All-cause and cause-specific mortality differences between migrant workers and local workers: a population-based cohort study in Denmark

Karen Lau ORCID logo ; George F Mkoma ; Bertina Kreshpaj ; Ligia Kiss ; Cathy Zimmerman ; Marie Norredam ; Sally Hargreaves ; (2025) All-cause and cause-specific mortality differences between migrant workers and local workers: a population-based cohort study in Denmark. European journal of public health. pp. 1-8. ISSN 1101-1262 DOI: 10.1093/eurpub/ckaf058
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Abstract

Migrants are prone to poor working conditions in high-risk industries, yet little is known about their mortality risk compared to local-born workers. This study compares all-cause and cause-specific mortality between foreign-born and local-born workers, and identifies at-risk foreign-born workers. A nationwide register-based cohort study was performed using data on migrant workers obtaining residence permits in Denmark during 2015–22. Comparison group comprised Danish-born workers matched by age and sex. Survival analysis using extended Cox model was used to estimate all-cause and cause-specific mortality. Subgroup analysis was conducted by region of birth, economic sector, and occupation. Male migrant workers from Central Europe, Eastern Europe, and Central Asia had higher risk of all-cause mortality than Danish-born workers (HR = 1.30 [95% CI: 1.09–1.54]), attributed to accident deaths (HR = 1.64 [1.06–2.53]), whereas migrants from other regions had lower risk. Migrant workers from these regions were more likely to work in high-risk economic sectors and occupations, such as agriculture and construction. When stratified by economic sector and by occupation, among the elementary occupations, migrant workers from these regions still had a higher risk of all-cause mortality (HR = 1.70 [1.10–2.64]) and accident mortality (HR = 1.51 [1.22–1.85]) than Danish-born workers. Migrant workers from Central Europe, Eastern Europe, and Central Asia are more likely to die from accidents than Danish-born workers. This increased risk was partially explained by their higher representation in at-risk sectors and occupations. There is a need to better understand the structural determinants of health faced by these migrants, particularly in elementary occupations, to prevent avoidable deaths.

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