoot, David; Maxim, Timea; Kraemer, Moritz UG; Brady, Oliver J; Watts, Alexander; Khan, Kamran; Bogoch, Isaac I

Sustained Low-Level Transmission of Zika and Chikungunya Viruses after Emergence in the Fiji Islands. (2019) Kama, Mike; Aubry, Maite; Naivalu, Taina; Vanhomwegen, Jessica; Mariteragi-Helle, Teheipuaura; Teissier, Anita; Paoaafaite, Tuterarii; Hué, Stéphane; Hibberd, Martin L; Manuguerra, Jean-Claude; Christi, Ketan; Watson, Conall H; Nilles, Eric J; Aaskov, John; Lau, Colleen L; Musso, Didier; Kucharski, Adam J; Cao-Lormeau, Van-Mai

Global burden of latent multidrug-resistant tuberculosis: trends and estimates based on mathematical modelling. (2019) Knight, Gwenan M; McQuaid, C Finn; Dodd, Peter J; Houben, Rein MGJ

Unsupervised extraction of epidemic syndromes from participatory influenza surveillance self-reported symptoms. (2019) Kalimeri, Kyriaki; Delfino, Matteo; Cattuto, Ciro; Perrotta, Daniela; Colizza, Vittoria; Guerrisi, Caroline; Turbelin, Clement; Duggan, Jim; Edmunds, John; Obi, Chinelo; Pebody, Richard; Franco, Ana O; Moreno, Yamir; Meloni, Sandro; Koppeschaar, Carl; Kjelsø, Charlotte; Mexia, Ricardo; Paolotti, Daniela

Utilizing general human movement models to predict the spread of emerging infectious diseases in resource poor settings. (2019) Kraemer, MUG; Golding, N; Bisanzio, D; Bhatt, S; Pigott, DM; Ray, SE; Brady, OJ; Brownstein, JS; Faria, NR; Cummings, DAT; Pybus, OG; Smith, DL; Tatem, AJ; Hay, SI; Reiner, RC

Past and future spread of the arbovirus vectors Aedes aegypti and Aedes albopictus. (2019) Kraemer, Moritz UG; Reiner, Robert C; Brady, Oliver J; Messina, Jane P; Gilbert, Marius; Pigott, David M; Yi, Dingdong; Johnson, Kimberly; Earl, Lucas; Marczak, Laurie B; Shirude, Shreya; Davis Weaver, Nicole; Bisanzio, Donal; Perkins, T Alex; Lai, Shengjie; Lu, Xin; Jones, Peter; Coelho, Giovanini E; Carvalho, Roberta G; Van Bortel, Wim; Marsboom, Cedric; Hendrickx, Guy; Schaffner, Francis; Moore, Chester G; Nax, Heinrich H; Bengtsson, Linus; Wetter, Erik; Tatem, Andrew J; Brownstein, John S; Smith, David L; Lambrechts, Louis; Cauchemez, Simon; Linard, Catherine; Faria, Nuno R; Pybus, Oliver G; Scott, Thomas W; Liu, Qiyong; Yu, Hongjie; Wint, GR William; Hay, Simon I; Golding, Nick description

L

The global impact and cost-effectiveness of a melioidosis vaccine. (2019) Luangasanatip, Nantasit; Flasche, Stefan; Dance, David AB; Limmathurotsakul, Direk; Currie, Bart J; Mukhopadhyay, Chiranjay; Atkins, Tim; Titball, Richard; Jit, Mark

Mathematical modelling to study the horizontal transfer of antimicrobial resistance genes in bacteria: current state of the field and recommendations. (2019) Leclerc, Quentin J; Lindsay, Jodi A; Knight, Gwenan M

