Impact of the smoking ban on the volume of bar sales in Ireland – evidence from time series analysis


Cornelsen, L; Normand, C; (2012) Impact of the smoking ban on the volume of bar sales in Ireland – evidence from time series analysis. Health economics, 21 (5). pp. 551-561. ISSN 1057-9230 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1002/hec.1728

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Abstract

This paper is the first to estimate the economic impact of a comprehensive smoking ban in all enclosed public places of work, on bars in Ireland. The demand in bars, represented by a monthly index of sales volume, is explained by relative prices in bars, prices of alcohol sold in off-licences and the aggregate retail sales (ARS) as a proxy for general economic activity and incomes. The smoking ban is included into the model as a step dummy and the modelling is done using ARIMAX strategy. The results show a reduction in the volume of sales in bars by −4.6% (p<0.01) following the ban. Copyright © 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

Item Type: Article
Keywords: smoking ban, bar sales, Ireland, time series
Faculty and Department: Faculty of Public Health and Policy > Dept of Global Health and Development
PubMed ID: 22473645
Web of Science ID: 302156500005
URI: http://researchonline.lshtm.ac.uk/id/eprint/26128

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