Abbott, Sam; Hellewell, Joel; Thompson, Robin N; Sherratt, Katharine; Gibbs, Hamish P; Bosse, Nikos I; Munday, James D; Meakin, Sophie; Doughty, Emma L; Chun, June Young; +11 more... Chan, Yung-Wai Desmond; Finger, Flavio; Campbell, Paul; Endo, Akira; Pearson, Carl AB; Gimma, Amy; Russell, Tim; Flasche, Stefan; Kucharski, Adam J; Eggo, Rosalind M; Funk, Sebastian; (2020) Estimating the time-varying reproduction number of SARS-CoV-2 using national and subnational case counts. Wellcome Open Research, 5. p. 112. DOI: https://doi.org/10.12688/wellcomeopenres.16006.1

Abbott, Sam; Hellewell, Joel; Thompson, Robin N; Sherratt, Katharine; Gibbs, Hamish P; Bosse, Nikos I; Munday, James D; Meakin, Sophie; Doughty, Emma L; Chun, June Young; +11 more... Chan, Yung-Wai Desmond; Finger, Flavio; Campbell, Paul; Endo, Akira; Pearson, Carl AB; Gimma, Amy; Russell, Tim; Flasche, Stefan; Kucharski, Adam J; Eggo, Rosalind M; Funk, Sebastian; (2020) Estimating the time-varying reproduction number of SARS-CoV-2 using national and subnational case counts. Wellcome Open Research, 5. p. 112. DOI: https://doi.org/10.12688/wellcomeopenres.16006.2

Bosse, Nikos I; Abbott, Sam; Bracher, Johannes; Hain, Habakuk; Quilty, Billy J; Jit, Mark; Centre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases COV; van Leeuwen, Edwin; Cori, Anne; Funk, Sebastian; (2022) Comparing human and model-based forecasts of COVID-19 in Germany and Poland. PLoS computational biology, 18 (9). e1010405-. ISSN 1553-734X DOI: https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1010405

Bracher, J; Wolffram, D; Deuschel, J; Görgen, K; Ketterer, JL; Ullrich, A; Abbott, S; Barbarossa, MV; Bertsimas, D; Bhatia, S; +29 more... Bodych, M; Bosse, NI; Burgard, JP; Castro, L; Fairchild, G; Fuhrmann, J; Funk, S; Gogolewski, K; Gu, Q; Heyder, S; Hotz, T; Kheifetz, Y; Kirsten, H; Krueger, T; Krymova, E; Li, ML; Meinke, JH; Michaud, IJ; Niedzielewski, K; Ożański, T; Rakowski, F; Scholz, M; Soni, S; Srivastava, A; Zieliński, J; Zou, D; Gneiting, T; Schienle, M; List of Contributors by Team; List of Contributors by Team; (2021) A pre-registered short-term forecasting study of COVID-19 in Germany and Poland during the second wave. Nature communications, 12 (1). 5173-. ISSN 2041-1723 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-021-25207-0

Chen, Yuyang; Li, Naizhe; Lourenço, José; Wang, Lin; Cazelles, Bernard; Dong, Lu; Li, Bingying; Liu, Yang; Jit, Mark; Bosse, Nikos I; +6 more... Abbott, Sam; Velayudhan, Raman; Wilder-Smith, Annelies; Tian, Huaiyu; Brady, Oliver J; CMMID COVID-19 Working Group; (2022) Measuring the effects of COVID-19-related disruption on dengue transmission in southeast Asia and Latin America: a statistical modelling study. The Lancet. Infectious diseases, 22 (5). pp. 657-667. ISSN 1473-3099 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/S1473-3099(22)00025-1