Estimating the health impact of vaccination against 10 pathogens in 98 low and middle income countries from 2000 to 2030. (2019) Li, Xiang; Mukandavire, Christinah; Cucunubá, Zulma M; Abbas, Kaja; Clapham, Hannah E; Jit, Mark; Johnson, Hope L; Papadopoulos, Timos; Vynnycky, Emilia; Brisson, Marc; Carter, Emily D; Clark, Andrew; de Villiers, Margaret J; Eilertson, Kirsten; Ferrari, Matthew J; Gamkrelidze, Ivane; Gaythorpe, Katy; Grassly, Nicholas C; Hallett, Timothy B; Jackson, Michael L; Jean, Kévin; Karachaliou, Andromachi; Klepac, Petra; Lessler, Justin; Li, Xi; Moore, Sean M; Nayagam, Shevanthi; Nguyen, Duy Manh; Razavi, Homie; Razavi-Shearer, Devin; Resch, Stephen; Sanderson, Colin; Sweet, Steven; Sy, Stephen; Tam, Yvonne; Tanvir, Hira; Tran, Quan Minh; Trotter, Caroline L; Truelove, Shaun; van Zandvoort, Kevin; Verguet, Stéphane; Walker, Neff; Winter, Amy; Ferguson, Neil M description

Cost-effectiveness of bivalent versus monovalent vaccines against hand, foot and mouth disease. (2019) Liu, D; Leung, K; Jit, M; Yu, H; Yang, J; Liao, Q; Liu, F; Zheng, Y; Wu, JT

Quantifying the public's view on social value judgments in vaccine decision-making: A discrete choice experiment. (2019) Luyten, Jeroen; Kessels, Roselinde; Atkins, Katherine E; Jit, Mark; van Hoek, Albert Jan

M

Vaccine schedules and the effect on humoral and intestinal immunity against poliovirus: a systematic review and network meta-analysis. (2019) Macklin, Grace R; Grassly, Nicholas C; Sutter, Roland W; Mach, Ondrej; Bandyopadhyay, Ananda S; Edmunds, W John; O'Reilly, Kathleen M

Tuberculosis from transmission in clinics in high HIV settings may be far higher than contact data suggest. (2019) McCreesh, N; Grant, AD; Yates, TA; Karat, AS; White, RG

Modeling household dynamics on Respiratory Syncytial Virus (RSV). (2019) Mahikul, Wiriya; J White, Lisa; Poovorawan, Kittiyod; Soonthornworasiri, Ngamphol; Sukontamarn, Pataporn; Chanthavilay, Phetsavanh; F Medley, Graham; Pan-Ngum, Wirichada

A Population Dynamic Model to Assess the Diabetes Screening and Reporting Programs and Project the Burden of Undiagnosed Diabetes in Thailand. (2019) Mahikul, Wiriya; White, Lisa J; Poovorawan, Kittiyod; Soonthornworasiri, Ngamphol; Sukontamarn, Pataporn; Chanthavilay, Phetsavanh; Pan-Ngum, Wirichada; Medley, Graham F

The current and future global distribution and population at risk of dengue. (2019) Messina, Jane P; Brady, Oliver J; Golding, Nick; Kraemer, Moritz UG; Wint, GR William; Ray, Sarah E; Pigott, David M; Shearer, Freya M; Johnson, Kimberly; Earl, Lucas; Marczak, Laurie B; Shirude, Shreya; Davis Weaver, Nicole; Gilbert, Marius; Velayudhan, Raman; Jones, Peter; Jaenisch, Thomas; Scott, Thomas W; Reiner, Robert C; Hay, Simon I

Modelling population dynamics and seasonal movement to assess and predict the burden of melioidosis. (2019) Mahikul, Wiriya; White, Lisa J; Poovorawan, Kittiyod; Soonthornworasiri, Ngamphol; Sukontamarn, Pataporn; Chanthavilay, Phetsavanh; Medley, Graham F; Pan-Ngum, Wirichada

Estimating age-mixing patterns relevant for the transmission of airborne infections. (2019) McCreesh, Nicky; Morrow, Carl; Middelkoop, Keren; Wood, Robin; White, Richard G

