Yu, Wenhua; Huang, Wenzhong; Gasparrini, Antonio; Sera, Francesco; Schneider, Alexandra; Breitner, Susanne; Kyselý, Jan; Schwartz, Joel; Madureira, Joana; Gaio, Vânia; +12 more... Guo, Yue Leon; Xu, Rongbin; Chen, Gongbo; Yang, Zhengyu; Wen, Bo; Wu, Yao; Zanobetti, Antonella; Kan, Haidong; Song, Jiangning; Li, Shanshan; Guo, Yuming; Multi-City Multi-Country Collaborative Research Network; (2024) Ambient fine particulate matter and daily mortality: a comparative analysis of observed and estimated exposure in 347 cities. International journal of epidemiology, 53 (3). dyae066-. ISSN 0300-5771 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1093/ije/dyae066
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Abstract
BACKGROUND: Model-estimated air pollution exposure products have been widely used in epidemiological studies to assess the health risks of particulate matter with diameters of ≤2.5 µm (PM2.5). However, few studies have assessed the disparities in health effects between model-estimated and station-observed PM2.5 exposures. METHODS: We collected daily all-cause, respiratory and cardiovascular mortality data in 347 cities across 15 countries and regions worldwide based on the Multi-City Multi-Country collaborative research network. The station-observed PM2.5 data were obtained from official monitoring stations. The model-estimated global PM2.5 product was developed using a machine-learning approach. The associations between daily exposure to PM2.5 and mortality were evaluated using a two-stage analytical approach. RESULTS: We included 15.8 million all-cause, 1.5 million respiratory and 4.5 million cardiovascular deaths from 2000 to 2018. Short-term exposure to PM2.5 was associated with a relative risk increase (RRI) of mortality from both station-observed and model-estimated exposures. Every 10-μg/m3 increase in the 2-day moving average PM2.5 was associated with overall RRIs of 0.67% (95% CI: 0.49 to 0.85), 0.68% (95% CI: -0.03 to 1.39) and 0.45% (95% CI: 0.08 to 0.82) for all-cause, respiratory, and cardiovascular mortality based on station-observed PM2.5 and RRIs of 0.87% (95% CI: 0.68 to 1.06), 0.81% (95% CI: 0.08 to 1.55) and 0.71% (95% CI: 0.32 to 1.09) based on model-estimated exposure, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Mortality risks associated with daily PM2.5 exposure were consistent for both station-observed and model-estimated exposures, suggesting the reliability and potential applicability of the global PM2.5 product in epidemiological studies.
Item Type | Article |
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Faculty and Department | Faculty of Public Health and Policy > Public Health, Environments and Society |
Research Centre | Centre for Climate Change and Planetary Health |
PubMed ID | 38725299 |
Elements ID | 224418 |
Official URL | http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/ije/dyae066 |
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Licence: Creative Commons: Attribution-Noncommercial 4.0
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