Funk, S; Abbott, S; Atkins, BD; Baguelin, M; Baillie, JK; Birrell, P; Blake, J; Bosse, NI; Burton, J; Carruthers, J; +37 more... Davies, NG; De Angelis, D; Dyson, L; Edmunds, WJ; Eggo, RM; Ferguson, NM; Gaythorpe, K; Gorsich, E; Guyver-Fletcher, G; Hellewell, J; Hill, EM; Holmes, A; House, TA; Jewell, C; Jit, M; Jombart, T; Joshi, I; Keeling, MJ; Kendall, E; Knock, ES; Kucharski, AJ; Lythgoe, KA; Meakin, SR; Munday, JD; Openshaw, PJM; Overton, CE; Pagani, F; Pearson, J; Perez-Guzman, PN; Pellis, L; Scarabel, F; Semple, MG; Sherratt, K; Tang, M; Tildesley, MJ; Van Leeuwen, E; Whittles, LK; (2020) Short-term forecasts to inform the response to the Covid-19 epidemic in the UK. medRxiv preprint - BMJ Yale. ISSN 1468-5833 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.11.11.20220962

Gostic, Katelyn M; McGough, Lauren; Baskerville, Edward B; Abbott, Sam; Joshi, Keya; Tedijanto, Christine; Kahn, Rebecca; Niehus, Rene; Hay, James A; De Salazar, Pablo M; +15 more... Hellewell, Joel; Meakin, Sophie; Munday, James D; Bosse, Nikos I; Sherrat, Katharine; Thompson, Robin N; White, Laura F; Huisman, Jana S; Scire, Jérémie; Bonhoeffer, Sebastian; Stadler, Tanja; Wallinga, Jacco; Funk, Sebastian; Lipsitch, Marc; Cobey, Sarah; (2021) Correction: Practical considerations for measuring the effective reproductive number, Rt. PLoS Computational Biology, 17 (12). e1009679-. ISSN 1553-734X DOI: https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1009679 Item availability may be restricted.

Gostic, Katelyn M; McGough, Lauren; Baskerville, Edward B; Abbott, Sam; Joshi, Keya; Tedijanto, Christine; Kahn, Rebecca; Niehus, Rene; Hay, James A; De Salazar, Pablo M; +15 more... Hellewell, Joel; Meakin, Sophie; Munday, James D; Bosse, Nikos I; Sherrat, Katharine; Thompson, Robin N; White, Laura F; Huisman, Jana S; Scire, Jérémie; Bonhoeffer, Sebastian; Stadler, Tanja; Wallinga, Jacco; Funk, Sebastian; Lipsitch, Marc; Cobey, Sarah; (2020) Practical considerations for measuring the effective reproductive number, Rt. PLOS COMPUTATIONAL BIOLOGY, 16 (12). e1008409-. ISSN 1553-734X DOI: https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1008409

Gostic, Katelyn M; McGough, Lauren; Baskerville, Edward B; Abbott, Sam; Joshi, Keya; Tedijanto, Christine; Kahn, Rebecca; Niehus, Rene; Hay, James; De Salazar, Pablo M; +15 more... Hellewell, Joel; Meakin, Sophie; Munday, James; Bosse, Nikos I; Sherrat, Katharine; Thompson, Robin N; White, Laura F; Huisman, Jana S; Scire, Jérémie; Bonhoeffer, Sebastian; Stadler, Tanja; Wallinga, Jacco; Funk, Sebastian; Lipsitch, Marc; Cobey, Sarah; (2020) Practical considerations for measuring the effective reproductive number, R t. medRxiv preprint. ISSN 1468-5833 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.06.18.20134858

Hellewell, Joel; Abbott, Sam; Gimma, Amy; Bosse, Nikos I; Jarvis, Christopher I; Russell, Timothy W; Munday, James D; Kucharski, Adam J; Edmunds, W John; Centre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases COV; +2 more... Funk, Sebastian; Eggo, Rosalind M; (2020) Feasibility of controlling COVID-19 outbreaks by isolation of cases and contacts. The Lancet. Global health, 8 (4). e488-e496. ISSN 2214-109X DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/S2214-109X(20)30074-7

