Factors associated with COVID-19 in-hospital death and COVID-19 vaccine effectiveness against COVID-19 hospitalization in the Philippines during pre-omicron and omicron period: A case-control study (MOTIVATE-P study).

Arashiro, TakeshiORCID logo; Solante, Rontgene; Sayo, Ana Ria; Garcia, Reby Marie; Kris, Marie; Suzuki, Shuichi; Malijan, Greco Mark; Salazar, Mary Jane; Salazar, Mary Ann; Ortal-Cruz, Abby; +8 more...Go, Grace Devota; Miranda, Edna; Carandang-Cuvin, Michelle; Calayo, Joy Potenciano; Shin, Jinho; Hibberd, Martin; Ariyoshi, Koya; and Smith, ChrisORCID logo (2024) Factors associated with COVID-19 in-hospital death and COVID-19 vaccine effectiveness against COVID-19 hospitalization in the Philippines during pre-omicron and omicron period: A case-control study (MOTIVATE-P study). Epidemiology and Infection, 153. e18-. ISSN 0950-2688 DOI: 10.1017/S0950268824001845
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COVID-19 vaccine effectiveness (VE) studies are limited in low- and middle-income countries. A case-control study was conducted among COVID-19 and other pneumonia patients admitted to a hospital in the Philippines during the pre-Omicron and Omicron periods. To elucidate factors associated with in-hospital death, 1782 COVID-19 patients were assessed. To estimate absolute VE for various severe outcomes, 1059 patients were assessed (869 [82.1%] COVID-19 cases; 190 [17.9%] controls). Factors associated with in-hospital death included older age, tuberculosis (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 2.45 [95% confidence interval {95% CI} 1.69-3.57]), HIV (aOR 3.30 [95% CI 2.03-5.37]), and current smokers (aOR 2.65 [95% CI 1.72-4.10]). Pre-Omicron, the primary series provided high protection within a median of 2 months (hospitalization: 85.4% [95% CI 35.9-96.7%]; oxygen requirement: 91.0% [95% CI 49.4-98.4%]; invasive mechanical ventilation (IMV): 97.0% [95% CI 65.7-99.7%]; death: 96.5% [95% CI 67.1-99.6%]). During Omicron, the primary series provided moderate-high protection within a median of 6-9 months (hospitalization: 70.2% [95% CI 27.0-87.8%]; oxygen requirement: 71.4% [95% CI 29.3-88.4%]; IMV: 72.7% [95% CI -11.6-93.3%]; death: 58.9% [95% CI -82.8-90.8%]). Primary series VE against severe COVID-19 outcomes was consistently high for both pre-Omicron and Omicron in a setting where approximately half of the vaccinees received inactivated vaccines.


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