Modelling disease spread through random and regular contacts in clustered populations.

Eames, KTD (2008) Modelling disease spread through random and regular contacts in clustered populations. Theoretical population biology, 73 (1). pp. 104-111. ISSN 0040-5809 DOI: 10.1016/j.tpb.2007.09.007
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An epidemic spreading through a network of regular, repeated, contacts behaves differently from one that is spread by random interactions: regular contacts serve to reduce the speed and eventual size of an epidemic. This paper uses a mathematical model to explore the difference between regular and random contacts, considering particularly the effect of clustering within the contact network. In a clustered population random contacts have a much greater impact, allowing infection to reach parts of the network that would otherwise be inaccessible. When all contacts are regular, clustering greatly reduces the spread of infection; this effect is negated by a small number of random contacts.

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