Rapid climate action is needed: comparing heat vs. COVID-19-related mortality.

Fulden Batibeniz ; Sonia I Seneviratne ; Srinidhi Jha ; Andreia Ribeiro ; Laura Suarez Gutierrez ; Christoph C Raible ; Avni Malhotra ; Ben Armstrong ORCID logo ; Michelle L Bell ; Eric Lavigne ; +10 more... Antonio Gasparrini ORCID logo ; Yuming Guo ; Masahiro Hashizume ; Pierre Masselot ORCID logo ; Susana Pereira da Silva ; Dominic Royé ; Francesco Sera ; Shilu Tong ; Aleš Urban ; Ana M Vicedo-Cabrera ; (2025) Rapid climate action is needed: comparing heat vs. COVID-19-related mortality. Scientific reports, 15 (1). 1002-. ISSN 2045-2322 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-024-82788-8
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The impacts of climate change on human health are often underestimated or perceived to be in a distant future. Here, we present the projected impacts of climate change in the context of COVID-19, a recent human health catastrophe. We compared projected heat mortality with COVID-19 deaths in 38 cities worldwide and found that in half of these cities, heat-related deaths could exceed annual COVID-19 deaths in less than ten years (at + 3.0 °C increase in global warming relative to preindustrial). In seven of these cities, heat mortality could exceed COVID-19 deaths in less than five years. Our results underscore the crucial need for climate action and for the integration of climate change into public health discourse and policy.


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