N

The impact of vector migration on the effectiveness of strategies to control gambiense human African trypanosomiasis. (2019) Ndeffo-Mbah, Martial L; Pandey, Abhishek; Atkins, Katherine E; Aksoy, Serap; Galvani, Alison P

Insights from mathematical modelling and quantitative analysis on the proposed WHO 2030 targets for visceral leishmaniasis on the Indian subcontinent. (2019) NTD Modelling Consortium Visceral Leishmaniasis Group

Associations between ethnicity, social contact, and pneumococcal carriage three years post-PCV10 in Fiji. (2019) Neal, Eleanor FG; Flasche, Stefan; Nguyen, Cattram D; Ratu, F Tupou; Dunne, Eileen M; Koyamaibole, Lanieta; Reyburn, Rita; Rafai, Eric; Kama, Mike; Ortika, Belinda D; Boelsen, Laura K; Kado, Joseph; Tikoduadua, Lisi; Devi, Rachel; Tuivaga, Evelyn; Satzke, Catherine; Mulholland, E Kim; Edmunds, W John; Russell, Fiona M

The health and cost burden of antibiotic resistant and susceptible Escherichia coli bacteraemia in the English hospital setting: A national retrospective cohort study. (2019) Naylor, Nichola R; Pouwels, Koen B; Hope, Russell; Green, Nathan; Henderson, Katherine L; Knight, Gwenan M; Atun, Rifat; Robotham, Julie V; Deeny, Sarah R

Insights from quantitative and mathematical modelling on the proposed WHO 2030 goal for schistosomiasis. (2019) NTD Modelling Consortium Schistosomiasis Group

O

Estimating the burden of dengue and the impact of release of wMel Wolbachia-infected mosquitoes in Indonesia: a modelling study. (2019) O'Reilly, Kathleen M; Hendrickx, Emilie; Kharisma, Dinar D; Wilastonegoro, Nandyan N; Carrington, Lauren B; Elyazar, Iqbal RF; Kucharski, Adam J; Lowe, Rachel; Flasche, Stefan; Pigott, David M; Reiner, Robert C; Edmunds, W John; Hay, Simon I; Yakob, Laith; Shepard, Donald S; Brady, Oliver J

Sustaining pneumococcal vaccination after transitioning from Gavi support: a modelling and cost-effectiveness study in Kenya. (2019) Ojal, John; Griffiths, Ulla; Hammitt, Laura L; Adetifa, Ifedayo; Akech, Donald; Tabu, Collins; Scott, J Anthony G; Flasche, Stefan

MVSE: An R-package that estimates a climate-driven mosquito-borne viral suitability index. (2019) Obolski, Uri; Perez, Pablo N; Villabona-Arenas, Christian J; Thézé, Julien; Faria, Nuno R; Lourenço, José

Investigating the blood-host plasticity and dispersal of Anopheles coluzzii using a novel field-based methodology. (2019) Orsborne, James; Furuya-Kanamori, Luis; Jeffries, Claire L; Kristan, Mojca; Mohammed, Abdul Rahim; Afrane, Yaw A; O'Reilly, Kathleen; Massad, Eduardo; Drakeley, Chris; Walker, Thomas; Yakob, Laith

P

Serostatus testing and dengue vaccine cost-benefit thresholds. (2019) Pearson, Carl AB; Abbas, Kaja M; Clifford, Samuel; Flasche, Stefan; Hladish, Thomas J

Outbreak analytics: a developing data science for informing the response to emerging pathogens. (2019) Polonsky, Jonathan A; Baidjoe, Amrish; Kamvar, Zhian N; Cori, Anne; Durski, Kara; Edmunds, W John; Eggo, Rosalind M; Funk, Sebastian; Kaiser, Laurent; Keating, Patrick; de Waroux, Olivier le Polain; Marks, Michael; Moraga, Paula; Morgan, Oliver; Nouvellet, Pierre; Ratnayake, Ruwan; Roberts, Chrissy H; Whitworth, Jimmy; Jombart, Thibaut

