Antonio-Villa, Neftali Eduardo; Bello-Chavolla, Omar Yaxmehen; Fermín-Martínez, Carlos A; Aburto, José Manuel; Fernández-Chirino, Luisa; Ramírez-García, Daniel; Pisanty-Alatorre, Julio; González-Díaz, Armando; Vargas-Vázquez, Arsenio; Barquera, Simón; +2 more... Gutiérrez-Robledo, Luis Miguel; Seiglie, Jacqueline A; (2022) Socio-demographic inequalities and excess non-COVID-19 mortality during the COVID-19 pandemic: a data-driven analysis of 1 069 174 death certificates in Mexico. International Journal of Epidemiology, 51 (6). pp. 1711-1721. ISSN 0300-5771 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1093/ije/dyac184
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Abstract
BACKGROUND: In 2020, Mexico experienced one of the highest rates of excess mortality globally. However, the extent of non-COVID deaths on excess mortality, its regional distribution and the association between socio-demographic inequalities have not been characterized. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective municipal and individual-level study using 1 069 174 death certificates to analyse COVID-19 and non-COVID-19 deaths classified by ICD-10 codes. Excess mortality was estimated as the increase in cause-specific mortality in 2020 compared with the average of 2015-2019, disaggregated by primary cause of death, death setting (in-hospital and out-of-hospital) and geographical location. Correlates of individual and municipal non-COVID-19 mortality were assessed using mixed effects logistic regression and negative binomial regression models, respectively. RESULTS: We identified a 51% higher mortality rate (276.11 deaths per 100 000 inhabitants) compared with the 2015-2019 average period, largely attributable to COVID-19. Non-COVID-19 causes comprised one-fifth of excess deaths, with acute myocardial infarction and type 2 diabetes as the two leading non-COVID-19 causes of excess mortality. COVID-19 deaths occurred primarily in-hospital, whereas excess non-COVID-19 deaths occurred in out-of-hospital settings. Municipal-level predictors of non-COVID-19 excess mortality included levels of social security coverage, higher rates of COVID-19 hospitalization and social marginalization. At the individual level, lower educational attainment, blue-collar employment and lack of medical care assistance prior to death were associated with non-COVID-19 deaths. CONCLUSION: Non-COVID-19 causes of death, largely chronic cardiometabolic conditions, comprised up to one-fifth of excess deaths in Mexico during 2020. Non-COVID-19 excess deaths occurred disproportionately out-of-hospital and were associated with both individual- and municipal-level socio-demographic inequalities.
Item Type | Article |
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Faculty and Department | Faculty of Epidemiology and Population Health > Dept of Population Health (2012- ) |
Research Centre | Covid-19 Research |
PubMed ID | 36174226 |
Elements ID | 195188 |
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Filename: Neftali_etal_2022_Socio-demographic-inequalities-and-excess.pdf
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Licence: Creative Commons: Attribution-Noncommercial-No Derivative Works 4.0
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