[Covid-19 in the Northeast of Brazil: from lockdown to the relaxation of social distancing measures].
Ximenes, Ricardo Arraes de Alencar;
Albuquerque, Maria de Fatima Pessoa Militão de;
Martelli, Celina Maria Turchi;
Araújo, Thália Velho Barreto de;
Miranda Filho, Demócrito de Barros;
Souza, Wayner Vieira de;
Ichihara, Maria Yury Travassos;
Lira, Pedro Israel Cabral de;
Kerr, Ligia Regina Franco Sansigolo;
Aquino, Estela Ml;
+16 more...Silva, Antônio Augusto Moura da;
Almeida, Rosa Lívia Freitas de;
Kendall, Carl;
Pescarini, Julia M;
Brandão Filho, Sinval Pinto;
Almeida-Filho, Naomar;
Oliveira, Juliane Fonseca de;
Teles, Carlos;
Jorge, Daniel Cardoso Pereira;
Santana, Guilherme;
Gabrielli, Ligia;
Rodrigues, Moreno Ms;
Silva, Natanael Jesus da;
Souza, Rafael Felipe da Silva;
Silva, Vivian Alessandra Ferreira da;
Barreto, Maurício Lima;
(2021)
[Covid-19 in the Northeast of Brazil: from lockdown to the relaxation of social distancing measures].
Ciencia & saude coletiva, 26 (4).
pp. 1441-1456.
ISSN 1413-8123
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1590/1413-81232021264.39422020
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Even in the period when the Covid-19 pandemic was on the rise in the Northeast of Brazil, the relaxation of social distancing measures was introduced. The scope of the study is to assess, in the light of the epidemiological-sanitary situation in the region, the suitability of relaxation of social distancing measures. Based on the WHO guidelines for relaxation of social distancing, operational indicators were created and analyzed for each guideline in the context of the Northeast. To analyze the behavior of the epidemic, according to selected indicators, Joinpoint trend analysis techniques, heat maps, rate ratios and time trends between capitals and the state interior were compared. The weekly growth peak of the epidemic occurred in May-July 2020 (epidemiological weeks 19 to 31). In most capitals, there was no simultaneous downward trend in the number of cases and deaths in the 14 days prior to flexibilization. In all states the number of tests performed was insufficient. In epidemiological week 24, the state percentages of ICU/Covid-19 bed occupancy were close to or above 70%. The epidemiological situation of the nine Northeastern state capitals analyzed here did not meet criteria and parameters recommended by the World Health Organization for the relaxation of social distancing measures.
