Regional variation in the role of humidity on city-level heat-related mortality.

Qiang Guo ORCID logo ; Malcolm N Mistry ORCID logo ; Xudong Zhou ; Gang Zhao ORCID logo ; Kanon Kino ORCID logo ; Bo Wen ORCID logo ; Kei Yoshimura ; Yusuke Satoh ; Ivana Cvijanovic ORCID logo ; Yoonhee Kim ORCID logo ; +15 more... Chris Fook Sheng Ng ORCID logo ; Ana M Vicedo-Cabrera ORCID logo ; Ben Armstrong ORCID logo ; Aleš Urban ; Klea Katsouyanni ; Pierre Masselot ORCID logo ; Shilu Tong ORCID logo ; Francesco Sera ORCID logo ; Veronika Huber ORCID logo ; Michelle L Bell ORCID logo ; Jan Kyselý ; Antonio Gasparrini ORCID logo ; Masahiro Hashizume ORCID logo ; Taikan Oki ORCID logo ; Multi-Country Multi-City (MCC) Collaborative Research Network ; (2024) Regional variation in the role of humidity on city-level heat-related mortality. PNAS nexus, 3 (8). pgae290-. ISSN 2752-6542 DOI: 10.1093/pnasnexus/pgae290
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The rising humid heat is regarded as a severe threat to human survivability, but the proper integration of humid heat into heat-health alerts is still being explored. Using state-of-the-art epidemiological and climatological datasets, we examined the association between multiple heat stress indicators (HSIs) and daily human mortality in 739 cities worldwide. Notable differences were observed in the long-term trends and timing of heat events detected by HSIs. Air temperature (Tair) predicts heat-related mortality well in cities with a robust negative Tair-relative humidity correlation (CT-RH). However, in cities with near-zero or weak positive CT-RH, HSIs considering humidity provide enhanced predictive power compared to Tair. Furthermore, the magnitude and timing of heat-related mortality measured by HSIs could differ largely from those associated with Tair in many cities. Our findings provide important insights into specific regions where humans are vulnerable to humid heat and can facilitate the further enhancement of heat-health alert systems.


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