Thysen, Sanne M; Fisker, Ane Baerent; Byberg, Stine; Aaby, Peter; Roy, Partho; White, Richard; Griffiths, Ulla; Harris, Rebecca C; (2021) Disregarding the restrictive vial-opening policy for BCG vaccine in Guinea-Bissau: impact and cost-effectiveness for tuberculosis mortality and all-cause mortality in children aged 0-4 years. BMJ global health, 6 (8). e006127-e006127. ISSN 2059-7908 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1136/bmjgh-2021-006127
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Abstract
OBJECTIVE: BCG vaccination is frequently delayed in low-income countries. Restrictive vial-opening policies, where a vial of BCG vaccine is not opened for few children, are a major reason for delay. During delays, children are unprotected against tuberculosis (TB) and deprived of non-specific effects of BCG. We assessed the potential effect and cost-effectiveness of disregarding the restrictive vial-opening policy, on TB and all-cause mortality, in children aged 0-4 years in Guinea-Bissau. METHODS: Using static mathematical models, we estimated the absolute and percentage change in TB and all-cause deaths, in children aged 0-4 years, between the current BCG vaccine restrictive-opening policy scenario, and a non-restrictive policy scenario where all children were vaccinated in the first health-facility contact. Incremental cost-effectiveness was estimated by integration of vaccine and treatment costs. FINDINGS: Disregarding the restrictive BCG vial-opening policy was estimated to reduce TB deaths by 11.0% (95% uncertainty range (UR):0.5%-28.8%), corresponding to 4 (UR:0-15) TB deaths averted per birth cohort in Guinea-Bissau, resulting in incremental cost-effectiveness of US$ 911 per discounted life-year gained (LYG) (UR:145-9142). For all-cause deaths, the estimated reduction was 8.1% (UR: 3.3%-12.7%) corresponding to 392 (UR:158-624) fewer all-cause deaths and an incremental cost-effectiveness of US$ 9 (UR:5-23) per discounted LYG. CONCLUSIONS: Disregarding the restrictive BCG vial-opening policy was associated with reductions in TB deaths and all-cause deaths and low cost-effectiveness ratios. Our results suggest that it would be cost-effective to disregard the restrictive vial-opening policy. Other settings with similar practice are also likely to gain from disregarding this policy.
Item Type | Article |
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Faculty and Department | Faculty of Epidemiology and Population Health > Dept of Infectious Disease Epidemiology & Dynamics (2023-) |
Research Centre |
Vaccine Centre TB Centre Centre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases TB Modelling Group |
PubMed ID | 34344667 |
Elements ID | 165476 |
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Filename: Disregarding the restrictive vial-opening policy for BCG vaccine in Guinea-Bissau impact and cost-effectiveness for tubercul.pdf
Licence: Creative Commons: Attribution-Noncommercial 3.0
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