Beyond measurement: taking bold multisector actions towards zero catastrophic costs and suffering due to TB. (2019) Pedrazzoli, D; Houben, R; Viney, K; Lönnroth, Knut

Estimates of case-fatality ratios of measles in low-income and middle-income countries: a systematic review and modelling analysis. (2019) Portnoy, Allison; Jit, Mark; Ferrari, Matthew; Hanson, Matthew; Brenzel, Logan; Verguet, Stéphane

Sensitivity of large dengue epidemics in Ecuador to long-lead predictions of El Niño. (2019) Petrova, Desislava; Lowe, Rachel; Stewart-Ibarra, Anna; Ballester, Joan; Koopman, Siem Jan; Rodó, Xavier

R

Potential effect of age of BCG vaccination on global paediatric tuberculosis mortality: a modelling study. (2019) Roy, Partho; Vekemans, Johan; Clark, Andrew; Sanderson, Colin; Harris, Rebecca C; White, Richard G

Identifying residual hotspots and mapping lower respiratory infection morbidity and mortality in African children from 2000 to 2017. (2019) Reiner, Robert C; Welgan, Catherine A; Casey, Daniel C; Troeger, Christopher E; Baumann, Mathew M; Nguyen, QuynhAnh P; Swartz, Scott J; Blacker, Brigette F; Deshpande, Aniruddha; Mosser, Jonathan F; Osgood-Zimmerman, Aaron E; Earl, Lucas; Marczak, Laurie B; Munro, Sandra B; Miller-Petrie, Molly K; Rodgers Kemp, Grant; Frostad, Joseph; Wiens, Kirsten E; Lindstedt, Paulina A; Pigott, David M; Dwyer-Lindgren, Laura; Ross, Jennifer M; Burstein, Roy; Graetz, Nicholas; Rao, Puja C; Khalil, Ibrahim A; Davis Weaver, Nicole; Ray, Sarah E; Davis, Ian; Farag, Tamer; Brady, Oliver J; Kraemer, Moritz UG; Smith, David L; Bhatt, Samir; Weiss, Daniel J; Gething, Peter W; Kassebaum, Nicholas J; Mokdad, Ali H; Murray, Christopher JL; Hay, Simon I

A39 Reconstruction of Ebola chains of transmission using sequence and epidemiological data. (2019) Robert, A; Edmunds, J; Eggo, R; Henao-Restrepo, A-M; Gsell, P-S; Watson, CH; Longini, IM; Rambaut, A; Camacho, A; Hué, S

The measles crisis in Europe-the need for a joined-up approach. (2019) Robert, Alexis; Funk, Sebastian; Kucharski, Adam J

Determinants of Transmission Risk During the Late Stage of the West African Ebola Epidemic. (2019) Robert, Alexis; Edmunds, W John; Watson, Conall H; Henao-Restrepo, Ana Maria; Gsell, Pierre-Stéphane; Williamson, Elizabeth; Longini, Ira M; Sakoba, Keïta; Kucharski, Adam J; Touré, Alhassane; Nadlaou, Sévérine Danmadji; Diallo, Boubacar; Barry, Mamamdou Saidou; Fofana, Thierno Oumar; Camara, Louceny; Kaba, Ibrahima Lansana; Sylla, Lansana; Diaby, Mohamed Lamine; Soumah, Ousmane; Diallo, Abdourahime; Niare, Amadou; Diallo, Abdourahmane; Eggo, Rosalind M

How to make a haploid male. (2019) Ross, Laura; Davies, Nicholas G; Gardner, Andy

Control of Ebola virus disease outbreaks: Comparison of health care worker-targeted and community vaccination strategies. (2019) Robert, Alexis; Camacho, Anton; Edmunds, W John; Baguelin, Marc; Muyembe Tamfum, Jean-Jacques; Rosello, Alicia; Kéïta, Sakoba; Eggo, Rosalind M

