Women's subsistence strategies predict fertility across cultures, but context matters.

Abigail E Page ORCID logo ; Erik J Ringen ; Jeremy Koster ; Monique Borgerhoff Mulder ORCID logo ; Karen Kramer ; Mary K Shenk ORCID logo ; Jonathan Stieglitz ORCID logo ; Kathrine Starkweather ORCID logo ; John P Ziker ORCID logo ; Adam H Boyette ; +33 more... Heidi Colleran ORCID logo ; Cristina Moya ; Juan Du ; Siobhán M Mattison ORCID logo ; Russell Greaves ; Chun-Yi Sum ORCID logo ; Ruizhe Liu ORCID logo ; Sheina Lew-Levy ORCID logo ; Francy Kiabiya Ntamboudila ; Sean Prall ORCID logo ; Mary C Towner ; Tami Blumenfield ORCID logo ; Andrea B Migliano ; Daniel Major-Smith ; Mark Dyble ; Gul Deniz Salali ORCID logo ; Nikhil Chaudhary ORCID logo ; Inez E Derkx ; Cody T Ross ORCID logo ; Brooke A Scelza ; Michael D Gurven ORCID logo ; Bruce P Winterhalder ORCID logo ; Carmen Cortez ; Luis Pacheco-Cobos ORCID logo ; Ryan Schacht ORCID logo ; Shane J Macfarlan ORCID logo ; Donna Leonetti ; Jennifer C French ORCID logo ; Nurul Alam ORCID logo ; Fatema Tuz Zohora ; Hillard S Kaplan ORCID logo ; Paul L Hooper ORCID logo ; Rebecca Sear ORCID logo ; (2024) Women's subsistence strategies predict fertility across cultures, but context matters. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 121 (9). e2318181121-. ISSN 0027-8424 DOI: 10.1073/pnas.2318181121
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While it is commonly assumed that farmers have higher, and foragers lower, fertility compared to populations practicing other forms of subsistence, robust supportive evidence is lacking. We tested whether subsistence activities-incorporating market integration-are associated with fertility in 10,250 women from 27 small-scale societies and found considerable variation in fertility. This variation did not align with group-level subsistence typologies. Societies labeled as "farmers" did not have higher fertility than others, while "foragers" did not have lower fertility. However, at the individual level, we found strong evidence that fertility was positively associated with farming and moderate evidence of a negative relationship between foraging and fertility. Markers of market integration were strongly negatively correlated with fertility. Despite strong cross-cultural evidence, these relationships were not consistent in all populations, highlighting the importance of the socioecological context, which likely influences the diverse mechanisms driving the relationship between fertility and subsistence.


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