Impact of the smoking ban on the volume of bar sales in Ireland: evidence from time series analysis.
Cornelsen, Laura;
Normand, Charles;
(2012)
Impact of the smoking ban on the volume of bar sales in Ireland: evidence from time series analysis.
Health economics, 21 (5).
pp. 551-561.
ISSN 1057-9230
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1002/hec.1728
Permanent Identifier
Use this Digital Object Identifier when citing or linking to this resource.
This paper is the first to estimate the economic impact of a comprehensive smoking ban in all enclosed public places of work, on bars in Ireland. The demand in bars, represented by a monthly index of sales volume, is explained by relative prices in bars, prices of alcohol sold in off-licences and the aggregate retail sales (ARS) as a proxy for general economic activity and incomes. The smoking ban is included into the model as a step dummy and the modelling is done using ARIMAX strategy. The results show a reduction in the volume of sales in bars by -4.6% (p<0.01) following the ban.