Dose finding for new vaccines: The role for immunostimulation/immunodynamic modelling. (2019) Rhodes, Sophie J; Knight, Gwenan M; Kirschner, Denise E; White, Richard G; Evans, Thomas G

S

Adolescent tuberculosis. (2019) Snow, Kathryn J; Cruz, Andrea T; Seddon, James A; Ferrand, Rashida A; Chiang, Silvia S; Hughes, Jennifer A; Kampmann, Beate; Graham, Steve M; Dodd, Peter J; Houben, Rein M; Denholm, Justin T; Sawyer, Susan M; Kranzer, Katharina

Systematic Review on the Acute Cost-of-illness of Sepsis and Meningitis in Neonates and Infants. (2019) Salman, Omar; Procter, Simon R; McGregor, Callum; Paul, Proma; Hutubessy, Raymond; Lawn, Joy E; Jit, Mark

Co-developing climate services for public health: Stakeholder needs and perceptions for the prevention and control of Aedes-transmitted diseases in the Caribbean. (2019) Stewart-Ibarra, Anna M; Romero, Moory; Hinds, Avery QJ; Lowe, Rachel; Mahon, Roché; Van Meerbeeck, Cedric J; Rollock, Leslie; Gittens-St Hilaire, Marquita; St Ville, Sylvester; Ryan, Sadie J; Trotman, Adrian R; Borbor-Cordova, Mercy J

Potential population level impact on tuberculosis incidence of using an mRNA expression signature correlate-of-risk test to target tuberculosis preventive therapy. (2019) Sumner, Tom; Scriba, Thomas J; Penn-Nicholson, Adam; Hatherill, Mark; White, Richard G

Impact of demographic disparities in social distancing and vaccination on influenza epidemics in urban and rural regions of the United States. (2019) Singh, Meghendra; Sarkhel, Prasenjit; Kang, Gloria J; Marathe, Achla; Boyle, Kevin; Murray-Tuite, Pamela; Abbas, Kaja M; Swarup, Samarth

Estimating the Impact of Tuberculosis Case Detection in Constrained Health Systems: An Example of Case-Finding in South Africa. (2019) Sumner, Thomas; Bozzani, Fiammetta; Mudzengi, Don; Hippner, Piotr; Houben, Rein M; Cardenas, Vicky; Vassall, Anna; White, Richard G

Estimating the Impact of Tuberculosis Case Detection in Constrained Health Systems: An Example of Case-Finding in South Africa. (2019) Sumner, Thomas; Bozzani, Fiammetta; Mudzengi, Don; Hippner, Piotr; Houben, Rein M; Cardenas, Vicky; Vassall, Anna; White, Richard G

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Achieving Elimination as a Public Health Problem for Schistosoma mansoni and S. haematobium: When Is Community-Wide Treatment Required? (2019) Toor, Jaspreet; Rollinson, David; Turner, Hugo C; Gouvras, Anouk; King, Charles H; Medley, Graham F; Hollingsworth, T Déirdre; Anderson, Roy M

Determining post-treatment surveillance criteria for predicting the elimination of Schistosoma mansoni transmission. (2019) Toor, Jaspreet; Truscott, James E; Werkman, Marleen; Turner, Hugo C; Phillips, Anna E; King, Charles H; Medley, Graham F; Anderson, Roy M

Adjusting for Inflation and Currency Changes Within Health Economic Studies. (2019) Turner, Hugo C; Lauer, Jeremy A; Tran, Bach Xuan; Teerawattananon, Yot; Jit, Mark

Infant contact in day-care centres in Vietnam: A cross-sectional study to understand infant infection risk. (2019) Toizumi, Michiko; Yoshida, Lay-Myint; Suzuki, Motoi; Nguyen, Hien Anh Thi; Pinsent, Amy; Dang, Duc Anh; Flasche, Stefan

