The role of the natural epidemic dynamics and migration in explaining the course of the HIV epidemic in rural Uganda: a modelling study.


Shafer, LA; White, RG; Nsubuga, RN; Chapman, R; Hayes, R; Grosskurth, H; (2011) The role of the natural epidemic dynamics and migration in explaining the course of the HIV epidemic in rural Uganda: a modelling study. International journal of epidemiology, 40 (2). pp. 397-404. ISSN 0300-5771 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1093/ije/dyq206

Full text not available from this repository. (Request a copy)

Abstract

Human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) prevalence in Uganda fell during the 1990s and has risen since 2000. The changing trends since 2000 may be due to changing risky sexual behaviour, but other factors may also contribute. We explore the possible impact that two factors may have on cohort trends: natural epidemic dynamics and local migration. We simultaneously fit a mathematical model to the contrasting prevalence trends by age/gender in a southwest Ugandan cohort, which has never been done before.

Item Type: Article
Faculty and Department: Faculty of Epidemiology and Population Health > Dept of Infectious Disease Epidemiology
Research Centre: Centre for Global Non-Communicable Diseases (NCDs)
Tropical Epidemiology Group
PubMed ID: 21147847
Web of Science ID: 289165800018
URI: http://researchonline.lshtm.ac.uk/id/eprint/1883

Statistics


Download activity - last 12 months
Downloads since deposit
0Downloads
290Hits
Accesses by country - last 12 months
Accesses by referrer - last 12 months
Impact and interest
Additional statistics for this record are available via IRStats2

Actions (login required)

Edit Item Edit Item