Cash, David M; Morgan, Katy E; O'Connor, Antoinette; Veale, Thomas D; Malone, Ian B; Poole, Teresa; Benzinger, Tammie Ls; Gordon, Brian A; Ibanez, Laura; Li, Yan; +17 more... Llibre-Guerra, Jorge J; McDade, Eric; Wang, Guoqiao; Chhatwal, Jasmeer P; Day, Gregory S; Huey, Edward; Jucker, Mathias; Levin, Johannes; Niimi, Yoshiki; Noble, James M; Roh, Jee Hoon; Sánchez-Valle, Racquel; Schofield, Peter R; Bateman, Randall J; Frost, Chris; Fox, Nick C; Dominantly Inherited Alzheimer Network (DIAN); (2025) Sample size estimates for biomarker-based outcome measures in clinical trials in autosomal dominant Alzheimer's disease. The journal of prevention of Alzheimer's disease. 100133-. ISSN 2274-5807 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tjpad.2025.100133 (In Press)
Permanent Identifier
Use this Digital Object Identifier when citing or linking to this resource.
Abstract
INTRODUCTION: Alzheimer disease (AD)-modifying therapies are approved for treatment of early-symptomatic AD. Autosomal dominant AD (ADAD) provides a unique opportunity to test therapies in presymptomatic individuals. METHODS: Using data from the Dominantly Inherited Alzheimer Network (DIAN), sample sizes for clinical trials were estimated for various cognitive, imaging, and CSF outcomes. Sample sizes were computed for detecting a reduction of either absolute levels of AD-related pathology (amyloid, tau) or change over time in neurodegeneration (atrophy, hypometabolism, cognitive change). RESULTS: Biomarkers measuring amyloid and tau pathology had required sample sizes below 200 participants per arm (examples CSF Aβ42/40: 47[95 %CI 25,104], cortical PIB 49[28,99], CSF p-tau181 74[48,125]) for a four-year trial in presymptomatic individuals (CDR=0) to have 80 % power (5 % statistical significance) to detect a 25 % reduction in absolute levels of pathology, allowing 40 % dropout. For cognitive, MRI, and FDG, it was more appropriate to detect a 50 % reduction in rate of change. Sample sizes ranged from 250 to 900 (examples hippocampal volume: 338[131,2096], cognitive composite: 326[157,1074]). MRI, FDG and cognitive outcomes had lower sample sizes when including indivduals with mild impairment (CDR=0.5 and 1) as well as presymptomatic individuals (CDR=0). DISCUSSION: Despite the rarity of ADAD, presymptomatic clinical trials with feasible sample sizes given the number of cases appear possible.
Item Type | Article |
---|---|
Faculty and Department | Faculty of Epidemiology and Population Health > Dept of Medical Statistics |
PubMed ID | 40118731 |
Elements ID | 238481 |
Official URL | https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tjpad.2025.100133 |
Download
Filename: Cash-etal-2025-Sample-size-estimates-for-biomarker-based-outcome-measures-in-clinical-trials-in-autosomal-dominant-Alzheimers-disease.pdf
Licence: Creative Commons: Attribution 4.0
Download