Infant contact in day-care centres in Vietnam: A cross-sectional study to understand infant infection risk. (2019) Toizumi, Michiko; Yoshida, Lay-Myint; Suzuki, Motoi; Nguyen, Hien Anh Thi; Pinsent, Amy; Dang, Duc Anh; Flasche, Stefan

Infant contact in day-care centres in Vietnam: A cross-sectional study to understand infant infection risk. (2019) Toizumi, Michiko; Yoshida, Lay-Myint; Suzuki, Motoi; Nguyen, Hien Anh Thi; Pinsent, Amy; Dang, Duc Anh; Flasche, Stefan

High clustering of acute HCV infections and high rate of associated STIs among Parisian HIV-positive male patients. (2019) Todesco, Eve; Day, Nesrine; Amiel, Corinne; Elaerts, Stéphane; Schneider, Véronique; Roudière, Laurent; Hué, Stéphane; Liotier, Jean-Yves; Bottero, Julie; L'Yavanc, Thomas; Ohayon, Michel; Gosset, Daniel; Thibault, Vincent; Surgers, Laure; Chas, Julie; Akhavan, Sepideh; Velter, Annie; Katlama, Christine; Kreplak, Georges; Marcelin, Anne-Geneviève; Valantin, Marc-Antoine

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Pneumococcal conjugate vaccine use during humanitarian crises. (2019) van Zandvoort, Kevin; Checchi, Francesco; Diggle, Emma; Eggo, Rosalind M; Gadroen, Kartini; Mulholland, Kim; McGowan, Catherine R; le Polain de Waroux, Olivier; Rao, V Bhargavi; Satzke, Catherine; Flasche, Stefan

Mycobacterium tuberculosis transmission in an ethnically-diverse high incidence region in England, 2007-11. (2019) Vynnycky, Emilia; Keen, Adrienne R; Evans, Jason T; Khanom, Shaina; Hawkey, Peter M; White, Richard G; Abubakar, Ibrahim

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Vaccine-attributable severe dengue in the Philippines. (2019) Wilder-Smith, Annelies; Flasche, Stefan; Smith, Peter G

Environmental factors affecting ecological niche of Coccidioides species and spatial dynamics of valley fever in the United States. (2019) Weaver, Elizabeth; Kolivras, Korine N; Thomas, R Quinn; Thomas, Valarie A; Abbas, Kaja M

The 2019 report of The Lancet Countdown on health and climate change: ensuring that the health of a child born today is not defined by a changing climate. (2019) Watts, Nick; Amann, Markus; Arnell, Nigel; Ayeb-Karlsson, Sonja; Belesova, Kristine; Boykoff, Maxwell; Byass, Peter; Cai, Wenjia; Campbell-Lendrum, Diarmid; Capstick, Stuart; Chambers, Jonathan; Dalin, Carole; Daly, Meaghan; Dasandi, Niheer; Davies, Michael; Drummond, Paul; Dubrow, Robert; Ebi, Kristie L; Eckelman, Matthew; Ekins, Paul; Escobar, Luis E; Fernandez Montoya, Lucia; Georgeson, Lucien; Graham, Hilary; Haggar, Paul; Hamilton, Ian; Hartinger, Stella; Hess, Jeremy; Kelman, Ilan; Kiesewetter, Gregor; Kjellstrom, Tord; Kniveton, Dominic; Lemke, Bruno; Liu, Yang; Lott, Melissa; Lowe, Rachel; Sewe, Maquins Odhiambo; Martinez-Urtaza, Jaime; Maslin, Mark; McAllister, Lucy; McGushin, Alice; Jankin Mikhaylov, Slava; Milner, James; Moradi-Lakeh, Maziar; Morrissey, Karyn; Murray, Kris; Munzert, Simon; Nilsson, Maria; Neville, Tara; Oreszczyn, Tadj; Owfi, Fereidoon; Pearman, Olivia; Pencheon, David; Phung, Dung; Pye, Steve; Quinn, Ruth; Rabbaniha, Mahnaz; Robinson, Elizabeth; Rocklöv, Joacim; Semenza, Jan C; Sherman, Jodi; Shumake-Guillemot, Joy; Tabatabaei, Meisam; Taylor, Jonathon; Trinanes, Joaquin; Wilkinson, Paul; Costello, Anthony; Gong, Peng; Montgomery, Hugh