Jombart, Thibaut; van Zandvoort, Kevin; Russell, Timothy W; Jarvis, Christopher I; Gimma, Amy; Abbott, Sam; Clifford, Sam; Funk, Sebastian; Gibbs, Hamish; Liu, Yang; +6 more... Pearson, Carl AB; Bosse, Nikos I; Centre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases COV; Eggo, Rosalind M; Kucharski, Adam J; Edmunds, W John; Centre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases COV; (2020) Inferring the number of COVID-19 cases from recently reported deaths. Wellcome Open Res, 5. 78-. ISSN 2398-502X DOI: https://doi.org/10.12688/wellcomeopenres.15786.1

Jombart, Thibaut; van Zandvoort, Kevin; Russell, Timothy W; Jarvis, Christopher I; Gimma, Amy; Abbott, Sam; Clifford, Sam; Funk, Sebastian; Gibbs, Hamish; Liu, Yang; +6 more... Pearson, Carl AB; Bosse, Nikos I; Centre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases COV; Eggo, Rosalind M; Kucharski, Adam J; Edmunds, W John; (2020) Inferring the number of COVID-19 cases from recently reported deaths. medRxiv. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.03.10.20033761

McAndrew, Thomas; Majumder, Maimuna S; Lover, Andrew A; Venkatramanan, Srini; Bocchini, Paolo; Besiroglu, Tamay; Codi, Allison; Braun, David; Dempsey, Gaia; Abbott, Sam; +3 more... Chevalier, Sylvain; Bosse, Nikos I; Cambeiro, Juan; (2022) Early human judgment forecasts of human monkeypox, May 2022. The Lancet Digital health, 4 (8). e569-e571. ISSN 2589-7500 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/S2589-7500(22)00127-3

Meakin, Sophie; Abbott, Sam; Bosse, Nikos; Munday, James; Gruson, Hugo; Hellewell, Joel; Sherratt, Katharine; CMMID COVID-19 Working Group; Funk, Sebastian; (2022) Comparative assessment of methods for short-term forecasts of COVID-19 hospital admissions in England at the local level. BMC Medicine, 20 (1). 86-. ISSN 1741-7015 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1186/s12916-022-02271-x

Munday, James D; Sherratt, Katharine; Meakin, Sophie; Endo, Akira; Pearson, Carl AB; Hellewell, Joel; Abbott, Sam; Bosse, Nikos I; CMMID COVID-19 Working Group; Atkins, Katherine E; +4 more... Wallinga, Jacco; Edmunds, W John; van Hoek, Albert Jan; Funk, Sebastian; (2021) Implications of the school-household network structure on SARS-CoV-2 transmission under school reopening strategies in England. Nature communications, 12 (1). 1942-. ISSN 2041-1723 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-021-22213-0

Ray, Evan L; Brooks, Logan C; Bien, Jacob; Biggerstaff, Matthew; Bosse, Nikos I; Bracher, Johannes; Cramer, Estee Y; Funk, Sebastian; Gerding, Aaron; Johansson, Michael A; +5 more... Rumack, Aaron; Wang, Yijin; Zorn, Martha; Tibshirani, Ryan J; Reich, Nicholas G; (2022) Comparing trained and untrained probabilistic ensemble forecasts of COVID-19 cases and deaths in the United States. International Journal of Forecasting, 39 (3). pp. 1366-1383. ISSN 0169-2070 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijforecast.2022.06.005

Sherratt, Katharine; Abbott, Sam; Meakin, Sophie R; Hellewell, Joel; Munday, James D; Bosse, Nikos; CMMID COVID-19 Working Group; Jit, Mark; Funk, Sebastian; (2021) Exploring surveillance data biases when estimating the reproduction number: with insights into subpopulation transmission of COVID-19 in England. Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences, 376 (1829). 20200283-. ISSN 0962-8436 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1098/rstb.2020.0283