ZikaPLAN: addressing the knowledge gaps and working towards a research preparedness network in the Americas. (2019) Wilder-Smith, Annelies; Preet, Raman; Brickley, Elizabeth B; Ximenes, Ricardo Arraes de Alencar; Miranda-Filho, Demócrito de Barros; Turchi Martelli, Celina Maria; Araújo, Thália Velho Barreto de; Montarroyos, Ulisses Ramos; Moreira, Maria Elisabeth; Turchi, Marília Dalva; Solomon, Tom; Jacobs, Bart C; Villamizar, Carlos Pardo; Osorio, Lyda; de Filipps, Ana Maria Bispo; Neyts, Johan; Kaptein, Suzanne; Huits, Ralph; Ariën, Kevin K; Willison, Hugh J; Edgar, Julia M; Barnett, Susan C; Peeling, Rosanna; Boeras, Debi; Guzman, Maria G; de Silva, Aravinda M; Falconar, Andrew K; Romero-Vivas, Claudia; Gaunt, Michael W; Sette, Alessandro; Weiskopf, Daniela; Lambrechts, Louis; Dolk, Helen; Morris, Joan K; Orioli, Ieda M; O'Reilly, Kathleen M; Yakob, Laith; Rocklöv, Joacim; Soares, Cristiane; Ferreira, Maria Lúcia Brito; Franca, Rafael Freitas de Oliveira; Precioso, Alexander R; Logan, James; Lang, Trudie; Jamieson, Nina; Massad, Eduardo

Pre-vaccination screening strategies for the use of the CYD-TDV dengue vaccine: A meeting report. (2019) Wilder-Smith, A; Smith, PG; Luo, R; Kelly-Cirino, C; Curry, D; Larson, H; Durbin, A; Chu, M; Tharmaphornpilas, P; Ng, LC; Sartori, AMC; Luna, EJA; Gubler, DJ; España, G; Yoon, IK; Flasche, S picture_as_pdf

Current realities versus theoretical optima: quantifying efficiency and sociospatial equity of travel time to hospitals in low-income and middle-income countries. (2019) Wong, Kerry Lm; Brady, Oliver J; Campbell, Oona Maeve Renee; Jarvis, Christopher I; Pembe, Andrea; Gomez, Gabriela B; Benova, Lenka

The way forward for tuberculosis vaccines. (2019) White, Richard G; Hanekom, Willem A; Vekemans, Johan; Harris, Rebecca C

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Antimicrobial Resistance in the Asia Pacific region: a meeting report. (2019) Yam, Esabelle Lo Yan; Hsu, Li Yang; Yap, Eric Peng-Huat; Yeo, Tsin Wen; Lee, Vernon; Schlundt, Joergen; Lwin, May O; Limmathurotsakul, Direk; Jit, Mark; Dedon, Peter; Turner, Paul; Wilder-Smith, Annelies

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Patterns of human social contact and contact with animals in Shanghai, China. (2019) Zhang, Juanjuan; Klepac, Petra; Read, Jonathan M; Rosello, Alicia; Wang, Xiling; Lai, Shengjie; Li, Meng; Song, Yujian; Wei, Qingzhen; Jiang, Hao; Yang, Juan; Lynn, Henry; Flasche, Stefan; Jit, Mark; Yu, Hongjie

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Enforcement is central to the evolution of cooperation. (2019) Ågren, J Arvid; Davies, Nicholas G; Foster, Kevin R